Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glencoe, FL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 214 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Current-Thu...Surface high pressure trends further seaward during this time. A weak surface front will stall across the Deep South into tonight, transitioning to a warm front by Thu. Stout high pressure in the mid-levels over the Bahamas will flatten a bit thru mid-week as mid-level energy traverses the southeast U.S. and pushes off of the coast. Still, the persistent warm, dry, and stable conditions continue during the climatologically driest month of the year for ECFL. Continue to keep PoPs absent from the grids/zones.
Max temps each afternoon in the L80s at the coast thanks to a daily sea breeze, and M-U80s into the interior, perhaps a few L90s well inland. Min temps continue in the 60s areawide, except around 70F across adjacent barrier islands. Likely to be breezy along the Space & Treasure coasts Wed/Thu afternoons.

Previous Modified...Low humidity and drying fuels will continue to promote sensitive fire weather conditions each afternoon, especially across the interior. Southeast winds around 5-10 mph shift east and increase to 10-15 mph (some higher gusts) as the sea breeze moves inland each afternoon. Burn bans continue across several east central Florida counties including Lake, Seminole, Orange, Volusia, and most recently Brevard.

Fri-Tue
Slightly Modified from Previous
Weak surface low pressure gradually organizes across the Midwest Fri, dragging a weak cold front across the southeast U.S. through the weekend. Modest moisture advection will allow for a low chance of showers (10-20%)
across ECFL on Sun as the front approaches. Onshore flow then redevelops Mon, and this looks to maintain enough moisture across the area to support a 20-30 percent chance of diurnal showers.
Above normal temperatures are forecast through the extended period across the interior, ranging the U80s to L90s. Coastal temperatures in the L80s on Fri, trend into the M-U80s by Sun.
Low temperatures continue in the 60s.

MARINE
Issued at 214 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Slightly Modified from Previous...SERLY winds around 10 kts "back" ERLY 10-15 kts Thu-Sat as high pressure retreats seaward.
Seas of 2-3 ft build to 3-4 ft late Wed. Seas build further to 5 ft offshore Thu night. Dry conditions persist with a low chance for showers returning late this weekend with approach/passage of a weak front.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 646 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

VFR conds prevail through much of the night with light to moderate ESE breezes throughout the TAF period. Continued rain-free.
Continued with MVFR CIG TEMPOs along the coastal terminals from 10-14Z where 40-50% probabilities exist.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Slightly Modified from Previous...A stagnant and persistent warm, dry, and stable pattern continues to promote sensitive fire weather conditions through this week including drying fuels, especially across the interior. Min RH values are forecast to fall to 35-40 percent across the interior through late week while ranging 40-55 percent closer to the coast. Prevailing southeast winds "back" east into Thu-Sat, and daily sea breezes will increase onshore winds to 10-15 mph each afternoon with some higher gusts expected. A low chance (~20%) for showers returns late this weekend as a weak cold front approaches the Florida peninsula.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 64 84 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 65 90 66 87 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 82 67 82 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 66 83 66 82 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 66 90 66 88 / 0 10 10 0 SFB 65 89 65 87 / 0 10 0 0 ORL 66 89 67 87 / 0 10 10 0 FPR 65 83 66 82 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.