Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Micanopy, FL
December 8, 2023 5:26 PM EST (22:26 UTC)
Sunrise 7:10AM Sunset 5:31PM Moonrise 2:53AM Moonset 2:31PM
GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 250 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Monday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Monday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 250 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Synopsis.. High pressure to move further into the western atlantic keeping southeast winds over the E gulf waters tonight through Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area Sunday into Sunday night with southwest winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with very strong nw winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.
Synopsis.. High pressure to move further into the western atlantic keeping southeast winds over the E gulf waters tonight through Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area Sunday into Sunday night with southwest winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with very strong nw winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 081913 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 213 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
...STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
CHILLY CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WINDY COASTAL CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK
NEAR TERM
(through Tonight)
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Tonight: Forecast remain on track. Slowly moistening airmass as S-SE flow at the surface will combine with SW flow in the mid/upper levels to continue a stream of mid/high clouds from the Gulf of Mexico across the region through tonight. Already seeing some weak radar returns over the NE Gulf indicating some Virga/Sprinkles as dry mid level pocket of air will slowly moisten into late this afternoon and allow for some light rain showers/sprinkles tonight across all of NE FL and into portions of SE GA near the FL/GA border. Measurable rainfall chances continue to trend around 20% or less, with only a few hundredths of an inch possible in some inland NE FL locations tonight. The abundant cloud cover will only allow for low temps to fall into the 50s inland and near 60F along the Atlantic Coast, and for the most part significant fog is not expected, although some short range models are suggesting some of the mid/high clouds start to clear around sunrise Saturday morning and with increasing dew points in the SE-S surface flow, this will set up some patchy fog potential from I-10 northward across SE GA in the 3am-9am time frame and have added this into the forecast grids, along with some low potential for patchy sea fog in the nearshore waters from Jacksonville northward to Brunswick.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
SAT
A moistening, southerly flow will be in place Sunday between a progressive low level and surface ridge to the east and an approaching cold front and supporting upper trough.
The southerly flow is likely to build patchy fog over portions of the area and coastal waters. Fog that develops over land should lift by an hour or two after sunrise Saturday, but confidence in the duration of any potential sea fog is low and it could linger well into the late morning.
Otherwise, as we await the encroaching cold front, wake subsidence behind the passing upper wave should keep conditions dry through Saturday. This warming flow regime will boost temps into the upper 70s and low 80s Saturday afternoon under partly sunny skies. The diurnal temp curve will be displaced, but early Sunday temps will be on the mild side with readings in the low 60s.
SUN
Widespread rainfall and potential for isolated severe t'storms is expected Sunday afternoon and evening as a convective line translates east-southeastward through the region. The wind threat will be the highest with the embedded storms along the line with gusts between 40-60 mph. Even outside of storm influence, gradient winds will strengthen and become breezy to locally windy with gusts between 25-35 mph.
The current SPC outlook paints a "Marginal" risk across the interior areas of southeast GA. Given the strengthening southeasterly flow, it's possible that better moisture/instability will funnel from NE GOMEX and across portions of northeast FL, specifically the lower Suwannee River Valley. There's potential for sufficient instability to push farther east across NE FL Sunday, which would enhance/expand the current risk of severe weather eastward. Please stay tuned for forecast updates through Saturday.
Additionally, PWAT will surge toward 1.8" which is more than sufficient for heavy rain and substantial rainfall rates with stronger embedded convection. There will be a threat of localized flooding across the region with the highest risk being inland along the I-10 corridor and through the Suwannee Valley where drainage/ditches are still partially filled from the severe weather event last weekend. Widespread rain amounts will be between 0.5-1.5 inches with pockets of 2-3" possible.
