Quail Creek, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Quail Creek, TX

April 17, 2024 5:56 PM CDT (22:56 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:58 AM   Sunset 7:56 PM
Moonrise 1:39 PM   Moonset 2:48 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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GMZ237 Expires:202404180900;;916253 Fzus54 Kcrp 172019 Cwfcrp
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 319 pm cdt Wed apr 17 2024
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz236-237-180900- copano, aransas, and redfish bays- san antonio, mesquite, and espiritu santo bays- 319 pm cdt Wed apr 17 2024

Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog.

Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the morning.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Patchy fog after midnight.

Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the morning.

Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Sunday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

Monday - Northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy.

Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ200 319 Pm Cdt Wed Apr 17 2024

Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
a weak to moderate onshore flow will continue today and persist through the remainder of the week. Patchy sea fog is expected to develop this evening and again tomorrow night. Weak to moderate onshore flow Saturday. An upper level disturbance, cold front, and copious moisture will contribute to scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms Saturday night. The front will move across the waters Sunday. In response, precipitation will dissipate and moderate offshore flow will develop. Winds will transition to weak to moderate onshore areawide by late Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quail Creek, TX
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Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 172040 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 340 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

▶ Marginal Risk for Severe Thunderstorms across Webb/La Salle counties tonight and tomorrow

▶ High risk of rip currents through Thursday morning

▶ Moderate to high probability (50-90% chance) for triple digit Heat Indices Thursday afternoon across the Brush Country

Had a few showers this morning across portions of the Brush Country, Coastal Plains and Coastal Bend. This mornings sounding revealed PWAT's above the 75th percentile at 1.68" and some operational models are picking up on a band of PVA stretched across the Southern Plains that is likely responsible for the elevated convection today.
Persistence is expected over the next several days ahead of this weekend's front with quasi-zonal flow over much of the US including South Texas. Environmental conditions out west support a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms tonight through tomorrow across the western Brush Country. Despite low PoP's any storms that form can become strong to severe with CAPE > 2,000 J/kg, Effective Bulk shear 39 knots and minimal CIN. Damaging wind and large hail are the main hazards expected.

Chances for additional precipitation is low (< 30%) through the short term period. There's a moderate to high probability (50-90% chance) for heat index values to climb into the low 100s across western portions of the CWA today and tomorrow. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 70s across the region. Have added patchy fog over the waters and Coastal areas as there's a low to moderate (20- 40% chance) for visibilities of 1 nm or less overnight tonight and a low chance (<20% chance) tomorrow night.|

LONG TERM
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Key Messages:

- Scattered Thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday Night

- Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall Saturday for the northern counties of South Texas.

A cold front expected to move southward across the Plains before the beginning of the period, originally in response to an upper disturbance moving across the US/Canadian border, is predicted to stall north of the CWA/over central TX (yet the GFS moves it farther south than the ECMWF and NAM). This stall would not be surprising given the quasi-zonal upper pattern over much of the CONUS. In addition, another upper system is predicted to enter the southwestern CONUS Saturday. The front is not expected to move across the CWA until Saturday night (GFS/ECMWF), when this latter system moves eastward across the region. Owing to persistent onshore flow, PWAT values are expected to be above normal in advance of the front (GFS deterministic). The combination of the forcing associated with this latter upper disturbance, the front, and copious moisture is expected to result in isolated/scattered convection Saturday, and scattered/numerous convection Saturday night. Given the copious moisture and the probable transition of the environment somewhat supportive of efficient rainfall production (moist vertical column and low/moderate CAPE), except for 0-6km vertical shear, concur with WPC regarding a Marginal Risk for excessive heavy rainfall Saturday night. The limiting factor appears to be whether 1-hr rainfall rates will reach the most recent FFG threshold of around 3 inches. Expect the front to move offshore Sunday morning. Although precipitation will dissipate after frontal passage, only slightly drier conditions are expected. The combination of increasing moisture and a weak upper disturbance may result in isolated showers Tuesday over portions of the Coastal Plains.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

MVFR conditions currently across all sites due to the ongoing cloud cover is expected to continue through this afternoon.
Generally light to moderate southeast winds are expected and as long as the clouds hold do not expect any significant wind gusts this afternoon. Overnight conditions will become IFR with high confidence in lower ceiling heights as opposed to fog.

MARINE
Issued at 314 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

A weak to moderate onshore flow will continue today and persist through the remainder of the week. Patchy Sea Fog is expected to develop this evening and again tomorrow night. An upper level disturbance, cold front, and copious moisture will contribute to scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms Saturday night.
Anticipate at least Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions after frontal passage.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 73 87 73 86 / 10 0 0 0 Victoria 73 88 71 86 / 10 10 0 10 Laredo 75 98 74 97 / 20 10 10 10 Alice 73 92 71 91 / 10 0 10 10 Rockport 72 83 72 83 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 75 98 73 94 / 10 20 10 10 Kingsville 73 89 71 89 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 82 74 83 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for TXZ345-442- 443-447.

GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
VCAT2 22 mi56 min ESE 15G17 79°F29.87
SDRT2 - 8773037 - Seadrift, TX 28 mi56 min E 9.9G13 79°F29.87
AWRT2 37 mi56 min E 11G14 79°F29.88
PCNT2 - 8773701 - Matagorda Bay; Port O'Connor, TX 38 mi56 min NE 13G15 76°F29.89
MBET2 42 mi56 min ESE 14G16 75°F29.86


Wind History for Port Lavaca, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KVCT VICTORIA RGNL,TX 9 sm65 minSE 149 smOvercast79°F72°F79%29.89
KPKV CALHOUN COUNTY,TX 19 sm21 minESE 11G1610 smMostly Cloudy81°F73°F79%29.90
Link to 5 minute data for KVCT


Wind History from VCT
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Port Lavaca, Matagorda Bay, Texas
   
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Port Lavaca
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Wed -- 03:46 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:09 AM CDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:37 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:22 PM CDT     1.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Lavaca, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Port O'Connor, Matagorda Bay, Texas
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Port O'Connor
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Wed -- 03:45 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:41 AM CDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:36 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:27 PM CDT     0.92 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:52 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port O'Connor, Matagorda Bay, Texas, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Corpus Christi, TX,



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