Thursday, March4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:39PM Thursday March 4, 2021 7:44 PM EST (00:44 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:41AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:202103050330;;469500 Fzus52 Ktae 041907 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 207 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz750-752-755-770-772-775-050330- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 207 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021 /107 Pm Cst Thu Mar 4 2021/
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Rain showers likely in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sunday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Monday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 207 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
Synopsis.. Light to moderate northerly winds will become easterly Friday. Moderate to strong northeasterly winds are expected this weekend. Showers are likely Friday night and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 050017 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 717 PM EST Thu Mar 4 2021

UPDATE.

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.

AVIATION.

[Through 00z Saturday] VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period with light winds.

PREV DISCUSSION [357 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Friday].

High pressure will dominate our weather through Friday although an approaching upper level wave will lead to an increase in high cloudiness during the afternoon. Guidance temps look reasonable and no major deviations were needed.

SHORT TERM [Friday Night Through Saturday Night].

A shortwave will dig south into southeast CONUS throughout the day on Friday and merge into a longwave trough positioned over the East Coast. According to current model guidance, this shortwave keeps most of its associated shower activity offshore throughout the day on Saturday. This is expected to be a light event with limited upper- level support, however, a reinforced shot of cooler air is expected to advect into our region after the system passes through the Florida Peninsula. Once this shortwave clears out of the area Saturday evening we'll once again be clear, cool, and dry. Expect overnight lows to be around 50 degrees with daytime highs in the low 60s.

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday].

Post-shortwave, we move into a ridging pattern and high pressure dominates. We'll be clear, dry and warming up through the long term. A pressure perturbation along the 500mb height contours moves across southern CONUS on Monday but fizzles out under higher heights before reaching the southeast, at most this perturbation increases cloudiness Monday into Tuesday. Expect overnight lows to go from the low 40s into the low 50s through the long term, with daytime highs going from the mid 60s into the upper 70s.

MARINE.

Northerly winds will continue to decrease this afternoon. Light to moderate northerly winds will become easterly Friday. Northeasterly winds will be moderate to strong this weekend. The next chance for rain will be Friday night into Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER.

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

Rainfall with the next system is not expected to cause any noticeable impacts with the ongoing river flooding across the region with rainfall amounts generally less than a half inch.

This afternoon, releases from Woodruff are approaching 55kcfs. This is more than sufficient to keep Blountstown above minor flood stage for the next few days. Incoming flows to the Woodruff pool are unlikely to necessitate any significant increases in releases over the next few days.

The Ochlockonee River basin continues to rise, with a crest nearing the gauge near Coolidge. Because the rainfall was at the top of the basin, it is taking time for the downstream sites to increase. With Coolidge nearly crested, we should see a crest at Thomasville very near the 15 ft flood stage on Friday afternoon. Downstream minor flooding to Concord is possible later in the weekend, but not at any of the other points downstream.

The Withlacoochee River continues to rise steadily at Valdosta with minor flooding expected there and continuing into the weekend. Rises are also steady on the Little River, and when looking at the timing and flows on the way, a period of minor flooding is possible at the US-84 gauge early next week.

Finally, ongoing flooding in the middle Suwannee will continue to slowly decrease with Branford and Rock Bluff forecast to fall below flood stage late Friday and Sunday afternoon, respectively. Further downstream flooding at Wilcox and Manatee Springs is unlikely, though the river at these two locations will remain very near minor flood stage for the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 43 74 49 62 42 / 0 0 40 40 10 Panama City 50 71 52 65 45 / 0 0 50 40 0 Dothan 45 70 47 62 39 / 0 0 30 20 0 Albany 42 69 47 61 39 / 0 0 20 20 0 Valdosta 44 73 48 62 39 / 0 0 30 40 10 Cross City 46 77 50 63 42 / 0 0 40 60 30 Apalachicola 50 68 53 63 46 / 0 0 50 50 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . DVD NEAR TERM . Johnstone SHORT TERM . Oliver LONG TERM . Oliver AVIATION . DVD MARINE . Johnstone FIRE WEATHER . Johnstone HYDROLOGY . Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 13 mi119 min W 12 68°F 1017 hPa51°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi56 min WNW 4.1 G 7 62°F 63°F1016.7 hPa
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi110 min SSW 8 G 8.9 66°F 1015 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi44 min W 15 G 16 62°F 1016.6 hPa (-0.0)52°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi51 minWNW 710.00 miFair61°F46°F58%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW6N5N4N6N9N754SW8
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1 day agoNE8E9E7E10E10E5N10N9N11N12N8N7N13N10N11N12N13
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Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:24 AM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:58 AM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:41 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:07 AM EST     0.74 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:43 PM EST     2.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:40 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.2-00.30.60.91.11.11.10.90.80.70.811.31.722.22.221.71.20.70.3

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida (2)
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:35 AM EST     2.10 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:33 AM EST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:40 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:39 PM EST     2.75 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:39 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.30.10.71.31.82.12.11.91.51.10.90.91.11.522.42.72.72.52.11.50.90.3-0.1

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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