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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 323 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 323 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis..A cold front will sag across the local waters from late morning through early evening, reaching south florida tonight. Behind the front, high pressure will build over the local waters through Tuesday. A secondary surge of fresh northerly winds will reach the local waters Wednesday into Thursday as low pressure develops off the mid atlantic and northeast u.s. Coasts, producing poor to hazardous boating conditions, especially well offshore.

Gulf stream hazards..None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 3rd.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KJAX 040802 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 300 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING

NEAR TERM
(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 255 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Weak sfc cold front was analyzed at 2 AM across southeast GA, FL big bend, and into the Gulf of Mexico. The front will continue sagging southeastward as mean mid level trough west of the region moves in overhead, though an upper level trough lags well behind. Some weak forcing aloft and left-over deep moisture in the low to mid levels still supports a low chance of light patchy rain this morning, particularly across northeast FL and far southeast GA. In addition, patchy to areas of fog are expected given the very moist low levels and the light southwest/west winds and the recent rainfall. Local vsby of 1/2 mile or less are possible. As the front presses southeast by midday, any light shower will exit to the east or southeast and low level humidity will drop and scour out the low clouds and any fog, but mid to mostly high clouds are expected to persist into tonight. Westerly winds increase to near 10-15 mph with a few gusts of 20 mph this afternoon, with above seasonable temps in the 70s most locations. A secondary trough will push through tonight and shift winds around to the northwest providing more cooling to the area. So for tonight, much cooler than the past few days, and expecting lows in the 40s most locations with lower 50s near the coast and far southeast zones. Winds will be northwest up 5-10 mph.
Overall, NBM temps looked reasonable with slight adjustments from MOS guidance.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Thursday)
Issued at 255 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

High pressure conditions will dominate the weather pattern through this period with westerly flow shifting more out of the northwest on Wednesday as a dry cold front presses down from out of the north bringing colder temperatures, clearing skies, and breezy northwesterly winds. Lowest temperatures of the week will occur on Wednesday and Thursday with max daytime temps in the upper 50s and lower 60s with overnight low temperatures dropping down into the 30s and 40s.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 255 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Prevailing flow will shift about to become more out of the southwest by the end of the week as high pressure moves off to the east.
Chances for showers and storms will increase over the weekend ahead of an advancing cold front from out of the west. Highest chances for convection are expected on Sunday, with the frontal boundary crossing through the region before the beginning of next week.
Temperatures will trend to be near or just above the seasonal average for the weekend.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Areas to widespread low cigs and some lower vsby expected to persist into the early morning hours. LIFR to IFR conditions will tend to prevail at most terminals until about 13z-14z today, and then improving quickly to MVFR, and VFR by around 17z with the cold frontal passage. A few light showers will be possible but not expected to have much impact at TAFs at this time. Sfc winds light southwest- west early and turn to the west increasing to 8-12 kt by around 15z-16z, with a few gusts of 15-20 kt in the aftn before become light west- northwest after 23z.

MARINE
Issued at 255 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Cold front moves through early this morning, and westerly winds around 10-15 kt will prevail today, and increases slightly tonight to near exercise levels briefly offshore as a trough of low pressure moves through. Seas mainly 2-4 ft, highest offshore.
Pressure gradient increases Tuesday night into Wed as another surge of cool air arrives from the north and northwest, causing likely small craft advy level winds for the offshore waters, with timing from late Tuesday night into late Wed night or Thu morning. High pressure will build into the area Thu-Thu night, with another cold front moving into the area late this weekend.

Rip Currents: Lower surf heights of 2 ft or less and offshore flow will maintain primarily a low risk today through Tuesday, and possibly into Wednesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 71 44 62 42 / 10 0 0 0 SSI 72 50 64 46 / 20 0 0 0 JAX 75 49 65 44 / 20 0 0 0 SGJ 76 53 68 47 / 20 0 0 0 GNV 75 51 66 45 / 20 0 0 0 OCF 76 51 68 46 / 20 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.

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Ormond Beach
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Mon -- 04:32 AM EST     0.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:42 AM EST     0.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:39 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:51 PM EST     0.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida, Tide feet

Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier)
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Mon -- 12:33 AM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:41 AM EST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 12:52 PM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:31 PM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Daytona Beach Shores (Sunglow Pier), Florida, Tide feet

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