Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Steinhatchee, FL

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(Today through next Wednesday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Strong mid level high pressure is situated over the northeast Gulf and up the eastern seaboard while a shortwave trough is located in the southern Plains. The ridge will be shunted south this afternoon and tonight as the trough moves northeast through the Tennessee Valley. The ridge builds back northward ahead of another trough moving through the Plains and an associated cold front.

Before the front arrives Sunday, very warm temperatures will continue into the first half of the weekend. Highs will continue in the mid to upper 80s with around 90 degrees in some locations in the Florida Big Bend and southern Georgia / I-75 corridor Friday and Saturday. Along with this, fog development appears likely each morning through Saturday. HRRR/NBM probs for dense fog is around 60- 70% through the Panhandle and Big Bend where a dense fog advisory is in effect and may need to be extended east overnight tonight and may require another advisory Friday morning.

Much of the forcing with the cold front will be located well north of the area as the front swings by but may be just enough to squeeze out a few showers (holding around 20% west of the Flint/Apalachicola rivers Sunday morning). Slightly cooler and drier air will be left in the wake of the front with highs in the 70s and 80s Sunday through Tuesday then a gradual moderating trend Wednesday with more widespread 80s returning.

Fire concerns continue through the area with the ongoing drought and continued dry conditions. The next front appears to be a mostly dry frontal passage with a reinforcing shot of drier air on north to northeast winds. In fact, afternoon humidities may fall below 20% in spots Monday, which coupled with breezy winds and it sets the stage for high fire danger which may extend into Tuesday as well.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Patchy to areas of fog will begin to develop over the next few hours bring prevailing LIFR/VLIFR conditions to ECP and potentially east and north to near the TLH and DHN terminals. Fog is expected to lift by mid morning across all terminals with VFR conditions prevailing afterwards as 10 knot southerly winds develop.

MARINE
Issued at 219 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

High pressure will dominate through the northeast Gulf waters into the weekend with light southerly breezes and 1-2 foot seas.
Seabreezes will likely develop and push inland each afternoon. A cold front will pass through late this weekend, shifting the winds northeasterly/northerly. Behind the front, small craft advisories will likely be needed Sunday night through Tuesday morning.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 219 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

The stretch of dry weather will continue with high pressure situated through the southeast US. MinRHs today through Saturday will generally be in the upper 20 to mid 30 percent range inland. High dispersions are expected today along and north of Highway 82 and on Saturday along and north of I-10 as afternoon mixing heights reach in excess of 6000 feet.

A cold front will pass through the region on Sunday, shifting winds northerly and increasing transport winds to 15-20 mph.
Minimum relative humidities following the front fall to critical values in the upper teens to low 20s percent range, increasing fire weather concerns for the start of the work week.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 219 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

Little to no rain is expected for the next several days. Drought conditions will continue or worsen.

For more local drought information & statements, visit the following websites: weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 88 58 88 58 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 80 63 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 85 60 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 87 60 89 60 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 89 59 90 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 87 57 88 57 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 77 62 77 63 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/ this morning for FLZ007>015-108-112-114-115-326-426.

GA...None.
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ065-068.

GM...None.