Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 8:26PM Saturday August 8, 2020 7:40 AM EDT (11:40 UTC) Moonrise 10:38PMMoonset 10:25AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:202008081430;;109341 Fzus52 Ktae 080648 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 248 Am Edt Sat Aug 8 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-081430- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 248 Am Edt Sat Aug 8 2020 /148 Am Cdt Sat Aug 8 2020/
Today..Light and variable winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Sunday..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 248 Am Edt Sat Aug 8 2020
Synopsis.. Light winds and low seas will make for favorable boating conditions at least through the middle of next week outside of Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 080956 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 556 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Sunday]

Low clouds have developed over VLD and have added a tempo for LIFR through 12Z. For the new set of TAFs, expect VFR through the period. Widely scattered showers and storms will develop late this morning through early this evening. Have retained PROB30 in the TAFs beginning this afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION [248 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Mid level troughing will extend from the central Gulf coast northeastward into the Appalachians, sandwiched between two height centers. One was located over the southern Plains and the other in the western Atlantic. A stationary boundary remains positioned just to the west of our southeast Alabama counties with a plume of moisture riding on southwest flow off the Gulf into the southeast US. Expect a similar day today as compared to yesterday; morning convection developing in the Gulf waters and Florida Big Bend then developing along the coast and moving northeast. Another area could develop across SE Alabama and SW Georgia where decent moisture and daytime heating will combine with additional surface convergence with widely scattered storms. The HRRR does support this notion and have expanded the mention of chance PoPs throughout our CWA into the early evening hours. Where it doesn't rain, temperatures will be quite warm and humid with highs in the mid/upper 90s and heat indices in the mid 100s.

SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday].

Upper level ridging will continue to extend westward from the western Atlantic and across the GOMEX. Meanwhile, a persistent weak mid/upper trough will extend south from the Tennessee Valley into or just north our forecast area Sunday becoming a bit more pronounced on Monday. At the surface, the axis of the western extension of the Bermuda ridge will remain to our south keeping a moist west to southwest low level flow across the region. Deep layer moisture will increase on Monday providing a better chance for diurnal convection. PoPs will be highest (50-60%) over the far eastern zones with 30% elsewhere on Sunday and increasing to 50-60% across the Tri-state area on Monday. Highs will be in the lower to mid 90s with heat indices 100-107 both days. Lows Sunday night will be in the middle 70s.

LONG TERM [Monday Night Through Friday].

Not much change in the overall pattern. Deep layer moisture will remain over the area with PWs forecast to stay near 2.0 inches. Chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms will continue to be around 50-60% which is above seasonal levels for mid-August. High temperatures will generally be in the lower 90s with lows in the lower to mid 70s.

MARINE.

Light winds and low seas will make for favorable boating conditions at least through the middle of next week outside of thunderstorms.

FIRE WEATHER.

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

Typical summertime convection is expected to bring periods of showers and thunderstorms across our area, but QPF yields 7-day totals of generally 1 to 2 inches or less. Isolated higher amounts are always possible with stronger or slow-moving storms. There are currently no flood concerns, and all local rivers and creeks are in good shape.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 96 75 95 74 95 / 30 10 30 20 50 Panama City 91 78 91 78 92 / 30 10 20 10 40 Dothan 95 74 95 73 95 / 30 20 30 10 50 Albany 96 75 95 74 95 / 40 30 40 20 50 Valdosta 94 75 93 74 93 / 30 30 60 20 60 Cross City 94 75 92 74 93 / 40 20 50 20 50 Apalachicola 90 78 90 78 91 / 20 10 20 10 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Scholl SHORT TERM . Barry LONG TERM . Barry AVIATION . Scholl MARINE . Barry FIRE WEATHER . Scholl HYDROLOGY . Merrifield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 12 mi116 min N 2.9 1020 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi53 min NNW 1.9 G 4.1 80°F 88°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi107 min N 5.1 G 6 77°F 1018.8 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi101 min W 2.9 G 4.1 83°F 1019.4 hPa (+0.0)76°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair77°F75°F96%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE3NE3SE4SE9S8S6S7S10S9S9S7SW7SW4S5S6CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalm--SW4N3CalmS7S8S11S9S8SW10SW7S7SW7SW6SW5SW4S6SW6CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3
2 days agoCalmCalmNW6CalmS7S8S9S11S9S11SW9SW7SW7SW3SW3SW6SW5W6CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:17 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:37 AM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:13 PM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.81.11.41.71.81.91.71.51.31.1111.31.61.82.12.22.11.91.61.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida (2)
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:28 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:20 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:39 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.91.422.52.72.72.421.51.10.911.21.62.12.52.72.72.521.510.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.