Temperatures will begin on the warm side but due the speed of the frontal passage, anticipate temps to rapidly decrease as cold air advection takes hold. From afternoon highs in the 70s, temps will crash into the upper 30s and low 40s in SE GA and into the low to mid 40s in NE FL by sunrise Monday. Post-frontal winds will make it feel much colder with wind chills in the upper 20s in SE GA and low/mid 30s in NE FL late Sunday night.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 206 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Cold high pressure initially builds from the west behind the front Monday then tracks to the north through Tuesday. Another stronger high will supplant the original high by midweek resulting in strengthening onshore flow and windy conditions at the coast through the end of next week. As far as rain chances go, it appears that a coastal trough will form amid the strengthening flow which will increase convergence and shower chances along the immediate coast. Given the windy coastal conditions, typical coastal hazards (i.e. rip currents, high surf, dangerous boating conditions, and elevated tides) will be possible late next week and into next weekend. Temps rebound to near climo after the chilly Monday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Not much change to the current TAF forecast as VFR conds with mid and high clouds expected through most of the period. Still on track for lowering mid cloud decks after sunset with slight chance of light showers/sprinkles at all TAF sites, so have kept VCSH at the moment despite rainfall chances remaining only around 20% or less. The injection of some moisture in the atmosphere tonight, along with the chance of some breaking of the clouds around sunrise will likely lead to at least some light fog and low stratus and have added some 3-6SM BR and kept the SCT003-005 in the TAF forecast from 09-13Z time frame, best chances will likely be at the the normally fog prone VQQ along with some light sea fog potential at SSI. For now have kept MVFR conds, but these two locations have the best chance of potential IFR conds. Less mid and high cloud cover is expected towards the end of the period from 15-18Z with increasing southerly winds to 8-10 knots or so.
MARINE
Southeasterly flow will continue through Saturday ahead of an approaching cold that pass over the waters Sunday night. Ahead of the front southwesterly winds will strengthen and likely require Small Craft Advisory headlines. Strong winds with occasional Gale force gusts offshore is also expected with the northwest winds following behind the front. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms associated with the front will impact the waters Sunday evening. An initial area of high pressure will build from west and then to the north where it will intensify resulting in strengthening northeast winds through the latter half of next week.
Rip Currents: Moderate risk through the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 53 78 62 73 / 10 10 20 100 SSI 58 74 62 74 / 20 10 10 80 JAX 57 78 62 76 / 20 10 10 80 SGJ 60 77 63 77 / 20 10 10 60 GNV 57 80 62 77 / 20 10 10 80 OCF 58 81 62 79 / 20 10 10 70
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 213 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
...STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
CHILLY CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WINDY COASTAL CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK
NEAR TERM
(through Tonight)
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Tonight: Forecast remain on track. Slowly moistening airmass as S-SE flow at the surface will combine with SW flow in the mid/upper levels to continue a stream of mid/high clouds from the Gulf of Mexico across the region through tonight. Already seeing some weak radar returns over the NE Gulf indicating some Virga/Sprinkles as dry mid level pocket of air will slowly moisten into late this afternoon and allow for some light rain showers/sprinkles tonight across all of NE FL and into portions of SE GA near the FL/GA border. Measurable rainfall chances continue to trend around 20% or less, with only a few hundredths of an inch possible in some inland NE FL locations tonight. The abundant cloud cover will only allow for low temps to fall into the 50s inland and near 60F along the Atlantic Coast, and for the most part significant fog is not expected, although some short range models are suggesting some of the mid/high clouds start to clear around sunrise Saturday morning and with increasing dew points in the SE-S surface flow, this will set up some patchy fog potential from I-10 northward across SE GA in the 3am-9am time frame and have added this into the forecast grids, along with some low potential for patchy sea fog in the nearshore waters from Jacksonville northward to Brunswick.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
SAT
A moistening, southerly flow will be in place Sunday between a progressive low level and surface ridge to the east and an approaching cold front and supporting upper trough.
The southerly flow is likely to build patchy fog over portions of the area and coastal waters. Fog that develops over land should lift by an hour or two after sunrise Saturday, but confidence in the duration of any potential sea fog is low and it could linger well into the late morning.
Otherwise, as we await the encroaching cold front, wake subsidence behind the passing upper wave should keep conditions dry through Saturday. This warming flow regime will boost temps into the upper 70s and low 80s Saturday afternoon under partly sunny skies. The diurnal temp curve will be displaced, but early Sunday temps will be on the mild side with readings in the low 60s.
SUN
Widespread rainfall and potential for isolated severe t'storms is expected Sunday afternoon and evening as a convective line translates east-southeastward through the region. The wind threat will be the highest with the embedded storms along the line with gusts between 40-60 mph. Even outside of storm influence, gradient winds will strengthen and become breezy to locally windy with gusts between 25-35 mph.
