Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Abbeville, LA

DISCUSSION
(Tonight through next Thursday)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

High clouds are streaming into the area this morning along a weak upper level disturbance and slug of moisture moving up the Texas gulf coast. This disturbance will initialize showers and thunderstorms near the coast from late this morning until around sunset this evening. The highest precipitation chances will occur over coastal portions of Southeast Texas with PoPs falling with increasing latitude. Rainfall totals of between a quarter and half inch are expected for areas that do see rain. While this is certainly not drought busting, every little bit helps.

An upper level ridge will build across the central and eastern gulf Saturday into Sunday aiding to stall a frontal boundary northwest of the region. The NBM suite has introduced isolated PoPs across southeast Texas Sunday due to the proximity of this boundary, but at present this isn't expected to be a significant rain maker anywhere across the region.

Much of next week will be a battle between the ridge over the central and eastern gulf and the stalled boundary and moisture plume over northeast Texas with the ridge expected to win out at least until late next week when a more progressive upper trof will help push the boundary into the area. While this isn't expected to provide materially cooler temperatures, it may offer the next real chance of precipitation along with the possibility of some severe storms as outlined in SPC's day 7 outlook.

Jones

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

VFR ceilings will prevail through the early morning with high clouds streaming into the region from the west in response to a weak upper level disturbance moving up the Texas coast. Model guidance continues to depict a low probability of light ground fog until 13Z this morning, but the combination of increasing clouds and winds generally over 5 knots should make this very patchy and short lived at best if it occurs at all. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop near the coast in response to the aforementioned disturbance beginning after 16Z.
These storms are most likely to impact the the coastal terminals with very little, if any, making it as far north as AEX. Ceilings will likely fluctuate between VFR and MVFR in the vicinity of storms. Storms will begin dissipating after 22Z and are expected to be gone completely by 01Z. Away from storms, light easterly winds between 5-10 knots will prevail through the taf period.

Jones

MARINE
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Easterly winds will weaken slightly this morning, but remain elevated between 15 and 20 knots through the weekend in response to a pressure gradient along the periphery of an elongated area of high pressure extending along the the eastern seaboard and southeastern U.S. Seas will range from 3-7 feet this morning falling to between 2-6 feet this afternoon through the weekend. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 8 AM this morning. A weak upper level disturbance moving up the Texas coast will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the coastal waters and coastal lakes and bays from this morning through this evening with activity diminishing after sunset. Steady southerly winds between 10- 15 knots and no precipitation is expected through the middle of next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Ongoing drought conditions across the region will continue to make smaller fuels available for burning, but steady southeasterly winds this weekend through next week will keep minimum RH values in the 40-60% range. A weak upper level low will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region from late this morning through sunset this evening. Higher precipitation chances are expected closer to the coast with chances decreasing further inland. Significant precipitation is not expected this weekend or early next week.

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM CDT Friday for GMZ450-452-455- 470-472-475.