Tuesday, January26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Crystal River, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 6:06PM Tuesday January 26, 2021 6:39 PM EST (23:39 UTC) Moonrise 4:07PMMoonset 5:42AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 307 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021
Tonight..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Patchy sea fog in the evening, then areas of sea fog after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Areas of sea fog early in the morning. Patchy fog late in the morning. Scattered showers.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots then becoming north around 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A slight chance of showers early in the evening.
Thursday..North winds around 20 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 307 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021
Synopsis.. Warm moist air over the relatively cooler shelf waters will create conditions favorable for sea fog to develop through tonight...with the best chance over the central and northern waters. A cold front will move across the waters Wednesday night with increasing north winds and building seas which will likely create advisory level conditions into Thursday. Winds and seas will begin to subside Thursday night. High pressure will hold over the waters Friday through Sunday with benign conditions expected. A cold front will push across the waters Sunday night with winds and seas again increasing in the wake of the front. Exercise caution levels likely with possible advisory level winds.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crystal River, FL
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location: 28.91, -82.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 261954 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL Issued by National Weather Service Melbourne FL 254 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

SHORT TERM.

Tonight . Warm and moist south to southwesterly flow will keep temperatures very mild overnight generally in the low 60s for much of the area and some mid 60s along the coast.

Conditions also appear very favorable again for fog to develop with some locally dense. High resolution models are all in pretty good agreement on the scenario with fog initially impacting coastal areas perhaps as early as late this evening before expanding inland overnight tonight.

Wednesday . The fog will continue into the morning but should start to lift/dissipate from mid to late morning with skies becoming partly cloudy by early afternoon. After, another very warm day is in store as the southwesterly winds increase ahead of an approaching cold front. High temperatures expected to reach the mid-upper 70s along the coast and upper 70s to low 80s inland.

The atmosphere will remain unsupportive of any precipitation for the first part of the day thanks to very dry air and subsidence aloft. However, going into the afternoon hours, the cold front will continue its approach from the northwest, with moisture and pre-frontal lift starting to increase as it does so. This should allow showers to begin to move into Levy and Citrus counties from early-mid afternoon and then as far south as Tampa-Winter Haven from late afternoon into the early evening hours. Thunder is not expected at this time due to limited instability.

Will continue a slight shower chance through around midnight for most of west central Florida, but coverage of showers is expected to diminish after sunset as upper-level support lifts away from the area and dry air starts advecting in from the northwest behind the cold front.

LONG TERM.

Thursday-Friday . A strong high pressure is forecast to develop in the Midwest early Thursday, push south towards the Ohio River Valley, and continue southeast towards the Carolinas on Friday. The pressure gradient tightens over much of the Southeast U.S. behind a strong cold front that moves through central Florida by sunrise Thursday. Dry conditions are forecast late week with breezy conditions possible on Thursday.

A noticeable cooldown is in store for Thursday and Friday as afternoon highs remain in the low/mid 60s north of Tampa, and in the mid 60s to around 70 degrees south of Tampa. Morning lows Thursday will be in the 40s for the Nature Coast, and in the 50s for the rest of west-central/southwest Florida. The coldest air in recent weeks arrives Friday morning as lows drop into the mid/upper 30s north of Pasco County, and into the low/mid 40s from Tampa south.

Saturday-Tuesday . High pressure over the Carolinas shifts into the western Atlantic this weekend. This causes local winds to veer from north/northeast to east/southeast by Saturday evening. Dry conditions continue Saturday and for much of Sunday before a second cold front approaches the northern Florida peninsula Sunday evening. Rain chances will be low with this front, only around 20 percent for areas north of Tampa Bay Sunday night into Monday.

A gradual warmup this weekend as highs reach the low 70s Saturday, and mid/upper 70s on Sunday. Morning lows by Sunday morning will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Another surge of colder air filters into our area at the start of next week, dropping temperatures to slightly below normal values.

AVIATION. Some embedded MVFR ceilings may impact PIE-TPA-LAL through 21Z or so, but otherwise VFR through late this evening into early overnight. Then, conditions appear conducive for fog and/or low stratus to develop initially along the coast as early as late this evening before spreading inland overnight. Expecting IFR restrictions, possibly even LIFR, to continue into mid-late Wednesday morning before conditions start to improve.

MARINE.

Tonight . Fog remains possible over the waters, some being dense, but otherwise, winds will be out of the south at around 10 knots with seas of 2-3 ft.

Wednesday . Winds will veer from south to southwesterly ahead of a cold front increasing to 15 knots across the northern waters, but remaining around 10 knots to the south. As the front approaches, shower chances will increase from north to south across the waters from afternoon into early evening.

Thursday-Sunday . Hazardous boating conditions will develop across the Gulf waters starting late Wednesday night. As high pressure builds into the area behind a strong cold front northwest winds increase to 20-25 knots over the waters by sunrise Thursday. Seas build to 4-5 feet nearshore and up to 7-8 feet far offshore.

Conditions begin to improve Thursday night into Friday as winds become northeast and decrease to 10-15 knots nearshore and 15-20 knots offshore. Seas diminish to 2-4 feet nearshore but remain elevated up to 6-7 feet far offshore. Favorable boating conditions return to the waters Friday afternoon into the weekend as winds become southeast at 10-15 knots and seas settle around 2 feet.

FIRE WEATHER. No fire weather hazards are expected through Wednesday as relative humidity values are expected to remain well above critical levels.

However, much drier air will move into the region on Thursday behind a cold front. North to northwest winds will increase to around 15 mph, gusting to around 20 mph in the afternoon. RH values are expected to fall into the upper 30s to low 40s across much of the area, making for a fire sensitive day.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 65 77 55 66 / 0 30 20 0 FMY 65 80 60 71 / 0 0 10 0 GIF 64 82 54 66 / 0 20 10 0 SRQ 65 77 57 68 / 0 20 20 0 BKV 62 79 49 65 / 0 40 10 0 SPG 66 74 56 64 / 0 30 20 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Combs LONG TERM . Rodriguez DECISION SUPPORT . Negron


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 26 mi219 min SSW 11 G 14 65°F 1015.3 hPa (-1.6)65°F
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 33 mi285 min W 8 G 12 77°F 1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Crystal River Airport, FL5 mi44 minS 310.00 miFair73°F64°F74%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGC

Wind History from CGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5S3----------CalmS3Calm----CalmS4S3SW5SW5SW6SW4SW7SW6SW6S5Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE3--SE4SE4SE5SE7S6SW4W8SW6SW8SW7SW5
2 days agoE6E7E4E6NE4NE5NE3NE5NE3CalmCalmCalmNE3E3Calm--NE6N3S3SE4CalmNW5W4W4

Tide / Current Tables for Twin Rivers Marina, Crystal River, Florida (2)
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Twin Rivers Marina
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:42 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:04 AM EST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:58 PM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:07 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:04 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:41 PM EST     0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.921.91.71.30.80.3-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.40.10.71.41.921.91.71.41.1111.21.5

Tide / Current Tables for Ozello, St. Martin's River, Florida
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Ozello
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM EST     0.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:42 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:24 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:07 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:02 PM EST     0.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:04 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.60.80.80.80.70.60.50.40.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.2

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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