Wednesday, October28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palm Coast, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 6:42PM Wednesday October 28, 2020 10:08 AM EDT (14:08 UTC) Moonrise 4:30PMMoonset 3:53AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Expires:202010282130;;953314 Fzus52 Kjax 280620 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 220 Am Edt Wed Oct 28 2020 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz450-452-454-282130- Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 220 Am Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 220 Am Edt Wed Oct 28 2020
Synopsis.. High pressure to the north will move east as hurricane zeta heads north towards the central gulf coast. The high will sink to the southeast Thursday, as zeta moves inland towards the tennessee valley. Winds will increase from the south-southwest on Thursday to advisory levels. A cold front will move southeast across region Thursday night, with high pressure building to the northwest Friday. The high will build to the north then northeast Saturday. Another cold front will move across the area on Sunday.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 27, 2020 at 1200 utc... 46 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 53 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 53 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 70 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm Coast, FL
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location: 29.58, -81.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 281157 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 757 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2020

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Thursday]

LIFR visibilities are expected through around 13Z at GNV. Brief periods of MVFR ceilings around 2,000 feet will be possible through around 15Z at SSI. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals through at least 06Z. East-southeasterly surface winds sustained around 5 knots early this morning will increase to near 10 knots by 15Z. Surface winds will shift to southeasterly and will remain sustained at 5-10 knots after 00Z, followed by southerly winds increasing to near 10 knots towards 08Z. MVFR ceilings of 1,000-2,000 feet may develop at the regional terminals towards 09Z on Thursday, but confidence was too low to include more than scattered cloud coverage at this time.

PREV DISCUSSION [350 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Easterly winds veer to southeasterly today as high pressure shifts to the east. Hurricane Zeta moves northward toward the central Gulf coast today likely making landfall in southeast Louisiana this evening. Zeta then accelerates to the northeast tonight passing to our northwest towards the Tennessee River Valley. Mainly dry conditions prevail for the area with isolated showers possible this afternoon over our western zones where moisture will be greater. Warm and humid conditions will continue with highs in the 80s and lows in the 70s.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday].

Thursday . TC Zeta tracks NW of the region across the SE US and will increase the south to southwest low level winds to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph at times. This will push Max Temps to record levels well into the 80s/near 90 for most locations by the early afternoon hours. The "tropical tail" of moisture will bring a round of scattered to numerous showers and storms moving from NW to SE across the region from the mid afternoon through evening hours before likely pushing into the Atlc Coastal waters around midnight. Some of these storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds of 40-60 mph and the risk of an isolated tornado is possible across inland SE GA and the Suwannee River Valley from the late morning into the early afternoon hours. Clearing skies expected during the overnight hours and Northwest winds should usher in some cooler temps by sunrise Friday morning with even some upper 50s for inland SE GA and 60s elsewhere.

Friday . Cooler and drier conditions following the frontal passage under Sunny skies and breezy Northwest to North winds around 15 mph. Max temps closer to seasonable values in the mid to upper 70s and lows Friday Night in the 50s.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Tuesday].

Saturday/Sunday . High pressure builds north of the region into the Carolinas and low level flow becomes a breezy Northeast onshore flow at 15-20 mph along the Atlc Coastal Counties with a few coastal showers possible at times, but overall rainfall chances remain low with inland areas remaining dry. Seasonable temps continue with most highs in the 70s except for some lower 80s across inland NE FL and lows in the 50s/lower 60s.

Monday . Upper level trof passage through the SE US clears out any lingering moisture offshore and low level winds back to the North-Northeast and remain breezy at 15-20 mph and temps cool sharply more with Highs only reaching the mid 60s to near 70 degrees under Mostly Sunny skies and temps falling Monday Night into the 40s across inland SE GA/Suwannee River Valley and 50s elsewhere.

Tuesday . Winds veer back to the Northeast and the breezy onshore flow will modify temps slightly with Highs back into the lower/middle 70s, but Mostly Sunny skies will continue as any isolated coastal showers should hold off until late Tuesday Night or Wednesday.

MARINE.

Easterly winds will veer and to southeasterly and increase today as high pressure to the north moves east and Hurricane Zeta moves towards the north central Gulf. Zeta will impact the northern Gulf coast Wednesday night, resulting in our winds becoming southerly. Remnants of Zeta will accelerate through the lower Tennessee Valleys on Thursday with a strong cold front expected to cross our local waters early Friday morning. Winds will increase from the southwest on Thursday to Advisory levels. Winds will then shift to the west and northwest on Friday and increase from the northeast Friday night and Saturday. Advisory conditions will likely continue through the weekend.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk for rip currents at area beaches through Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 87 74 87 54 73 / 20 10 80 20 0 SSI 82 75 85 59 73 / 10 10 30 30 0 JAX 86 74 90 58 75 / 10 10 30 30 0 SGJ 86 75 90 62 76 / 10 0 20 30 0 GNV 88 73 89 58 76 / 20 10 40 40 0 OCF 90 73 90 61 77 / 20 10 40 40 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 6 mi84 min SE 5.1 80°F 1019 hPa75°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 20 mi189 min SE 11 G 12 79°F 79°F1018.5 hPa (+0.0)75°F
41117 30 mi43 min 78°F3 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL20 mi3.3 hrsN 010.00 miFair77°F73°F89%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KXFL

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:00 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:56 AM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.80.60.40.20.100.10.20.50.70.80.90.80.70.50.30.20.10.10.20.40.60.8

Tide / Current Tables for St. Augustine Beach, Florida (2)
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St. Augustine Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:36 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     4.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:58 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:04 PM EDT     4.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.61.62.73.74.34.443.22.21.20.40.20.51.22.33.34.14.44.23.52.51.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.