The current SPC outlook paints a "Marginal" risk across the interior areas of southeast GA. Given the strengthening southeasterly flow, it's possible that better moisture/instability will funnel from NE GOMEX and across portions of northeast FL, specifically the lower Suwannee River Valley. There's potential for sufficient instability to push farther east across NE FL Sunday, which would enhance/expand the current risk of severe weather eastward. Please stay tuned for forecast updates through Saturday.
Additionally, PWAT will surge toward 1.8" which is more than sufficient for heavy rain and substantial rainfall rates with stronger embedded convection. There will be a threat of localized flooding across the region with the highest risk being inland along the I-10 corridor and through the Suwannee Valley where drainage/ditches are still partially filled from the severe weather event last weekend. Widespread rain amounts will be between 0.5-1.5 inches with pockets of 2-3" possible.
Temperatures will begin on the warm side but due the speed of the frontal passage, anticipate temps to rapidly decrease as cold air advection takes hold. From afternoon highs in the 70s, temps will crash into the upper 30s and low 40s in SE GA and into the low to mid 40s in NE FL by sunrise Monday. Post-frontal winds will make it feel much colder with wind chills in the upper 20s in SE GA and low/mid 30s in NE FL late Sunday night.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 206 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Cold high pressure initially builds from the west behind the front Monday then tracks to the north through Tuesday. Another stronger high will supplant the original high by midweek resulting in strengthening onshore flow and windy conditions at the coast through the end of next week. As far as rain chances go, it appears that a coastal trough will form amid the strengthening flow which will increase convergence and shower chances along the immediate coast. Given the windy coastal conditions, typical coastal hazards (i.e. rip currents, high surf, dangerous boating conditions, and elevated tides) will be possible late next week and into next weekend. Temps rebound to near climo after the chilly Monday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023
Not much change to the current TAF forecast as VFR conds with mid and high clouds expected through most of the period. Still on track for lowering mid cloud decks after sunset with slight chance of light showers/sprinkles at all TAF sites, so have kept VCSH at the moment despite rainfall chances remaining only around 20% or less. The injection of some moisture in the atmosphere tonight, along with the chance of some breaking of the clouds around sunrise will likely lead to at least some light fog and low stratus and have added some 3-6SM BR and kept the SCT003-005 in the TAF forecast from 09-13Z time frame, best chances will likely be at the the normally fog prone VQQ along with some light sea fog potential at SSI. For now have kept MVFR conds, but these two locations have the best chance of potential IFR conds. Less mid and high cloud cover is expected towards the end of the period from 15-18Z with increasing southerly winds to 8-10 knots or so.
MARINE
Southeasterly flow will continue through Saturday ahead of an approaching cold that pass over the waters Sunday night. Ahead of the front southwesterly winds will strengthen and likely require Small Craft Advisory headlines. Strong winds with occasional Gale force gusts offshore is also expected with the northwest winds following behind the front. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms associated with the front will impact the waters Sunday evening. An initial area of high pressure will build from west and then to the north where it will intensify resulting in strengthening northeast winds through the latter half of next week.
Rip Currents: Moderate risk through the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 53 78 62 73 / 10 10 20 100 SSI 58 74 62 74 / 20 10 10 80 JAX 57 78 62 76 / 20 10 10 80 SGJ 60 77 63 77 / 20 10 10 60 GNV 57 80 62 77 / 20 10 10 80 OCF 58 81 62 79 / 20 10 10 70
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KGNV GAINESVILLE RGNL,FL | 11 sm | 33 min | calm | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 70°F | 57°F | 64% | 30.17 |
Wind History from GNV
(wind in knots)Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EST 3.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:50 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 06:36 AM EST 2.84 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 12:35 PM EST 3.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 07:08 PM EST 2.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EST 3.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:50 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 06:36 AM EST 2.84 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 12:35 PM EST 3.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 07:08 PM EST 2.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.6 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 3.3 |
| 3 am |
| 3.1 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.9 |
| 6 am |
| 2.9 |
| 7 am |
| 2.8 |
| 8 am |
| 2.9 |
| 9 am |
| 3.2 |
| 10 am |
| 3.4 |
| 11 am |
| 3.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 3 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.5 |
Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:50 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 06:51 AM EST 0.75 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 12:23 PM EST 1.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 07:28 PM EST 0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:50 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 06:51 AM EST 0.75 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 12:23 PM EST 1.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:29 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 07:28 PM EST 0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.3 |
| 1 am |
| 1.3 |
| 2 am |
| 1.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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