Cut Off, LA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cut Off, LA

June 24, 2024 1:37 PM CDT (18:37 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:02 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM
Moonrise 9:49 PM   Moonset 7:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ550 Coastal Waters From Port Fourchon La To Lower Atchafalaya River La Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From The Southwest Pass Of The Mississippi River To Port Fourchon Louisiana Out 20 Nm- 253 Am Cdt Mon Jun 24 2024

Today - South winds around 5 knots early this morning, becoming light and variable, then becoming south around 5 knots this afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon.

Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 5 seconds. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds, becoming southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds, becoming southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds, becoming southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 253 Am Cdt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
the overall quiet period should continue to start the new workweek. However, showers and Thunderstorms will gradually increase in coverage with scattered to numerous showers and storms each day beginning Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cut Off, LA
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Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 241110 AAA AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service New Orleans LA 610 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NEW AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The main story today will be the heat. Upper level ridging will continue to spread eastward along the Gulf Coast today. Low level moisture will be on the increase today as well, which coupled with the hot afternoon temperatures will lead to heat index values to climb into the 108-110F range outside of the immediate Louisiana Coast. That said, there could be some late afternoon relief in the from of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, however, subsidence should keep most of this activity low-topped and rather low in coverage. Outside of the heat advisory for much of the region, wanted to focus on another Coastal Flood Advisory for coastal Hancock Co., MS. Water levels followed closer to the P-ETTS guidance yesterday and today should be roughly about the same, so around high tide expect some minor water rises in those known low-lying coastal trouble spots respectively.

Tonight, if we do get a little rain, some shallow ground fog may be possible, but given the low coverage didn't add to the forecast now. Outside of the rain and wet grounds, there could be some moisture pooling along a weak surface boundary that will move in and stall across the region later this evening before it begins to dissipate. As it fades to a remnant trough on Tuesday, it will be just enough to interact with the diurnal cycle to help generate a few more isolated to scattered showers/storms on Tuesday as well.
Similarly, coverage will be on the limited side. Otherwise, we'll likely need another heat advisory on Tuesday as temps will reach thresholds likely before any convection can develop. (Frye)

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

On Wednesday, more numerous showers and thunderstorms are anticipated as another surface boundary and parent upper level trough begins to slide southward on the eastern periphery of the upper level ridge across the Southwest U.S. This will likely help keep the heat in check slightly (it will still be hot, but largely not advisory hot). This weak surface boundary does stall across the Gulf Coast region and with a series of upper level impulses likely to interact with peak daytime heating as well as mesoscale boundaries (outflow or lake/sea Breeze). So, continued mid to higher-end POPs from this point through the end of the workweek.

Going into the upcoming weekend, the upper level ridge spreads east again, which signals more heat for the southeast. Our region will be in easterly flow aloft with a few inverted upper shortwaves moving overhead. Carried POPs naturally to account for this, but the question is how soon can convection develop and will it impact day time highs and max heat index values? We will continue to monitor this through the week in case there may be a need for additional heat advisories later in the forecast period.
(Frye)

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR conditions expected today with light and variable winds through the forecast period. That said, some afternoon convection will develop leading to SHRA or TS potential respectively. Covered this with PROB30s for now. Otherwise, will need to watch terminals along and west of I55 for potential fog development later in the period, especially BTR, MCB, and HUM...and especially if we get rain over these locations this afternoon. (Frye)

MARINE
Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Surface winds should remain southerly and be mostly light to moderate leading to mostly benign marine conditions through the period. A front will move toward the region early to mid week and perhaps another late in the week, which will help keep the pressure gradient on the lower side (outside diurnal upticks in wind across the MS Sound). Otherwise, convection will be possible especially during the overnight, which could locally increase winds and seas. (Frye)

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 93 74 95 74 / 40 20 50 20 BTR 98 78 98 77 / 40 20 50 10 ASD 96 77 95 77 / 50 30 50 10 MSY 95 79 94 79 / 30 30 50 10 GPT 94 77 95 78 / 40 20 40 20 PQL 97 77 98 77 / 40 20 30 20

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064-065-071-076>090.

GM...None.
MS...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ068>071-077-083>088.

Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ086.

GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BYGL1 - 8762482 - Bayou Gauche, LA 19 mi50 min 89°F 87°F30.00
GISL1 - 8761724 - Grand Isle, LA 27 mi50 min 86°F
CARL1 31 mi50 min 84°F
NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA 37 mi50 minN 5.1G6 87°F 88°F30.00
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA 43 mi50 minN 4.1G5.1 86°F 80°F30.00
LOPL1 - Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, LA 47 mi65 minSSE 1.9G2.9 84°F 2 ft30.0176°F
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA 49 mi50 minS 4.1G5.1 88°F 84°F30.02


Wind History for West Bank 1, Bayou Gauche, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGAO SOUTH LAFOURCHE LEONARD MILLER JR,LA 7 sm22 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy91°F73°F56%29.98
KHUM HOUMATERREBONNE,LA 17 sm47 minSE 037 smPartly Cloudy91°F75°F59%29.99
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Wind History graph: GAO
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana
   
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Manilla
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Mon -- 02:03 AM CDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:46 PM CDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:03 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:47 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet
12
am
-0.3
1
am
-0.3
2
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-0.4
3
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-0.3
4
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-0.2
5
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-0.1
6
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0.1
7
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0.3
8
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0.5
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.9
11
am
1.1
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
1.4
2
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1.4
3
pm
1.4
4
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1.3
5
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1.1
6
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1
7
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0.8
8
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0.6
9
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0.4
10
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0.2
11
pm
0


Tide / Current for Cocodrie, Terrebonne Bay, Louisiana
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Cocodrie
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Mon -- 12:16 AM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:04 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:21 PM CDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:49 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cocodrie, Terrebonne Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.3
2
am
-0.3
3
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-0.1
4
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0.1
5
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0.3
6
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0.5
7
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0.7
8
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0.9
9
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1.1
10
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1.2
11
am
1.3
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
1.4
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1.2
5
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1
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
0.6
8
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0.4
9
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0.2
10
pm
-0
11
pm
-0.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,




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