Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cameron, LA
October 4, 2023 8:59 PM CDT (01:59 UTC)
Sunrise 7:08AM Sunset 6:58PM Moonrise 9:49PM Moonset 11:44AM
GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 354 Pm Cdt Wed Oct 4 2023
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots late this morning and afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this morning.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Saturday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Saturday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday night..West winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots late this morning and afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this morning.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Saturday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Saturday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters rough.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Sunday night..West winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 354 Pm Cdt Wed Oct 4 2023
Synopsis.
an elevated onshore flow is expected to continue over the coastal waters west of marsh island into tonight as a tighter gradient between high pressure centered over the southeastern states and a weak trof to our west lingers. Winds will relax later tonight and Thursday with the approach of a cold front...however, expect a brief round of moderate to strong offshore flow once the front pushes through the region late Friday into Saturday. Winds will once again relax late in the weekend as high pressure builds over the area.
Synopsis.
an elevated onshore flow is expected to continue over the coastal waters west of marsh island into tonight as a tighter gradient between high pressure centered over the southeastern states and a weak trof to our west lingers. Winds will relax later tonight and Thursday with the approach of a cold front...however, expect a brief round of moderate to strong offshore flow once the front pushes through the region late Friday into Saturday. Winds will once again relax late in the weekend as high pressure builds over the area.
Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 042356 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 656 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Showers and a few thunderstorms have been present just west of our area for much of the day along a weak mid level trof lingering between Houston and Corpus Christi. Some showers have creeped ewd towards Beaumont this afternoon. A few more showers may scatter into the southeast Texas counties, but largely this activity will end after sundown.
Rain chances increase tomorrow morning as a cold front approaches.
Diurnally scattered, pre-frontal showers are expected to develop over coastal waters before moving inland around sunrise within a deepening moisture plume. Confidence is low to medium regarding timing of the front's arrival to southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana - morning guidance presented a slower solution with arrival around midday, while latest afternoon guidance has convection moving through much faster. Best-guess timing places showers and thunderstorms spreading into the area from northwest to southeast in the early to mid- morning, so maybe go ahead and break out that raincoat.
Upper forcing of the front lifts out quickly tomorrow, causing it to slow and stall over the area through Friday. This would be great news if the boundary can be the focus for convective activity over this period. Many hours of light to moderate rainfall is what our area needs to combat drought conditions.
Model soundings give indication that a humid airmass will be well entrenched along the boundary with fcst PWATs in the ballpark of 1.75 to 1.90 inches through Friday, but low CAPE profiles raise concern for buoyancy. Without any considerable lift, it may just be a drizzly, low- rainfall total-type of event with only localized instances of 0.50 to 1.00 inches Thursday to Friday.
Upper troffing swings across the US late Friday sending a secondary cold front through the region. This is the CHOSEN cold front which will bring about a true taste of fall. Keep reading for the best weather we've seen in AGES.
11
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
As we move into the weekend, our first taste of fall finally arrives with the passage of a secondary, reinforcing cold front early Saturday morning. This boundary will make its way offshore by sunrise, with a large surface high pressure ridge building down from the Central Plains in its wake. The tightening pressure gradient between these two features will result in a very breezy start to the weekend, with sustained northerly winds near 12-18 kts and frequent gusts to 20-25+ kts expected throughout Saturday. Offshore flow will advect a much drier and cooler airmass into the region behind the departing front, with PWATs expected to fall below the 10th percentile area-wide by midday. Min RH values will fall into the mid 20s to low 30s Saturday afternoon, which along with gusty winds will exasperate fire danger across the region, particularly for areas that don't see much rain with tomorrow's front. Temperature wise, highs will top out in the mid 70s to low 80s Saturday afternoon.
Surface high pressure will settle over the Gulf Coast on Sunday, where it will then meander through the first half of the week. This will allow winds to relax quite a bit late Sat into early Sun, while also keeping the region dry and mild for a bit longer. For both Sun and Mon, min RH values will remain in the mid 20s to low 30s, keeping elevated fire danger conditions in place. Temperature wise, highs in the upper 70s are expected on Sun, while Mon will be a bit more seasonal with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tuesday into the second half of the week, moisture begins to slowly return as surface high pressure slides to our east and winds become S to SWrly once again. PWATs return to near normal by Tuesday, before rebounding more significantly on Wed, particularly south of I- 10. While rain chances will remain near zero through Wed, moisture return will become noticeable in dewpoints/temps, with highs expected to top out in the mid to upper 80s both Tues and Wed.
