Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Steinhatchee, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 6:10PM Monday January 27, 2020 11:08 PM EST (04:08 UTC) Moonrise 9:23AMMoonset 8:45PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Expires:202001281030;;620786 Fzus52 Ktae 280110 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 810 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-281030- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 810 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020 /710 Pm Cst Mon Jan 27 2020/
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Saturday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 810 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis.. Winds and seas are forecast to hover around cautionary levels through the upcoming week. A couple of frontal systems are forecast to bring rain and isolated storms to the northeast gulf around midweek, and then again towards the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Steinhatchee, FL
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location: 29.73, -83.53     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 280128 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 828 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

UPDATE.

Clouds are quickly clearing out and temperatures in southeast AL are already into the upper 40s. Made some adjustments to the temperatures to account for this. We can expect the temperatures to continue to drop into the low 40s tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION [624 PM EST].

NEAR AND SHORT TERM [Tonight through Wednesday].

A shortwave trough currently over Arizona and New Mexico is expected to quickly propagate eastward Tuesday, and in conjunction develop a weak surface low pressure system across southern Oklahoma and north central Texas. For the moment, most model guidance has kept the warm sector over our offshore waters as the low pressure system develops along the baroclinic zone currently located along the northern Gulf of Mexico due to cooler shelf waters. Expect scattered to isolated showers for much of the day Wednesday across the region. It may be possible that the warm sector may clip the Gulf and Franklin county coastlines; however, forecast soundings are suggesting that surface temperatures will likely be in the mid 50s. These temperatures across the boundary layer would likely be too stable to lead to strong or severe storms; however a rumble of thunder is not out of the question. Highs are expected to remain in the mid to upper 60s across the region for Tuesday and Wednesday, with lows in the upper 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

A brief dry period is expected Thursday in the wake of a passing frontal system. However, by Friday rain chances return as another system moves along the Gulf coast. Model guidance is showing this system becoming a bit more diffuse as it makes its way east, though coming to a better consensus on things drying out Saturday night into Sunday morning.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Wednesday]

VFR conditions expected for the area outside of DHN and VLD. DHN may see IFR VIS and CIGS briefly tonight but they will be on the eastern edge of the cloud deck so it will be a close call. VLD guidance is indicating they may go down so added a tempo for that. Otherwise, winds will be light with no rain.

MARINE.

Winds and seas are forecast to hover around Cautionary levels through the upcoming week. A couple of frontal systems are forecast to bring rain and isolated storms to the northeast Gulf around midweek, and then again towards the end of the week.

FIRE WEATHER.

No fire weather concerns are expected over the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

Impactful rainfall amounts associated with the frontal systems this week should remain offshore. The highest inland amounts are expected along the Panhandle and Forgotten Coasts. In these locales, 1"-1.5" will be possible over the upcoming week. Flooding is not expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 42 67 42 64 44 / 0 0 0 50 20 Panama City 45 66 49 64 46 / 0 0 10 60 20 Dothan 39 63 43 57 42 / 0 0 0 60 20 Albany 39 63 42 59 43 / 0 0 0 50 20 Valdosta 41 64 40 64 45 / 0 0 0 40 30 Cross City 43 67 41 68 47 / 0 0 0 40 30 Apalachicola 45 63 49 63 47 / 0 0 0 60 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . LN NEAR TERM . Bunker SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Humphreys AVIATION . LN MARINE . Humphreys FIRE WEATHER . Humphreys HYDROLOGY . Humphreys


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 7 mi68 min N 4.1 G 6 54°F 1015.1 hPa (+1.0)51°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 46 mi134 min N 6 G 8.9 57°F 1014.7 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 49 mi68 min N 4.1 G 5.1 58°F 1014.4 hPa (+1.0)55°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Perry-Foley, Perry-Foley Airport, FL24 mi73 minN 510.00 miOvercast57°F52°F83%1015.6 hPa
Cross City Airport, FL24 mi73 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F50°F92%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCTY

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3CalmN4CalmCalmNE3NE4NE4NE4E5E4S4CalmSW4NW6CalmSW3SW5W3NW4NW4N3N3
1 day ago--NW3NW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--NW4--N5--N3NW4--NE6W5W7CalmNW3W4Calm
2 days agoW5W5W3W4CalmCalmCalmCalmW3NW6NW7N7W6W9N6W7----W8W8W5NW5----

Tide / Current Tables for Fishermans Rest, Florida
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Fishermans Rest
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:40 AM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:38 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:43 PM EST     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:07 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:45 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:33 PM EST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.52.92.92.72.11.40.60-0.4-0.4-0.10.61.42.12.62.72.41.91.40.90.60.50.9

Tide / Current Tables for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:39 AM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:25 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:37 AM EST     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:42 PM EST     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:06 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:45 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:32 PM EST     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.52.92.92.62.11.40.6-0-0.4-0.5-0.10.61.42.12.62.72.41.91.40.90.60.60.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.