Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orange, TX

DISCUSSION
(Tonight through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

The combination of rain and cloud cover kept afternoon highs about 10 degrees below normal Tuesday afternoon while the Lake Charles airport set a daily rainfall record with 2.34 inches breaking the previous record of 2.25 set all the way back in 1899.

The upper level low responsible for both is expected to retrograde west into central Texas today and tonight, but will still have enough of an influence to initialize showers and thunderstorms from around sunrise through the afternoon. Highest PoPs (40-50%) will be across Southeast Texas in closer proximity to the weakness aloft while PoPs are closer to 20% further east across Acadiana.
Regardless of precipitation, the retreating trough and high mid level moisture will still keep skies broken to overcast through much of the day which will hold afternoon highs a few degrees cooler than normal (upper 80s to 90). These slightly cooler afternoon temps and the early initialization of convection will likely spell an early end to most of the precipitation although a few showers or storms could persist until around sunset this evening.

By Thursday, high pressure will build into the region both at the surface and aloft along with some drier air off the surface bringing an abrupt end to the wet pattern the region has been soaking in for the last several days. The subsidence is expected to prevent nearly all precipitation and limit cloud cover which will push afternoon highs back into the lower 90s Thursday and Friday and then into the mid to upper 90s over the weekend and into early next week.
Corresponding maximum heat indices will climb into the 102-109 range with some higher values possible toward the end of the period early next week. Remember to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks if working outdoors for extended periods.

Jones

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026

Scattered storms are anticipated along the I-10 corridor with the highest chances at KBPT today. This may produce periods of lower vis and ceilings through the afternoon. Generally VFR conditions are forecast tonight. Winds will be light and south to southeast, but could be gusty in or near storms.

MARINE
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

Light southerly flow and low seas are expected to continue through the week as weak surface high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are ongoing and will continue through this afternoon, with another round of showers and storms expected Wednesday afternoon. Winds and seas will be higher near the thunderstorms. Dry conditions will prevail Thursday through the weekend as high pressure builds over the northern gulf.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

Light southerly winds will prevail through the week and weekend keeping dewpoints in the 70s and minimum relative humidity in the 60 to 70 percent range. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop again Wednesday morning through mid afternoon with the highest precipitation chances across Southeast Texas. Ridging will build across the northern gulf Thursday through early next week dropping precipitation chances to near zero. No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.