Nocatee, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nocatee, FL

June 22, 2024 11:43 AM EDT (15:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM
Moonrise 8:37 PM   Moonset 5:37 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Expires:202406222100;;448807 Fzus52 Kjax 220600 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 200 am edt Sat jun 22 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-222100- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 200 am edt Sat jun 22 2024

Today - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.

Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening.

Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Monday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Tuesday through Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 200 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis -
strong high pressure to the northeast will weaken and shift towards bermuda this weekend with decreasing winds and seas with a more typical summer sea breeze-like pattern returning into early next week. Rounds of showers and Thunderstorms will continue to develop over our local waters this weekend and into next week as prevailing winds become southerly ahead of a weakening surface trough that will settle over the southeastern states through midweek.

Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 18, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 88 nautical miles east of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nocatee, FL
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Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 221333 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 933 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

New NEAR TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM
Issued at 924 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Convection blowing up over Saint Simons Island and just offshore, am watching that closely for possible flooding in the City of Brunswick, GA. Right now it looks like the main band will remain just offshore but that is a pretty fine lone and some of the areas there such as near the Altama Connector, College Park and Rose Drive could be overwhelmed pretty quickly if it sets up over he city.

Otherwise as we realize daytime heating we should see convection blow up over the interior areas and move back toward the coast around the low over coastal Georgia.



SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 246 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

During this period, we'll have an upper ridge of high pressure centered over the western Gulf Coast states, while an upper trough remains stationary just offshore of the FL/GA coastline...with northwest flow aloft over the forecast area. At the surface, we'll have daily sea breeze interactions generating scattered to numerous showers and storms, with greater coverage across NE FL compared to SE GA each day. A warming trend is expected as 850mb temperatures rise from around 18C today to 21-22C Sunday and Monday, likely to translate to above normal high temperatures in the mid 90s inland, near 90 coast Sunday, with mid-upper 90s inland Monday, lower 90s coast...a few locations in interior SE GA could peak around 100 degrees. Afternoon heat index values each day will likely be in the 100-105 range.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 246 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

The upper pattern changes little until Wednesday Night and Thursday when an upper trough digs SE toward our forecast area, with the ECM a bit more intense with trough than the GFS, a reverse of what was shown by models 24hrs earlier. Both models leave behind an upper low over the region, with the ECM positioning it over the forecast area Friday, while the GFS has it over the nrn Gulf of Mexico. Regardless, with a moist environment in place, and active sea breezes with above normal inland temps, expecting to see scattered to numerous showers/storms each afternoon.

Above normal high and low temperatures will continue Tuesday and Wednesday...with some areas particularly in interior SE GA seeing high temperatures near 100 degrees.... and with afternoon heat index values of 100-105 each day. Current consensus guidance maintains above normal temperatures right through Friday, but could end up close to normal if the ECM pattern verifies.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 SSI is the last of the sites to have ceiling restrictions, and likely will continue through the morning as the weak tropical low lingers. Isolated thunderstorms will develop across NE FL and SE GA this afternoon, PROB30s in place for best guess on timing of impacts for the TAF sites in Duval and SGJ.

MARINE
Issued at 924 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

The coastal Georgia low will continue to weaken and then move northeast away from the waters today and tonight. Strong high pressure to the northeast will weaken and shift towards Bermuda this weekend with decreasing winds and seas with a more typical summer sea breeze pattern returning into early next week. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop over our local waters this weekend and into next week as prevailing winds become southerly ahead of a weakening surface trough that will settle over the southeastern states through midweek.

Rip Currents: Moderate Risk of rip currents. Conditions are still very choppy (washing machine) with lots of water coming over the sand bars. that will increase the velocity of the longshore currents and feed rips. Use caution today if going into the water.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 90 73 95 75 / 70 30 50 10 SSI 86 76 92 78 / 70 60 70 20 JAX 89 74 93 75 / 70 60 80 20 SGJ 89 75 92 76 / 70 70 80 30 GNV 94 73 93 73 / 70 50 80 10 OCF 94 74 94 75 / 60 50 80 20

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 13 mi44 minENE 2.9G2.9 81°F 83°F30.0981°F
41117 16 mi48 min 83°F3 ft
BKBF1 20 mi56 minNW 1.9G2.9 80°F 30.08
LTJF1 25 mi56 min 79°F 78°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 26 mi119 minWNW 1.9 79°F 30.1278°F
JXUF1 26 mi56 min 83°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 26 mi56 minSSE 1G2.9 79°F 83°F30.12
BLIF1 27 mi56 minSW 4.1G6 80°F 30.1180°F
DMSF1 27 mi56 min 83°F
NFDF1 29 mi56 minWSW 1.9G5.1 80°F 30.0980°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 45 mi56 minS 2.9G7 81°F 82°F30.07
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 48 mi104 min 79°F 82°F4 ft


Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSGJ
   
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Wind History graph: SGJ
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida
   
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Palm Valley
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Sat -- 05:31 AM EDT     -2.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:18 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:37 PM EDT     -2.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
1.9
2
am
1
3
am
0
4
am
-1.1
5
am
-2
6
am
-2
7
am
-1.2
8
am
-0.2
9
am
0.5
10
am
0.9
11
am
1.2
12
pm
1.1
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
-0.1
3
pm
-0.9
4
pm
-1.8
5
pm
-2.6
6
pm
-2.7
7
pm
-1.7
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.4


Tide / Current for Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida (2)
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Palm Valley
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Sat -- 05:31 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:50 AM EDT     4.86 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:19 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Palm Valley, ICWW, Florida (2), Tide feet
12
am
5.9
1
am
5.3
2
am
4.2
3
am
2.7
4
am
1.4
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.6
7
am
1.2
8
am
2.2
9
am
3.2
10
am
4.1
11
am
4.7
12
pm
4.9
1
pm
4.4
2
pm
3.4
3
pm
2.1
4
pm
1
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
4.8
11
pm
5.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Jacksonville, FL,




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