17
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Very isolated showers are tapering out of the SETX counties, with this activity expected to cease in the next hour or so. Along with that, gusty winds will be the next to come down at or around 01-03Z. Models are hinting at fog overnight for all area, with a greater concentration in CenLA and the Acadiana region. Going into tomorrow morning we will see an increase in showers, then storms, as a frontal boundary begins to approach the area. Activity will spread across the CWA going into the afternoon hours with it lingering into the end of this forecast period.
Stigger/87
MARINE
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
An elevated onshore flow is expected to continue over the coastal waters west of Marsh Island into tonight as a tighter gradient between high pressure centered over the southeastern states and a weak trof to our west lingers. Winds will relax later tonight and Thursday with the approach of a cold front...however, expect a brief round of moderate to strong offshore flow once the front pushes through the region late Friday into Saturday. Winds will once again relax late in the weekend as high pressure builds over the area.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Dry and somewhat breezy conditions will continue into this evening across the area, with humidity values improving after sundown.
Starting tomorrow, humidity increases on elevated southerly winds ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. The elevated humidity remains in the region until the weekend when a sweeping cold front arrives.
Starting Saturday, the cold front arrives and dewpoints decrease dramatically. High temps will be in the 70s with dewpoints in the upper 30s to 40s. This will yield RH minimums in the mid 20s to 30s for what will be the remainder of the long term forecast (early to mid next week). To make matters worse, winds over the weekend, Saturday in particular, will be elevated around 15 to 20 MPH sustained with higher gusts.
Dry conditions, low relative humidity and elevated winds will result in increasing fire weather conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 68 87 65 85 / 10 70 60 30 LCH 73 87 69 85 / 20 60 50 30 LFT 72 90 71 87 / 10 40 60 30 BPT 75 88 69 88 / 10 70 50 30
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM CDT Thursday for LAZ073-074- 241-252>254.
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ615-616.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 656 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Showers and a few thunderstorms have been present just west of our area for much of the day along a weak mid level trof lingering between Houston and Corpus Christi. Some showers have creeped ewd towards Beaumont this afternoon. A few more showers may scatter into the southeast Texas counties, but largely this activity will end after sundown.
Rain chances increase tomorrow morning as a cold front approaches.
Diurnally scattered, pre-frontal showers are expected to develop over coastal waters before moving inland around sunrise within a deepening moisture plume. Confidence is low to medium regarding timing of the front's arrival to southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana - morning guidance presented a slower solution with arrival around midday, while latest afternoon guidance has convection moving through much faster. Best-guess timing places showers and thunderstorms spreading into the area from northwest to southeast in the early to mid- morning, so maybe go ahead and break out that raincoat.
Upper forcing of the front lifts out quickly tomorrow, causing it to slow and stall over the area through Friday. This would be great news if the boundary can be the focus for convective activity over this period. Many hours of light to moderate rainfall is what our area needs to combat drought conditions.
Model soundings give indication that a humid airmass will be well entrenched along the boundary with fcst PWATs in the ballpark of 1.75 to 1.90 inches through Friday, but low CAPE profiles raise concern for buoyancy. Without any considerable lift, it may just be a drizzly, low- rainfall total-type of event with only localized instances of 0.50 to 1.00 inches Thursday to Friday.
Upper troffing swings across the US late Friday sending a secondary cold front through the region. This is the CHOSEN cold front which will bring about a true taste of fall. Keep reading for the best weather we've seen in AGES.
11
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
As we move into the weekend, our first taste of fall finally arrives with the passage of a secondary, reinforcing cold front early Saturday morning. This boundary will make its way offshore by sunrise, with a large surface high pressure ridge building down from the Central Plains in its wake. The tightening pressure gradient between these two features will result in a very breezy start to the weekend, with sustained northerly winds near 12-18 kts and frequent gusts to 20-25+ kts expected throughout Saturday. Offshore flow will advect a much drier and cooler airmass into the region behind the departing front, with PWATs expected to fall below the 10th percentile area-wide by midday. Min RH values will fall into the mid 20s to low 30s Saturday afternoon, which along with gusty winds will exasperate fire danger across the region, particularly for areas that don't see much rain with tomorrow's front. Temperature wise, highs will top out in the mid 70s to low 80s Saturday afternoon.
