Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL

SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Monday)
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

Prevailing flow will shift to become more out of the south and southwest by the end of the weekend as high pressure to the north moves off into the Atlantic with high pressure ridging extending in from out of the east shifting its way northward by Sunday.
Chances for diurnal convection will increase for Sunday and Monday as PWAT values over northeast Florida rises to 2 inches and higher. High temperatures will reach up into the lower to mid 90s this weekend with overnight low temperatures dropping down into the upper 60s and the lower 70s. Heat index values will reach values of over 100 degrees for northeast Florida and portions of southeast Georgia on Sunday and Monday.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Friday)
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

Convection is expected to become more widespread by midweek as a frontal boundary presses down from out of the north and northwest as a result of an upper level low situated to the north over the Great Lakes area. Weak upper level shortwaves moving across the region during the latter part of this period will act to enhance the development of showers and storms over the forecast area.
Temperatures will remain above the seasonal average through the period with temps beginning to drop to near normal values after midweek.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1234 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

VFR conds expected through the TAF period. Easterly winds develop with the East Coast sea breeze at 8-11 knots this afternoon. Fog chances late Friday Night remain fairly low, but up to 20-30% for MVFR vsbys at VQQ, so will add in the 07-11Z time frame with the next forecast package.

MARINE
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

High pressure will build in from the northwest through the weekend resulting in a weak flow pattern and afternoon sea breeze development each day. Moist southerly winds will develop early next week and slowly increase daily thunderstorm chances.
Additionally, successive weak troughs of low pressure, emerging from the Gulf, will increase storm chances and wind speeds as they pass, especially on Tuesday.

Rip Currents: Daily Moderate Risk of Rips through the holiday weekend as weak pressure pattern sets up with daily sea breeze development along the Atlantic Coast which will keep surf/breakers in the 1-2 ft range.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

MinRH will drop down into 20s across inland areas this afternoon, with values remaining low on Saturday and improving on Sunday. Flow will become more southerly by Sunday resulting in increased chances for daytime showers and storms building along the afternoon sea breeze and over areas of boundary convergence through mid-week.
Dispersion will be good across northeast Florida today, with high values over most of inland southeast Georgia.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 63 94 69 92 / 10 10 10 30 SSI 72 85 75 89 / 10 10 10 30 JAX 66 95 72 95 / 0 10 10 30 SGJ 68 92 72 92 / 0 10 10 30 GNV 64 98 68 95 / 0 20 10 40 OCF 65 98 68 95 / 0 20 10 40

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.