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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 243 Pm Est Tue Nov 28 2023
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 243 Pm Est Tue Nov 28 2023
Synopsis..A moderate to fresh northwest to north breeze will maintain choppy seas today, especially near the gulf stream. A large high pressure ridge will settle across the southeast u.s. And north florida through early Thursday morning, then shift east into the adjacent western atlantic Friday through Saturday.
Gulf stream hazards..North to northwest winds 15 to 20 knots with choppy seas up to 6 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday, november 27th.
45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 281951 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 251 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

New MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, HYDROLOGY, CLIMATE

DISCUSSION

Currently/Tonight...A band of persistent higher level clouds will continue to present to a degree into early tonight. With ongoing advection swd of cooler air, tonights temps are expected to be cooler than this morning, and with the expectation of reduced cloud cvrg some lows in the U30s are forecast in well inland areas west of I-4 by daybreak Wed. In line with JAX, wl indicate possibility of some patchy frost from areas east and south of Lake George to northern Lake county and the Ocala Forest within the digital grids. Traditionally colder wind-protected locations in Lake and inland Volusia co's may see some patchy frost as well.
The Brevard coast east of US Highway One and barrier islands of the Space Coast southward should remain 50 and higher.

Wed...Once again a cool dry day is in store with sct cloudiness and light N-NW winds 4 to 9 mph becoming slight onshore late aftn at the coast. Highs will recover only into the 60s north to M70s southern half of the area.

Wednesday Night-Thursday...Another cold night is in store Wednesday into Thursday, reinforced by light northerly winds and surface high pressure over Florida and the southeast U.S. Temperatures will start out in the low 40s north of Interstate 4 and range from the mid 40s to upper 50s farther south. Coastal Martin County could even start in the low 60s. 500mb heights begin to rise Thursday as surface winds back onshore and high pressure slides east, well offshore of the eastern U.S. Temperatures moderate a bit, thanks to a good deal of sunshine between intermittent clouds. Highs in the 70s get us closer to normal values, or where usually are to round out the month of November.

Friday-Monday...A warmup commences Friday and continues through the weekend as return flow takes over. This will also mark the start of gradual moisture advection that brings low-end rain chances Friday night into the start of next week. Noticeable model disagreement remains in the 12z runs, with regard to how far south rain chances will reach this weekend. Locations along and north of Orlando (especially north of I-4) will be best positioned for 20-30 PoP Saturday through Monday. A factor in the extent of rain chances will be how far north mid level ridging builds across south-central Florida. Agreement returns to the model suites in the form of a cold front, which will bisect the area Monday into Tuesday. The ECM is markedly faster (and drier) with the FROPA compared to the GFS, but time will help iron out the finer details as we approach the weekend.

Expect above normal temperatures through the weekend with highs generally in the 80s, trending cooler again early next week as a front gets set to move through the area.

MARINE
Issued at 156 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

Tonight and Wed...N-NW winds around 15 to 20 kts over the open waters offshore and around 10 to 15 kts nearshore into the evening.
Will keep the caution stmt over the outer waters north of Sebastian Inlet and all of the Treasure Coast into this evening.
Latest buoy 41009 data shows winds within caution criteria and seas less 4 to 6 ft likely occurring over the offshore and Gulf Stream areas. Expect N-NW winds 8 to 11 kts Wed with seas 2-3 ft nearshore and around 4 ft offshore.

Wednesday Night-Saturday...Seas generally remain 2-3 ft through Thursday as high pressure builds over the local waters. Winds veer onshore during the day Thu., increasing then out of the SE 10-15 kt Thu. night into Friday. Seas increase to 3-4 ft for the remainder of the period. Expect SSE flow 10-14 kt thru Saturday as moisture increases over the area. Low rain shower chances develop late Friday and continue into Saturday, with the highest chances north of Sebastian Inlet.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 156 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

A cool dry period remains with low dispersion as well through Wednesday night. RH values will fall into the low to mid 40s over the area Wednesday afternoon, with good night time recovery's. A warming trend will commence Thursday with temperatures near seasonal normals and further dewpoint recovery late in the workweek. Rain is out of the forecast through at least Friday afternoon.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 156 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

VFR continuing through Wed. Northwest to north winds prevail 10 kts or less.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 156 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in Minor Flood Stage through this weekend. Near Geneva above Lake Harney, the river will remain in Action Stage through this week.

CLIMATE
Issued at 156 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

Here is a listing of today's cool maximum temperature records.
Sanford and Leesburg had the best chances of setting new records at last check.

LOC DATE LO-MAX DAB 28-Nov 57 2018 LEE 28-Nov 57 2018 SFB 28-Nov 58 2018 MCO 28-Nov 50 1903 MLB 28-Nov 58 1992 VRB 28-Nov 61 1992 FPR 28-Nov 60 1938

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 43 62 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 43 66 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 48 70 54 76 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 50 72 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 39 62 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 43 65 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 44 66 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 51 73 57 77 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Georgetown
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:35 AM EST     3.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:34 AM EST     3.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:02 AM EST     3.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:54 AM EST     3.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:34 PM EST     3.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:30 PM EST     3.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Georgetown, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet

Georgetown
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:38 AM EST     2.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:45 AM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:09 AM EST     2.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:38 AM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:04 PM EST     2.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:11 PM EST     2.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:23 PM EST     2.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:11 PM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Georgetown, St. Johns River, Florida (2), Tide feet

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