Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orange, TX

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Upper level ridging will continue to provide a cap over the forecast area through the weekend that will keep any significant chance for rain out of the forecast.

Southerly breezes today with a bit of pressure gradient with the low over the plains, however winds are expected to stay below advisory criteria, with wind speeds lowering over the weekend.

With the southerly winds bringing in humid conditions, and lack of convection allowing for above normal highs, afternoon heat index readings will be over 100 degrees for portions of the forecast area north of the I-10 corridor. Looking at the NWS Heat Risk from WPC, the area will see a Moderate to Major Heat Risk or level 2 and 3 out of 4 through the weekend, with the higher heat risk values mainly north of the I-10 corridor.

Rua

LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

The upper level ridge will hold through Monday, then begin to weaken on Tuesday as a rather strong upper level disturbance over the Rockies moves eastward. Guidance is now pretty consistent in this system bringing a cold front through the forecast area during the late Tuesday night/Wednesday morning period. Looks like there will be enough lift and dynamics to work with the Gulf moisture in place to produce some scattered showers and thunderstorms during that time period.

Behind the front, drier continental air will move into the forecast area that will allow for cooler and more comfortable nights with less humid days to end the period.

Rua

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025

CIGs overnight will trend within the MVFR range across most terminals through the overnight hours into dawn. Potential for few sites to touch IFR exists as BKN decks under 1000ft are possible.
Enhanced southerly flow will keep BR to a minimum with some light haze possible near daybreak as low level humidity will be quite high. Breezes out of the south forecast to pickup with 15-25kt gusts through late morning and early afternoon.

30

MARINE
Issued at 245 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Pressure gradient and nocturnal jet working to create elevated and breezy southerly winds into the early morning hours before decreasing. At the moment small craft exercise caution should handle the situation through mid morning.

Surface high pressure will continue to ridge across the northern Gulf through the weekend into early next week. This will allow a light to occasionally moderate southerly flow to persist.

An upper level ridge will keep any significant chance for showers out of the forecast through the weekend.

Rua

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 92 74 93 72 / 0 0 10 10 LCH 87 74 88 74 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 88 75 89 74 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 89 74 89 75 / 0 0 0 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.