Surface high pressure will settle over the Gulf Coast on Sunday, where it will then meander through the first half of the week. This will allow winds to relax quite a bit late Sat into early Sun, while also keeping the region dry and mild for a bit longer. For both Sun and Mon, min RH values will remain in the mid 20s to low 30s, keeping elevated fire danger conditions in place. Temperature wise, highs in the upper 70s are expected on Sun, while Mon will be a bit more seasonal with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tuesday into the second half of the week, moisture begins to slowly return as surface high pressure slides to our east and winds become S to SWrly once again. PWATs return to near normal by Tuesday, before rebounding more significantly on Wed, particularly south of I- 10. While rain chances will remain near zero through Wed, moisture return will become noticeable in dewpoints/temps, with highs expected to top out in the mid to upper 80s both Tues and Wed.
17
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Very isolated showers are tapering out of the SETX counties, with this activity expected to cease in the next hour or so. Along with that, gusty winds will be the next to come down at or around 01-03Z. Models are hinting at fog overnight for all area, with a greater concentration in CenLA and the Acadiana region. Going into tomorrow morning we will see an increase in showers, then storms, as a frontal boundary begins to approach the area. Activity will spread across the CWA going into the afternoon hours with it lingering into the end of this forecast period.
Stigger/87
MARINE
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
An elevated onshore flow is expected to continue over the coastal waters west of Marsh Island into tonight as a tighter gradient between high pressure centered over the southeastern states and a weak trof to our west lingers. Winds will relax later tonight and Thursday with the approach of a cold front...however, expect a brief round of moderate to strong offshore flow once the front pushes through the region late Friday into Saturday. Winds will once again relax late in the weekend as high pressure builds over the area.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 355 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023
Dry and somewhat breezy conditions will continue into this evening across the area, with humidity values improving after sundown.
Starting tomorrow, humidity increases on elevated southerly winds ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. The elevated humidity remains in the region until the weekend when a sweeping cold front arrives.
Starting Saturday, the cold front arrives and dewpoints decrease dramatically. High temps will be in the 70s with dewpoints in the upper 30s to 40s. This will yield RH minimums in the mid 20s to 30s for what will be the remainder of the long term forecast (early to mid next week). To make matters worse, winds over the weekend, Saturday in particular, will be elevated around 15 to 20 MPH sustained with higher gusts.
Dry conditions, low relative humidity and elevated winds will result in increasing fire weather conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 68 87 65 85 / 10 70 60 30 LCH 73 87 69 85 / 20 60 50 30 LFT 72 90 71 87 / 10 40 60 30 BPT 75 88 69 88 / 10 70 50 30
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM CDT Thursday for LAZ073-074- 241-252>254.
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ615-616.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA | 0 mi | 60 min | SE 15G | 82°F | 82°F | 29.92 | ||
| TXPT2 | 27 mi | 60 min | SE 19G | 82°F | 83°F | 29.85 | ||
| BKTL1 | 29 mi | 60 min | 90°F | |||||
| LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA | 32 mi | 60 min | 80°F | 90°F | 29.94 | |||
| PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX | 32 mi | 60 min | ESE 7G | 82°F | 83°F | 29.86 | ||
| SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX | 37 mi | 60 min | SE 16G | 83°F | 29.90 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from LCH
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:44 AM CDT 1.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:38 AM CDT 1.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:08 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:44 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 12:53 PM CDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:40 PM CDT 1.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:48 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:44 AM CDT 1.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:38 AM CDT 1.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:08 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:44 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 12:53 PM CDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:40 PM CDT 1.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:48 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.4 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.5 |
| 4 am |
| 1.5 |
| 5 am |
| 1.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.4 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
Mermentau River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 07:07 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:43 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 01:38 PM CDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:47 PM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 11:13 PM CDT 3.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 07:07 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 12:43 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 01:38 PM CDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:47 PM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 11:13 PM CDT 3.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mermentau River entrance, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.2 |
| 1 am |
| 3.2 |
| 2 am |
| 3.1 |
| 3 am |
| 3.1 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.9 |
| 6 am |
| 2.8 |
| 7 am |
| 2.5 |
| 8 am |
| 2.2 |
| 9 am |
| 1.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.3 |
Lake Charles, LA,
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