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Marine Weather and Tides Carrabelle, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:29AM

Sunset 6:10PM

Tuesday January 28, 2020 8:37 PM EST (01:37 UTC)

Moonrise 10:00AM

Moonset 9:43PM

Illumination 16%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL

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Area Discussion for -

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FXUS62 KTAE 282325 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 625 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Thursday]

VFR conditions and light winds expected through Wednesday morning. An area of rain will then move in west to east by late morning with CIGS slowly falling throughout the afternoon, eventually landing near 1500-2000ft by the end of the TAF period. They look to fall into the IFR range after 00z. Timing of the category changes may be off by an hour or two in either directions and updates/amendments will be needed.

PREV DISCUSSION [315 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Tonight Through Tomorrow].

A fairly progressive upper level shortwave trough is currently over SW Texas, and is expected to move into the lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday morning. A weak surface low pressure system has developed across the Oklahoma Texas border in conjunction with the aforementioned upper level shortwave trough, and is expected to quickly dive south into the northern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday through Wednesday night. This surface low pressure system is expected to remain weak as the upper level trough quickly becomes vertically stacked across our region. With the warm sector generally remaining south of our region over the Gulf of Mexico, severe weather is not expected. The immediate coastline may have the potential for a storm or two to produce gusty winds; however forecast temperatures inland and along the coastline remain stable enough for any surface based storms coming onshore to quickly become decoupled. Widespread rain is mainly expected across the region tomorrow. Highs will generally remain in the upper 50s to low 60s across the region, with lows tonight bottoming out into the low 40s.

SHORT TERM [Tomorrow Night Through Thursday Night].

Any lingering showers across the region will quickly be exiting our eastern zones as the upper level trough and associated surface low pressure system quickly exit off the Florida east coast early Thursday morning. Clouds may linger through the day on Thursday; however, mostly zonal flow and weak high pressure building across the region may provide enough subsidence to provide some breaks ahead of the next system on Friday and Saturday. Highs will generally peak in the mid 60s across the region, and lows Wednesday night will fall into the mid 40s.

LONG TERM [Friday Through Tuesday].

An extremely complicated upper level pattern is expected to produce an active weather period Friday through Saturday, and over the early to mid part of the next work week. This weekends system currently is expected to produce more widespread rainfall compared to this weeks mid-week system; however, it will once again be progressive. The warm sector of low pressure system over the weekend will likely remain offshore preventing any development of severe storms. Expect isentropic lift across the entire region to produce a large rain shield responsible for widespread rain Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Tuesday's system is something to watch; however, at this time predictability is too low to determine the extent of any possible severe threat.

MARINE.

Winds and seas at or just below Cautionary levels should be expected through the week. Showers and isolated storms are forecast Wednesday afternoon through the night.

FIRE WEATHER.

Precipitation chance increases tomorrow afternoon. A drying trend will follow on Thursday. No fire weather concerns over the next two days.

HYDROLOGY.

The next two systems (Wednesday and Friday/Saturday) will bring some rain to the region, but with both of these systems anticipated to be fairly weak and quick movers, rainfall amounts should only be an inch or so. This will have little more no impact on area river levels. The next substantial system does not look to affect our region until the middle of next week. Thus, there are no flood concerns through the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 41 61 45 65 48 / 0 70 30 0 30 Panama City 48 63 47 64 52 / 0 80 10 0 40 Dothan 42 57 42 62 47 / 0 80 20 0 30 Albany 40 59 43 62 46 / 0 80 30 0 20 Valdosta 39 61 45 64 48 / 0 60 40 0 20 Cross City 41 66 47 67 50 / 0 60 50 0 10 Apalachicola 48 62 48 63 52 / 0 80 20 0 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Bunker SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . LN MARINE . Bunker FIRE WEATHER . DiCatarina HYDROLOGY . Godsey

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL	12 mi	113 min	Calm				1017 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL	19 mi	68 min		56°F	56°F		1016.6 hPa
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL	25 mi	104 min	Calm G 1	57°F			1015.5 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL	32 mi	98 min	Calm G 0	60°F			1016.2 hPa (+1.1)	38°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Last 24hr

N7

N7

N6

N2

N4

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N6

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N7

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NE10

NE8 G11

E7 G10

SE6

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NW1

1 day ago

E4

SE9 G12

N4

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NE6 G9

NE7 G10

NE7 G10

E8 G11

E7 G10

E6

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SE6

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E3

E3

NE1

N5 G8

N6

N6

2 days ago

NW3 G6

NW1

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NW3

N1

N2

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NW3

N2

NE3

NE4

N4

N6

N5 G8

NE4 G8

SE3

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S5

S2

W1

W2

NW1

W2

SE6

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL	21 mi	45 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	49°F	43°F	80%	1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

N8

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N5

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

N3

NE4

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NE6

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NE9

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SE8

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SW4

Calm

Calm

1 day ago

NE4

SE7

N3

E6

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NE4

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E9

E6

E7

E4

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E6

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N7

N5

N5

2 days ago

NW4

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NE4

N4

N3

NE5

NE5

NE4

S5

S7

SW4

SW3

W3

N3

Calm

SE4

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Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL

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Gulf Stream Current

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