Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Holly Hill, FL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 250 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

Monday-Saturday...Little change to the weather pattern this week.
The mid-level ridge is anticipated to remain over Florida, and even build a little stronger by Wed. The low level ridge axis will remain draped across north/central Florida. Some drier air will work its way into east central Florida from the southeast, and in conjunction with the suppression aloft, will help to limit shower and storm chances across the Treasure Coast and around Lake Okeechobee. Greater moisture across northern portions of the forecast area combined with the daily sea breeze collision will allow for a 40 to 50 percent chance for showers and storms each afternoon. Late week, the mid level ridging is forecast to break down slightly which should lead to a slight increasing in rain and storm chances across all of east central Florida heading into the weekend.

With the mid-level ridge remaining in place across the peninsula, and rain chances lowering, temperatures are anticipated to warm through the work week. Highs reach the low to mid 90s, with peak heat indices in the 100 to 105 range. A moderate to major HeatRisk is forecast across east central Florida each afternoon. Overnight temperatures remain fairly consistent in the low to mid 70s through the period.

MARINE
Issued at 250 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

An area of high pressure at the sfc and aloft is forecast to remain in place over the next several days across the local Atlantic waters, with south to southeast winds prevailing each day. Winds pick up each afternoon behind the development of the east coast sea breeze, but generally remain between 10 to 15 knots, becoming lighter and even variable at times into the overnight hours. Generally favorable boating conditions are anticipated through the period, with seas remaining between 2 to 3 feet. While weather conditions are expected to remain mostly dry across the local waters, isolated to scattered showers and storms cannot be fully ruled out (20 to 40 percent chance through the period).

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 715 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

A few showers ongoing, mainly west of MCO. VFR conditions outside of convection through the TAF period. Any lingering activity will push out of the local area through 01Z. Light and variable winds tonight will become southerly and increase to 5-8KT by mid- morning. The east coast sea breeze will once again form Monday afternoon, increasing winds along the coast to 10-15 KT with gusts 20-25KT. Similar to today, scattered showers and storms will form along the sea breeze as it pushes inland, with the greatest coverage of storms occurring across West FL where the sea breeze collision is forecast to occur. Have included VCTS for DAB and TIX starting at 18Z (have left MLB- VRB- FPR-SUA dry for now as confidence is too low at this time to include), from MCO- SFB- ISM starting at 20Z, and LEE starting at 22Z. TEMPOS have not been added at this time, but may be added during later TAF packages.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 74 91 74 92 / 30 50 20 40 MCO 75 93 75 94 / 30 60 30 40 MLB 76 90 76 90 / 10 40 10 30 VRB 74 91 74 91 / 10 30 10 20 LEE 75 91 76 94 / 30 60 30 40 SFB 75 93 75 95 / 30 60 20 40 ORL 76 93 76 94 / 30 60 30 40 FPR 72 89 73 90 / 10 30 10 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.