Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hastings, FL

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Low status ceilings are currently overspreading the regional terminals, with IFR to LIFR ceilings expected to prevail through around 14Z/15Z on Sunday morning. Southwesterly surface winds sustained at 5-10 knots overnight and Sunday morning will make the visibility forecast less confident, but MVFR visibilities should prevail after 09Z, with periods of IFR visibilities possible during the predawn and early morning hours. Ceilings should gradually lift after 13Z, with MVFR conditions expected by 16Z and then VFR conditions prevailing at the regional terminals by 18Z.
Showers and a few stronger thunderstorms are expected to develop across southeast GA and the Suwannee Valley on Sunday afternoon, with this activity potentially approaching SSI after 20Z.
Confidence was only high enough to indicate vicinity shower coverage at the regional terminals through the afternoon and early evening hours, with a PROB30 group maintained at SSI for thunderstorms with briefly gusty winds and MVFR visibilities through around 00Z. A majority of the shower activity will likely occur in the 00Z-06Z time frame at the northeast FL terminals.
Surface winds will increase shortly after the noon hour on Sunday, with sustained speeds of 10-15 knots expected after 17Z.

UPDATE
Issued at 700 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Mostly clear skies across the area at this time with weak surface troughing oriented southwest to northeast over inland areas and a surface ridge axis noted over southern parts of FL. Deep layer flow is west- southwest with best PWAT values of about 1.6 inches across the southern zones where there is some low level confluence. Models suggest with the adequate moisture that a few showers or a storm are possible in these southern areas later tonight given that we still have about 1500 ML CAPE values this evening and the flow is favorably southwest keeping some moisture in place from the Gulf.
Otherwise, guidance is still in good agreement that fog and stratus will be the main impact weather later tonight so have not strayed from that forecast, with areas/potentially widespread dense fog for a good part of the forecast area. We still can't rule out the need for a dense fog advisory later tonight. For the update though, some slight adjustments to the min temps and basically just tweaks for the POPs over the far south zones, with Marion county most favored for any precip tonight. Also made some slight adjustments to the POPS for Sunday with the latest guidance showing at least 20-30 percent chances late in the afternoon and into the early evening ahead of strong cold front advancing into the forecast area.

NEAR TERM
(Rest of Today and Tonight)
Issued at 1143 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Shortwave energy aloft and low level trough axis will continue to push through SE GA with scattered showers and isolated storms through the early to mid afternoon hours with heavy downpours, small hail and gusty winds possible. Further south across NE FL this energy aloft is weaker, with less moisture available, but still expect widely scattered showers and possibly an isolated storm as this feature pushes across NE FL and interacts with a weak East coast sea breeze later this afternoon through early this evening. Light SW flow off the NE Gulf tonight will lead to widespread fog development along the I-75 corridor of inland NE FL around midnight, some of which could be rather dense with visibility down around 1/4 mile during the overnight hours and Dense Fog Advisories may be required for this region, but also for points to the NE across the rest of NE FL and into SE GA as the low level flow is just strong enough to advect this low level stratus and dense fog all the way to the NE FL/SE GA coastline by sunrise Sunday morning and expect this fog to linger a bit before lifting a few hours after sunrise. The SW flow and low level moisture will keep overnight temps above normal and only falling into the lower/middle 60s area-wide.

SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 1143 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Showers and possible thunderstorms are expected on Sunday ahead of an advancing cold front pressing in from out of the northwest, with a marginal chance for storms to become severe. Conditions will clear on Monday as high pressure settles in over the forecast area with gusty northwesterly winds building through the day and then becoming more diminished over inland areas overnight.
Temperatures will drop sharply by Monday as cold air settles over the forecast area with daily high temps dropping from out of the 80s on Sunday into the 50s and lower 60s for the start of next week. Overnight low temperatures will similarly drop down from out of the 40s and lower 50s down into the upper 20s and lower to mid 30s.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 1143 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Potential for overnight and early morning frost/freeze conditions to continue through Wednesday. High pressure conditions will dominate through the period with mostly clear skies, dry weather, and mild winds. High pressure will gradually move off to the east as a weak frontal boundary dips down into the region from out of the north by around midweek, continuing the pattern of dry weather. Temperatures will experience a warming trend through the week with initially below average temperatures rising to be near and slightly above average by the end of the week and into the weekend.

MARINE
Issued at 1143 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Southwesterly winds will gradually increase through Sunday ahead of a strong cold front that will be entering the southeastern U.S.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this afternoon and evening. This strong front will cross our local waters during the overnight hours on Sunday night, with Small Craft Advisory conditions overspreading our local waters during the evening hours as westerly winds strengthen and then shift to northwesterly after midnight. Strong high pressure building into the southeastern states on Monday will result in occasional Gale Force wind gusts on Monday night, when Gale Warnings may be necessary. High pressure will shift eastward and will become centered directly over our local waters by midweek, allowing for winds and seas to gradually diminish.

Rip Currents: Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents will continue through the weekend in the offshore flow, along with surf/breakers around 2 feet or so. This trend will continue early next week as offshore flow increases behind the strong cold frontal passage and keeps surf/breakers around 2 feet or less through most of next week.

CLIMATE
Issued at 257 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

November 9: KJAX: 88/1986 KCRG: 85/2018 KGNV: 88/1986 KAMG: 87/1986

Record low temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday:

November 11: KJAX: 35/1977 KCRG: 37/1991 KGNV: 31/1943 KAMG: 27/1943

November 12: KJAX: 31/2011 KCRG: 35/2011 KGNV: 30/2011 KAMG: 27/2011

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 82 41 53 25 / 30 40 0 0 SSI 81 46 58 31 / 30 40 0 0 JAX 85 47 59 29 / 20 30 0 0 SGJ 83 51 62 34 / 30 10 0 0 GNV 85 49 60 29 / 20 20 0 0 OCF 83 51 61 30 / 30 20 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ450.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ452-454.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to noon EST Tuesday for AMZ470.

Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ472-474.