Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tyndall AFB, FL

NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Tonight and Sunday will look a lot like last night and today. A very moist air mass is present over the area right now, with Precipitable Water values in the 2 to 2.2 inch range. In an air mass this moist, a little bit of lift goes a long way in producing rain and thunder. Of course, we have our usual mesoscale sources such as the afternoon seabreeze and the early morning landbreeze.
In addition, there is a little bit of larger scale lift on the fringe of the upper trough crossing the Mid-South region. In such a moist air mass, intense rainfall rates are likely, so training or backbuilding storms will add up rainfall totals quickly and support isolated flash flooding.

So ongoing storms will fade this evening. Storms will redevelop over the warm Gulf waters late tonight, spread onshore around sunrise, expand to the FL state line after sunrise, then they will be blossoming over Alabama and Georgia by noon tomorrow.

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

The Atlantic upper level ridge will continue to dominate over our region through the next several days. We may receive a few passing shortwave troughs next week but model guidance has yet to come into agreement. Regardless of the synoptic features for next week, we will be in a typical summertime pattern with daily afternoon thunderstorms. These thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts. Temperatures for the short and long term will generally be in the low to mid-90s for the highs and mid-70s for the lows. Have an umbrella handy for the week as PoPs range from 60-80 percent each afternoon. Come back to check for updates on the potential shortwaves we may receive next week.


AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 720 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Scattered showers and storms ongoing this evening should continue to dissipate over the next few hours. Some patchy fog and/or brief periods of MVFR ceilings will be possible overnight, but confidence is too low to include in the taf for now. Expect another round of daily showers and thunderstorms again tomorrow likely fairly similar to today.

MARINE
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

High pressure extending from the Atlantic will continue to hold over the region with light southerly flow. Daily showers and thunderstorms will be a concern to mariners with lightning, gusty winds, and possible waterspouts as the main threats.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Continued daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast through the next several days. Near and within thunderstorms, frequent lightning and gusty, erratic winds will be possible. Outside of storms, south to southwest transport winds around 10 mph continue each day with generally good dispersions.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Showers and thunderstorms can be expected on a daily routine.
Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall which could lead to nuisance runoff and flash flooding as PWATs remain elevated around 2 inches. Our rivers are in good shape, so riverine flooding is not expected over the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 74 89 73 91 / 30 60 20 70 Panama City 77 89 76 89 / 30 60 40 60 Dothan 73 90 72 89 / 20 70 30 70 Albany 72 91 72 91 / 30 70 30 60 Valdosta 73 91 73 92 / 30 60 10 60 Cross City 72 91 72 92 / 20 50 20 60 Apalachicola 77 87 77 87 / 40 70 40 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.