Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Victoria, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 5:56PM Saturday January 18, 2020 4:25 PM CST (22:25 UTC) Moonrise 1:29AMMoonset 1:02PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ330 Matagorda Bay- 219 Pm Cst Sat Jan 18 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm cst this evening through Sunday morning...
Tonight..North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy becoming rough after midnight. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Sunday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters rough becoming choppy in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters smooth becoming slightly choppy after midnight.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy becoming choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers late in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Showers.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy becoming slightly choppy after midnight. Showers likely.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters smooth becoming slightly choppy after midnight. A chance of showers.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 219 Pm Cst Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Dense sea fog is no longer being observed and a cold front continues to push towards the area. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible along the coast and offshore as the front pushes through this evening. Strong northerly winds are expected behind the front so a small craft advisory has been issued. Strong north to northeast winds continue tomorrow as well as to start the work week. Strong easterly winds should keep seas higher as well as raise tide levels mid week. A coastal trough or area of low pressure may form Wednesday or Thursday which will further help increase winds and seas. Another cold front will push off the coast late Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Victoria, TX
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location: 28.81, -96.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 182147 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 347 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2020

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night).

The cold front has pushed through much of the area triggering showers and thunderstorms. Most thunder has remained across the northeast portions of the area. Showers have trained over northern Calhoun county which could lead to some urban and small stream flooding. These showers will continue to move slowly across the same areas through the afternoon, so we will continue to monitor for urban and small stream flooding. Rain chances will come to an end from west to east as the cold front passes through.

Drier, cooler air has begun to move in behind the front and cloud cover will diminish tonight. Temperatures will be quite a bit cooler tonight with lows in the 40s and lower 50s and light to moderate northerly winds. Despite the sunshine Sunday, highs will be 15 to 20 degrees cooler across the area. Winds will continue to be weak to moderate, with higher winds along the coast and over the waters as a second surge of high pressure pushes through the area. High pressure will persist through Sunday night.

With moderate to strong northeasterly winds, minor coastal flooding may be possible Sunday near the time of high tide. Confidence is still too low for an advisory, but this will bear watching.

LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday).

Drier and cooler conditions will persist through Monday as a surface high pressure remains over Central Texas, along with ridging in the upper levels. As the surface high pressure shifts eastward Monday night, winds will veer to the east allowing for moisture return. Above normal PWAT values and isentropic lift could provide the setting for patchy light rain to develop late Monday night into Tuesday. The combination of an upper level disturbance approaching the area from the west on Tuesday, and a developing coastal trough will increase rain chances across the region Tuesday night through Wednesday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame, especially over the eastern half of the CWA where the higher moisture content is expected to reside. Rain chances will continue through Thursday night as another upper level system/trough drops into the Southern Plains, sending a cold front through the area late in the week. At this time, models are diverging on the strength and placement of this next upper level system, therefore affecting the timing and position of this next boundary. However, drier conditions are expected to develop Friday in the wake of the front and persist through Saturday.

Temperatures will remain on the cooler side through the first half of the week, with generally highs in the low to mid 60s and lows in the 40s to 50s. Temperatures will warm up to near or above normal values Wednesday through Thursday, before cooling down again behind the front at the end of the week and into the weekend.

MARINE.

Weak onshore flow will quickly shift to the north and northeast behind a cold front this afternoon and early evening. Showers and thunderstorms will move offshore ahead of and along the front, persisting through the evening hours. Rain chances will diminish as cooler, drier air moves in behind the front. Moderate to strong flow will create Small Craft Advisory conditions this evening through Sunday evening. The moderate to strong northerly flow will continue through Monday as a secondary surge of high pressure moves across the waters. Onshore flow will develop Tuesday ahead of another upper level system. This system and a developing coastal trough will contribute to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday night, along with Small Craft Advisory conditions. Drier conditions are expected late in the week and into the weekend.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Corpus Christi 48 60 43 61 48 / 30 10 0 0 10 Victoria 43 59 38 61 40 / 10 0 0 0 10 Laredo 47 63 43 61 48 / 20 0 0 0 10 Alice 47 61 40 62 45 / 20 0 0 0 10 Rockport 47 59 43 61 49 / 30 10 0 0 10 Cotulla 42 62 38 61 43 / 0 0 0 0 10 Kingsville 50 63 42 63 47 / 30 10 0 0 10 Navy Corpus 51 59 47 60 52 / 40 10 0 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. TX . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 PM CST Sunday For the following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM . Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM . Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM . Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM CST Sunday For the following zones: Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas . Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor.



LS/77 . SHORT TERM ANM/88 . LONG TERM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VCAT2 23 mi56 min 68°F 70°F1019.7 hPa
SDRT2 - 8773037 - Seadrift, TX 32 mi56 min 67°F 71°F1019.6 hPa
PCNT2 - 8773701 - Matagorda Bay; Port O'Connor, TX 40 mi56 min 66°F 67°F1019.5 hPa
AWRT2 42 mi56 min 71°F 71°F1018.4 hPa
MBET2 44 mi56 min 68°F 64°F1018.1 hPa

Wind History for Seadrift, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Victoria, Victoria Regional Airport, TX5 mi35 minN 1110.00 miOvercast67°F62°F84%1020 hPa
Port Lavaca - Calhoun County Airport, TX20 mi31 minNNE 510.00 miOvercast69°F67°F94%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVCT

Wind History from VCT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE8SE9SE7SE9SE10SE12SE12S11S5S7S3SE5CalmSE5S3SE4CalmS4SW5NW8NW7N12N11
1 day agoSE13SE12SE14SE11E9E8E7SE6E9E7E11E9SE10SE10E9E9E9SE10SE11SE13SE15S17S16S15
2 days agoSE11SE9S11SE7SE8SE7SE9SE9E6SE5E3E6E6E6E5E5E5SE6SE8SE11SE15SE11SE13SE14

Tide / Current Tables for Port Lavaca, Matagorda Bay, Texas
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Port Lavaca
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:26 AM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:19 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM CST     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:00 PM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:05 PM CST     0.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.20.10-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.100.10.20.30.40.40.50.50.50.5

Tide / Current Tables for Port O'Connor, Matagorda Bay, Texas
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Port O'Connor
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:25 AM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:44 AM CST     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:18 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:00 PM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:54 PM CST     0.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Corpus Christi, TX (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Corpus Christi, TX
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.