Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Belleview, FL

SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Surface high pressure ridge will be across central FL on Sunday and will then drift ever so slightly northward through Monday.
Deep layer flow will be southwest both days about 8-12 knots, with elevated moisture values on Sunday with PWATS about 1.8 to 2 inches, and dropping slightly by Monday.

Sunday, fairly typical pattern and would expect to see convection develop along the west coast sea breeze and low level convergent lines over the southwest and west zones in the mid to late morning hours. Convection should continue to blossom into the afternoon and early evening as it moves toward the east coast. A concentration of convection appears likely over the eastern zones as the southwest flow meets up with the east coast sea breeze and timed with peak heating. Isolated to scattered convection in the evening will dissipate overnight with loss of heating, with movement of activity to the east-northeast.

Monday, with slightly lower moisture values and mid level ridging building, some lower POPs are warranted over what the NBM suggests, and closer to the MOS guidance, which shows 20-30 percent. Will go with a blend of NBM and the lower guidance to result in chance to likely POPs (about 40-60 percent). Convection should become scattered and isolated while diminishing Monday night with lack of any other forcing and loss of heating.

Highs will be above normal in the lower 90s, with lows in the lower to mid 70s. Heat indices will top out around 100-105 each day, mainly inland.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Surface high pressure ridge will build further northward into the area Tuesday through early Thursday while temps aloft warm and drier mid level air filters into the region. This should result in subsidence and lower rain chances (to about 30-50 percent at best), but also warmer sfc temps. By late Thursday into Friday, a modest mid level trough moves into the southeast states and the sfc high will move further south. A weak cool front may move into central GA by then. This will likely result in some uptick in rain chances again so advertised up to 50-60 percent by Friday.
Could see some stronger storms by Friday given better forcing aloft and cooler mid level temps.

Advertised highs in the lower to mid 90s and lows in the lower to mid 70s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 704 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Convection is expected to develop across the area this afternoon, and chances are forecast for local TAF sites. With loss of diurnal heating, this activity is expected to diminish this evening. A dry overnight is forecast. Patchy inland fog could lead to restrictions toward dawn Sunday at KVQQ.

MARINE
Issued at 300 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Bermuda high pressure will be centered to the east through this weekend, and into next week, keeping winds generally out of the south. Each day, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop over the coast and nearshore waters before drifting eastward over the offshore waters by early evening. Seas will be 2-3 feet nearshore and 3-4 feet through the weekend and then resume to 2-3 feet across the waters into early next week.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents are in effect today and Sunday for all area beaches through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 89 72 91 73 / 60 20 50 20 SSI 89 75 89 76 / 70 40 60 40 JAX 92 73 92 74 / 70 40 60 20 SGJ 91 74 91 74 / 70 30 60 30 GNV 93 73 93 73 / 60 30 70 20 OCF 92 73 92 73 / 70 30 70 20

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.