Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for China Grove, TX
December 8, 2024 12:43 AM CST (06:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:15 AM Sunset 5:36 PM Moonrise 12:56 PM Moonset 12:00 AM |
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Area Discussion for Austin/San Antonio, TX
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FXUS64 KEWX 080448 AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1048 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
After a raw, chilly, and wet morning across the area, the heaviest of the rain has now pivoted to the northeast of the area early this afternoon. The shortwave energy that was embedded in the southwest flow aloft that triggered this activity has also moved out of the region. A coastal surface low currently located off the lower Texas coast has started to lift northward and will move parallel with the Texas coast throughout tonight. This may allow for a trailing band of light shower activity to focus across the coastal plains tonight with the closer proximity to the coastal low. Additional showers could then develop from late tonight into and during Sunday morning from the Southern Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country and even perhaps into the northern areas of the I-35 corridor with the approach of the base of the parent upper low that becomes centered from the Texas panhandle into Oklahoma. Patchy drizzle or mist will likely persist for many entering tonight with a reduction in local visibility. The visibility looks to become most reduced along and north of the Balcones Escarpment. The temperatures remain steady through tonight with little to no drop in overnight lows from today's afternoon highs.
The base of the upper level low will swing across the area through Sunday and this will allow for a drier northwesterly flow aloft to arrive on the backside of the trough. This pulls the rest of the rain chances east of the area by around midday. The low-level and surface flow turns west-southwesterly through Sunday as well, which weakens the isentropic forcing across the region. This will allow for the ceilings to raise and for the clouds to break or clear out across our northern most areas from late in the day into Sunday night. A milder but cool day is forecast for Sunday where daytime highs in the low to mid 60s should trend common. The coldest temperatures through Sunday night will be where the skies do clear out to the north-Northwest while locations under the clouds will remain and trends on the milder side.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Low level flow will be southwesterly to westerly Monday bringing warmer air. Highs Monday will be 15+ degrees warmer than Sunday. We may set new record highs in a few places. Dry weather will continue.
A strong cold front will move through the region Monday night bringing much cooler air. Tuesday morning lows will be 5-10 degrees cooler than Monday as the cooler air starts to move in. Highs Tuesday will be near 20 degrees cooler than Monday. Low temperatures may be the coolest of the season. Both Wednesday and Thursday mornings lows will be in the 30s across the entire CWA A few spots in the Edwards Plateau could fall into the 20s. Freezing temperatures may be possible over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau Wednesday morning.
High pressure will move off to the east Wednesday night and the low level flow will turn back to the southeast beginning a warming trend that will continue through the end of the period. Temperatures will be above normal by Friday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
IFR with intermittent LIFR conditions have developed at all terminals for the 06Z TAF cycle. Consistent signal from short range models for ceilings and visby to drop into LIFR range between 06z and 09z for all terminals. Models also show an increased chance for another round of light rain for the I-35 terminals starting in the 09z to 10z window. Given this is a relative new trend in the short range guidance, have gone with a PROB30 group cover these chances.
Overall trend of ceiling and visby improvement after mid-day Sunday looks to remain on track with just slight adjustment on timing. All terminal will return to VFR by 00Z Monday.
CLIMATE
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Dec 9 Austin Camp Mabry 83 (2019)
Austin Bergstrom 83 (2020)
San Antonio 85 (2008)
Del Rio 88 (2019)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 45 65 53 82 / 20 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 45 64 51 83 / 20 30 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 45 64 52 83 / 20 20 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 43 65 48 78 / 40 30 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 47 65 46 82 / 10 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 44 64 50 80 / 30 40 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 47 63 48 81 / 20 20 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 44 63 51 82 / 20 20 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 48 63 55 82 / 20 40 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 45 63 52 81 / 20 20 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 46 64 52 82 / 20 20 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1048 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
After a raw, chilly, and wet morning across the area, the heaviest of the rain has now pivoted to the northeast of the area early this afternoon. The shortwave energy that was embedded in the southwest flow aloft that triggered this activity has also moved out of the region. A coastal surface low currently located off the lower Texas coast has started to lift northward and will move parallel with the Texas coast throughout tonight. This may allow for a trailing band of light shower activity to focus across the coastal plains tonight with the closer proximity to the coastal low. Additional showers could then develop from late tonight into and during Sunday morning from the Southern Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country and even perhaps into the northern areas of the I-35 corridor with the approach of the base of the parent upper low that becomes centered from the Texas panhandle into Oklahoma. Patchy drizzle or mist will likely persist for many entering tonight with a reduction in local visibility. The visibility looks to become most reduced along and north of the Balcones Escarpment. The temperatures remain steady through tonight with little to no drop in overnight lows from today's afternoon highs.
