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GMZ335 Expires:202312051015;;906202 Fzus54 Khgx 042122 Cwfhgx
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service houston/galveston tx 322 pm cst Mon dec 4 2023
upper texas coastal waters from high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nautical miles including galveston and matagorda bays.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz330-335-051015- matagorda bay-galveston bay- 322 pm cst Mon dec 4 2023
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday night..North winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots late. Bay waters smooth, becoming slightly choppy late.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Friday night..South winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Saturday..South winds around 15 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy, becoming choppy in the afternoon. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Bay waters choppy. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 322 Pm Cst Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
light northeasterly winds and low seas will persist through at least midweek, becoming southerly by the end of the week. Winds could occasionally flirt with caution speeds. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible Friday night into Saturday as the next cold front approaches. Gusty winds are possible Saturday night behind the front.

FXUS64 KHGX 042254 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 454 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 324 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

High pressure reigns over the eastern half of Texas, and the the satellite certainly shows it with a lack of well...anything over virtually the entire area. The cirrus clouds that were overhead yesterday aren't far off, though, as they stream over our nearshore Gulf waters. Temperatures are pretty seasonable, sitting just over early December averages in the upper 60s to right around 70 degrees.

This specific center of high pressure looks to drift off to the east tonight - so winds may become a bit more easterly tonight, though we'll likely just see winds go slack as the boundary layer decouples. Of course, under a clear sky, with light winds and dry air, radiational cooling should be strong. Expect lows tonight in the upper 30s north and the 40s most everywhere else. The coast, moderated by Gulf waters in the lower 60s, should stay hung up in the 50s overnight.

Don't fret too much about this departed high pressure, though. A clipper moving from the Dakotas today through the Great Lakes tomorrow will clip us with the tail end of its cold front, then another high drops into the Great Plains behind it. Since clippers tend to be fast, weak, and shallow, we won't be expecting any impact way down here in Texas except for winds to back more towards northerly. There may be a slight bit of cold advection, but if there is anything, it will be outweighed by getting a day of full sun, so we should expect another day of highs in the upper 60s and low 70s and another similarly chilly night tomorrow night.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 324 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Surface high pressure will work its way into the area at the start of the period, leading to an upward trend in daytime temperatures.
Northeast winds will become southeasterly, which will contribute to these warmer temperatures as well as an increase in overall moisture. High pressure will move eastward towards the end of the week, with the next cold front approaching from the NW. With the uptick in moisture, should see our next shot at rain Friday night through early Sunday morning.

A little more on this cold front...Models are not in agreement on the timing of the front, which could make or break the intensity of the storms that are forecast to occur ahead of and along the front.
GFS is currently the fastest solution, with the front reaching the coast just afternoon. The Canadian and Euro models, on the other hand, bring the front to the coast later in the afternoon.

Why is this important? If the GFS solution plays out, the cold front would move through before peak daytime heating occurs and any capping in place would be less likely to erode in time. With the Euro & Canadian's time of arrival occurring later in the day, daytime heating would help destabilize the environment ahead of the front, and may give enough time for the cap to erode.

I say all of that to preface that SPC has a 15% chance of severe weather occurring along a line from College Station to Houston to just north of Galveston on Saturday. I would like to point out that this is Day 6, so the forecast is most certainly subject to change.
In any case, be mindful of the potential, and stay up to date with the forecast.

Temperatures through the week will be in the 60s to 70s. Friday and Saturday are set to be the warmest days of the week as temperatures reach into the 70s area wide, and some locations reach to just shy of 80F. Lows at night will be in the 40s to 50s through Thursday, with lows in the 50s to low 60s Friday night.

Adams

AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Expect VFR conditions to prevail through the period with light, variable winds and clear skies.

Fowler

MARINE
Issued at 324 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Mainly light northeasterly winds and low seas will persist through at least midweek, becoming southerly and increasing (seas rising too) by the end of the week. Winds could occasionally flirt with caution speeds.
Look for a cold front (and associated showers/storms) to move off the coast and through the area on Saturday with strong northwest winds and building seas in its wake (advisories will likely be needed).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 41 70 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 45 70 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 56 66 53 62 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Clear Lake
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Mon -- 06:08 AM CST     0.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:36 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:20 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:46 PM CST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:51 PM CST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet

Clear Lake
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:17 AM CST     0.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:36 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:20 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:42 PM CST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:51 PM CST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas (2), Tide feet

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