Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Palm Coast, FL

NEAR TERM
(Through Friday)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Tonight: High pressure ridge axis will remain locked in at the surface with a dry westerly steering flow in the low levels of the atmosphere, while high pressure ridge also builds in from the West across the SE US states. There are some high clouds pushing over the top of this "dirty" ridge and expect enough to call for mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, but these clouds will remain fairly thin and will not prevent temps from falling into the mid/upper 60s over inland areas, along with some patchy fog around sunrise Friday morning, with the HRRR still supporting some locally dense fog along the I-75 corridor of inland NE FL between 4am-8am Friday morning. Otherwise milder along the Atlantic Coastal areas, with lows in the lower/middle 70s.

Friday...No changes in the local weather pattern as dry and hot westerly flow will continue with ridge aloft suppressing any afternoon convection as PWATs remain only around 1 inch, while the near breezy westerly flow at 10-15G20-25 mph will keep the East Coast sea breeze pinned at the Atlantic coast allowing for the hot temps to push all the way to east with near record highs generally in the middle 90s inland, but some upper 90s possible along the I-95 corridor, especially in the urban centers with peak heat indices nudging just over 100F for the first time this year.
Rainfall chances remain around 10 percent or less in this pattern.

SHORT TERM
(Friday Night through Saturday night)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

It'll be hot and dry on Saturday across the area as high pressure sits overhead. With west/southwest winds, high temperatures will reach the 90s area-wide, including at the immediate Atlantic coast. Heat indices will not be much higher than actual temperatures given drier air in place, but they will approach the upper 90s to near 100 in the afternoon.

Mild low temperatures are forecast Friday and Saturday nights, only falling into the mid 60s to low 70s. With calm winds overnight, patchy fog is likely for inland northeast Florida, with locally dense fog possible near the I-75 corridor.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

Above average temperatures with highs in the 90s continue through Wednesday, with mainly dry conditions. A front will sink southward and lay across central Georgia on Sunday, before lifting back northward on Monday. Isolated showers and storms will be possible across southeast Georgia on Sunday as the front sits nearby, but chances are only at about 15-20% at this time.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 838 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

Mainly VFR conditions with WSW winds prevail through the period.
Patchy fog will be possible at VQQ and GNV between 08-12Z lowering VSBYs to MVFR. Brief IFR/LIFR ceilings will be possible with the fog at GNV. WSW winds increase to around 10 kts after 15Z.

MARINE
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

No headlines expected as high pressure ridge axis remains south of the local waters over the next 5 days, while a weak frontal boundary will stall well north of the waters over the SE US states into the Carolinas. This will continue a mostly offshore West to Southwest flow at 10-15 knots with seas 2-4 ft, with a daily Southeast to South sea breeze development along the NE FL/SE GE coast each afternoon and evening. A few of the evening nocturnal southerly surges may come close to 15-20 knots going into the weekend, but not enough to warrant any headlines with this afternoon's forecast package.

Rip Currents: Low to Moderate Risk into the weekend as surf/breakers remain in the 1-2 ft range along with a pinned East Coast sea breeze along the Atlantic Coast each afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

Hot and dry conditions are expected to persist through the weekend, with minRH falling into the 30-35% range Friday. Near record temperatures and occasionally breezy southwest to west winds expected into the weekend. Dispersion will be good on Friday, with high dispersion levels Saturday, especially for Southeast GA.

CLIMATE
Issued at 143 PM EDT Thu May 15 2025

Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures at local climate sites...

THU 5/15
JAX 97/1967
CRG 91/1991
GNV 97/1985
AMG 94/1990

FRI 5/16
JAX 96/1995
CRG 94/1994
GNV 98/1896
AMG 95/1990

SAT 5/17
JAX 96/1995
CRG 93/2001
GNV 96/1915
AMG 94/2001

SUN 5/18
JAX 96/1899
CRG 93/2001
GNV 97/1930
AMG 95/2001

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 67 94 68 93 / 10 10 0 0 SSI 71 90 71 93 / 10 10 0 0 JAX 67 97 67 97 / 10 10 0 0 SGJ 67 95 69 96 / 10 10 0 0 GNV 65 95 66 95 / 10 10 0 0 OCF 65 94 66 93 / 10 10 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.