Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cinco Ranch, TX

LONG TERM
(Wednesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 312 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Strong CAA continues into Wednesday night, but northerly winds subside a bit for areas away from the coast/the bays. Combine that with few to scattered cloud cover and we have our coldest night of the month so far. Expect widespread below freezing temperatures with a hard freeze for the Brazos Valley/the Piney Woods and a light freeze elsewhere (except along the coast). That northerly breeze will still be enough to make it feel much colder on Wednesday night/Thursday morning. Wind chill values will range from the single digits to the teens for most areas across the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods and areas west of I-45. Elsewhere, we can expect wind chill values in the upper teens to low 20s. As a result, an Extreme Cold Watch is in effect for most of Southeast Texas during this timeframe. There will be a mixture of Extreme Cold Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories, but either way just know that it's going to be very cold. Be sure to take the proper precautions to protect the four P's (people, pets, plants, pipes).
Stay warm and use caution if using portable heaters, bring your pets indoors, cover your plants or move them indoors, and take the proper precautions to protect exterior pipes (especially for those in the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods).

Plentiful sunshine returns on Thursday as strong surface high pressure moves closer and lingering moisture is pushed further into the Gulf. This will help daytime temperatures reach the low to mid 40s. Another freeze is expected on Thursday night with low temperatures ranging from the mid 20s to low 30s. With light-ish northeasterly winds for most of the night, we'll only see wind chill values in the 20s. Thursday night is also when we begin to set the stage for our next weather system. Strong surface high pressure remains in the central CONUS as surface low pressure begins to develop in the western Gulf. This will tighten the pressure gradient leading to increasing winds...looks like we'll be borderline for another coastal Wind Advisory going into Friday afternoon. Due to increasing moisture/cloud cover, daytime temperatures on Friday will actually be the coldest of the period and only reach the upper 30s to low 40s.

Rain chances increase as well from late Friday into the weekend as moisture surges northward from the coastal low drifting northward along the TX Gulf Coast. Widespread showers are expected throughout the entire day on Saturday making the first half of the weekend a cold and wet day...expect highs in the 40s/50s and lows in the 30s/40s. Those with outdoor plans for the first weekend of Mardi Gras should plan on dressing to stay both warm and dry. Drier air moves in on Sunday as surface high pressure moves in again leading to the second half of the weekend being sunny with highs in the low 60s and lows in the 40s. The warming trend continues into early next week though as we make our trek back to the 70s. This will continue our trend this month of either being well above normal or well below normal...with a couple of normal-ish days mixed in.

Batiste

AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1112 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Some light rain showers will continue along and east of I-45 for the next couple of hours, but the main story in this aviation discussion will be low ceilings and strong northerly winds. CIGs have dropped to 400-800ft behind the frontal passage with northerly winds of 15-20kt and gusts to 25-30kt inland (and even close to 40kts at GLS). These conditions will continue through the the midmorning hours with CIGs gradually rising and scattering out by the early afternoon with winds lowering by sunset - though remaining near 7-15kt through Wednesday night. There might be some lingering moisture leading to continue SCT to occasionally BKN low level clouds around 1500-2500ft Wednesday night.

Fowler

MARINE
Issued at 312 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Cold front will be making its way off the coast by 10pm or so. Ahead of the front, moderate east winds and some 2-6sm fog can be expected. In addition, hires guidance shows an uptick in scattered storm coverage in the region late this afternoon & evening. Cannot rule out an isolated strong cell or two. Behind the front, Gale Warnings are in effect for all waters. North winds will be increasing to 30kt with gusts to 40kt (and higher at elevated platforms, etc). These speeds will prevail into a good part of the day Wed before slightly diminishing. Though PETSS guidance isn't too excited about low water conditions Wed-Thurs, we'll still need to keep an eye on the potential around low tide cycles. Moderate NE/ENE winds and somewhat elevated seas will continue Thurs-Fri. A coastal low will develop off the middle Tx coast early in the weekend and track ewd. We'll again see winds increase (esp offshore), seas build, and rain chances increase. Conditions start settling down Sunday and we will eventually see and onshore flow resume early next week. 47

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 27 40 22 41 / 20 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 37 46 28 46 / 90 10 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 42 50 33 46 / 80 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 10 AM CST Wednesday for TXZ163-164-176-177-195>198-210-211-226-235.

Extreme Cold Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for TXZ163-164-176>179-195>199-210>213-226-227-235- 236-335.

Wind Advisory until noon CST Wednesday for TXZ176-195>198- 210>214-226-227-235>238-313-335>338.

Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST Wednesday for TXZ436>439.

GM...Gale Warning until 3 PM CST Wednesday for GMZ330-335-350-355-370- 375.