The base of the upper level low will swing across the area through Sunday and this will allow for a drier northwesterly flow aloft to arrive on the backside of the trough. This pulls the rest of the rain chances east of the area by around midday. The low-level and surface flow turns west-southwesterly through Sunday as well, which weakens the isentropic forcing across the region. This will allow for the ceilings to raise and for the clouds to break or clear out across our northern most areas from late in the day into Sunday night. A milder but cool day is forecast for Sunday where daytime highs in the low to mid 60s should trend common. The coldest temperatures through Sunday night will be where the skies do clear out to the north-Northwest while locations under the clouds will remain and trends on the milder side.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Low level flow will be southwesterly to westerly Monday bringing warmer air. Highs Monday will be 15+ degrees warmer than Sunday. We may set new record highs in a few places. Dry weather will continue.
A strong cold front will move through the region Monday night bringing much cooler air. Tuesday morning lows will be 5-10 degrees cooler than Monday as the cooler air starts to move in. Highs Tuesday will be near 20 degrees cooler than Monday. Low temperatures may be the coolest of the season. Both Wednesday and Thursday mornings lows will be in the 30s across the entire CWA A few spots in the Edwards Plateau could fall into the 20s. Freezing temperatures may be possible over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau Wednesday morning.
High pressure will move off to the east Wednesday night and the low level flow will turn back to the southeast beginning a warming trend that will continue through the end of the period. Temperatures will be above normal by Friday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
IFR with intermittent LIFR conditions have developed at all terminals for the 06Z TAF cycle. Consistent signal from short range models for ceilings and visby to drop into LIFR range between 06z and 09z for all terminals. Models also show an increased chance for another round of light rain for the I-35 terminals starting in the 09z to 10z window. Given this is a relative new trend in the short range guidance, have gone with a PROB30 group cover these chances.
Overall trend of ceiling and visby improvement after mid-day Sunday looks to remain on track with just slight adjustment on timing. All terminal will return to VFR by 00Z Monday.
CLIMATE
Issued at 235 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Dec 9 Austin Camp Mabry 83 (2019)
Austin Bergstrom 83 (2020)
San Antonio 85 (2008)
Del Rio 88 (2019)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 45 65 53 82 / 20 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 45 64 51 83 / 20 30 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 45 64 52 83 / 20 20 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 43 65 48 78 / 40 30 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 47 65 46 82 / 10 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 44 64 50 80 / 30 40 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 47 63 48 81 / 20 20 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 44 63 51 82 / 20 20 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 48 63 55 82 / 20 40 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 45 63 52 81 / 20 20 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 46 64 52 82 / 20 20 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSSF STINSON MUNI,TX | 6 sm | 50 min | E 04 | 3 sm | Overcast | Mist | 48°F | 46°F | 93% | 30.16 |
KSAT SAN ANTONIO INTL,TX | 10 sm | 35 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 46°F | 46°F | 100% | 30.16 |
KSKF KELLY FLD,TX | 10 sm | 13 min | calm | 1/4 sm | Overcast | Mist | 48°F | 46°F | 93% | 30.14 |
KRND RANDOLPH AFB,TX | 11 sm | 28 min | ENE 06 | 8 sm | Overcast | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 30.11 | |
KCVB CASTROVILLE MUNI,TX | 24 sm | 28 min | calm | 3 sm | Overcast | Mist | 46°F | 46°F | 100% | 30.19 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSSF
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSSF
Wind History Graph: SSF
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas
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Austin/San Antonio, TX,
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