Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ponce Inlet, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:28PM Saturday December 14, 2019 2:58 AM EST (07:58 UTC) Moonrise 8:01PMMoonset 9:22AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1009 Pm Est Fri Dec 13 2019
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers late in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1009 Pm Est Fri Dec 13 2019
Synopsis..A developing area of low pressure over the gulf of mexico will strengthen rapidly as it lifts into the mid atlantic region. This system will drag a new cool front across florida that will force winds to veer to the west and northwest over the weekend. High pressure behind the front will quickly push offshore, allowing winds to veer onshore by Monday.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast to south winds increasing up to 20 knots, with seas 6 to 8 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, december 11th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 21 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ponce Inlet, FL
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location: 29.1, -80.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 140223 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 923 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

UPDATE. Current-Tonight . Latest sfc analysis places a stalled boundary across NE FL toward the Gulf of Mexico, extending toward a developing low pressure system at the mouth of the Mississippi River. Pockets of showers continue to push to the northeast this evening across portions of the peninsula, although have been on a downward trend over the last several hours. Through midnight, isolated sprinkles will mainly be confined to coastal sites, with moderate showers remaining over the Gulf Stream waters.

Later tonight/early morning, the developing low in the GOMEX will begin its movement across the FL Panhandle/southern Alabama, digging a cold front across the FL peninsula. Ahead of this front, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms will approach and move through the northern forecast area later tonight and early tomorrow morning. Local models continue to take a more conservative solution, stalling highest impact weather to just before sunrise. Latest forecast, however, keeps a similar approach as afternoon package, with only minor edits to add in a slight chance of thunder after midnight as line moves through north central FL. The threat for severe weather continues to be non- zero, with highest impacts to be gusty winds of 50-60 mph in strongest storms, mainly along and north of I-4. Far northwestern Lake/Volusia counties (highlighted under a Slight Risk from SPC) also have a very low end tornado threat, focused in the early morning hours from 2-5 AM. As the line pushes to the southeast, the severe threat diminishes, but still strong thunderstorms are possible after sunrise from Orlando toward the Space Coast.

No other changes needed, with considerable cloud cover keeping nighttime lows in the mid to upper 60s areawide.

AVIATION. The stalled boundary that has hung around over the last day or two has finally lifted north of our area, taking much of the rain chances with it. But, terminals north and along the I-4 corridor will see a chance of POPs through midnight. Light winds will continue through about 10z, after which a cold front will make its way northwest to southeast across the area. The front will be near KLEE-KMCO by 12z, KMLB by 14z, and KVRB/KFPR by 16z. Thunderstorms will be possible for terminals north and along the I-4 corridor, but the front will weaken as it heads south, bringing moderate to heavy showers for southern terminals. Main hazards will be gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall, and isolated lightning strikes. After the frontal passage, expect clearing through the day. Southwest winds around 10kts ahead of the front, will increase to northwest with gusts to 20kts after the front moves through. These winds will last most of the day, before decreasing after sunset.

MARINE. Tonight . Observations from nearshore buoys suggest the swell has started to subside, with wave heights of 4-5 ft now being reported. Will maintain current forecast of 4-5 ft nearshore and up to 7 ft in the offshore waters tonight before another slight surge arrives with an approaching cold front overnight and early tomorrow. Southwest winds of 10-15 knots will increase over 20 knots near daybreak. Small craft should continue to exercise caution in the nearshore waters, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect for all offshore zones.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 78 65 73 51 / 40 50 30 0 MCO 79 66 76 53 / 20 50 30 0 MLB 79 69 77 56 / 30 30 50 0 VRB 80 69 78 55 / 40 20 50 0 LEE 78 64 73 51 / 30 70 30 0 SFB 79 65 76 51 / 30 50 30 0 ORL 78 66 76 52 / 30 50 30 0 FPR 81 68 78 56 / 40 10 50 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM . Smith AVIATION . Leahy RADAR/IMPACT WX . Blottman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 42 mi74 min S 5.1 68°F 1008 hPa67°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 51 mi59 min SW 13 G 16 70°F 72°F1010.2 hPa (-0.8)
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 55 mi59 min SSW 11 G 13 68°F 65°F1006.2 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL8 mi66 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F68°F100%1007.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEVB

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------S11
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S6SW5W5SW5SW7SW7SW8SW5SW7SW7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago----------------NE15NE13E11E12E12E13
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2 days ago----------------NW3CalmNW5N3N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:27 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:36 AM EST     2.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:01 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:41 PM EST     2.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.70.2-0.1-0.10.311.72.42.82.82.62.11.40.90.50.30.50.91.52.12.52.62.3

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:34 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:04 AM EST     5.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:31 PM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:24 PM EST     3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.5-0.1-0.10.41.42.73.94.85.14.94.12.91.70.70.10.10.61.52.53.33.83.73.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.