Lower Grand Lagoon, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lower Grand Lagoon, FL

June 14, 2024 8:18 AM CDT (13:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 7:46 PM
Moonrise 1:09 PM   Moonset 1:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 336 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024 /236 Am Cdt Fri Jun 14 2024/

Today - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Tonight - West winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth.

Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.

Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 336 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis -
tranquil boating conditions today through Saturday. Thereafter, southeast winds will increase into early next week, as the pressure gradient increases between high pressure northeast of the waters and low pressure developing well southwest of the waters. Seas will become increasingly hazardous to small craft by early next week, when there is the potential for periods of winds around 20 knots through the middle part of next week. Periods of showers and Thunderstorms, leading to locally higher winds and seas, are possible beginning on Sunday and continuing through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lower Grand Lagoon, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 141020 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 620 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Low to mid-level northeast flow today with PWAT generally around an inch. Some greater moisture may pool due to the east coast sea- breeze late today in the SE FL Big Bend, where there is a chance of showers and an isolated thunderstorm. Otherwise, remainder of the region is dry. Highs in the mid to upper 90s with dew points around 60 will make heat index values comparable to the ambient air temperatures. A dry night is on tap for the entire region.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

With a relatively dry air mass due to deep layer ridging on Saturday, any shower or isolated thunderstorm activity should be confined to the Eastern FL Big Bend, where the east coast seabreeze will maximize moisture pooling/forcing. The rest of the region is again expected to remain dry similar to Friday.
With the lack of precip/clouds, much of the region will bake under a 591 Decameter ridge, with highs away from the coast in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees. Heat index values will creep up a bit, but are currently forecast to remain below advisory criteria.

On Sunday, a higher PWAT air mass advects in under continued easterly flow, but subsidence from ridging may limit activity.
For now, PoPs are near seasonable levels in the 30-50 pct range, but that may be generous. Highs again in the mid to upper 90s. Even if we don't reach heat advisory criteria, it's unseasonably hot for mid-June, and everyone should take precautions to avoid heat stress.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The region will be sandwiched between ridging over the Middle Atlantic and low pressure near the Bay of Campeche. This feature has a medium chance of developing into a tropical system over the next week, and is anticipated to remain well southwest of the region. Diurnal showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, with PoPs in the 20-40 pct range, possibly increasing further by Thursday. Highs in the mid-90s each day with lows in the 70s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Low-level northeast flow will keep the air mass somewhat dry at our five terminals for the next 24 hours. It will be dry enough to preclude sunrise stratus this morning, and it will preclude showers or thunderstorms this afternoon. So simply look for development of high- based fair weather cumulus around mid-day.

MARINE
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Tranquil boating conditions today through Saturday. Thereafter, southeast winds will increase into early next week, as the pressure gradient increases between high pressure northeast of the waters and low pressure developing well southwest of the waters. Seas will become increasingly hazardous to small craft by early next week, when there is the potential for periods of winds around 20 knots through the middle part of next week.
Periods of showers and thunderstorms, leading to locally higher winds and seas, are possible beginning on Sunday and continuing through midweek.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The main fire weather concern is high dispersion this afternoon across much of the area inland from the coast. Pockets of high dispersion are possible mainly in the FL counties on Saturday, with the potential for widespread high dispersion again Sunday.
Fairly dry today and Saturday, except for chance of afternoon thunderstorm in the Southeast FL Big Bend. More typical summer showers and thunderstorms may return Sunday afternoon. The heat will reach unhealthy levels Friday into this weekend, as highs range from 95 to around 100 degrees, with heat indices around 100 to 105 this weekend.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 337 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next week with average amounts less than one inch, highest near the coast.
Streamflows is also average to below average. There are no flooding concerns over the next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 96 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 10 Panama City 95 77 94 78 / 10 0 10 10 Dothan 96 74 98 75 / 0 0 10 0 Albany 95 73 98 75 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 95 72 99 74 / 10 0 20 0 Cross City 97 71 97 73 / 30 20 40 20 Apalachicola 91 78 90 79 / 10 0 0 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 5 mi49 minNE 8G9.9
PCBF1 10 mi49 minENE 7G9.9 78°F 83°F29.94
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 48 mi49 minNNE 5.1G7 78°F 86°F29.93


Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL 9 sm23 minENE 0710 smClear79°F73°F84%29.93
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL 18 sm25 minENE 0510 smClear81°F73°F79%29.94
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPAM
   
NEW Forecast page for KPAM


Wind History graph: PAM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
   
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Channel entrance
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Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 12:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:08 AM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:08 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:26 PM CDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.4
2
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0.4
3
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0.5
4
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0.5
5
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0.6
6
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0.7
7
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0.7
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0.7
9
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0.7
10
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0.7
11
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0.8
12
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0.8
1
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0.7
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0.7
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0.7
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0.7
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0.7
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0.6
7
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0.6
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0.6
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0.5
10
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0.5
11
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0.5


Tide / Current for Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Parker
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 12:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:07 AM CDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:40 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:34 PM CDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:07 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
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0.5
2
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0.5
3
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0.5
4
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0.5
5
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0.6
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0.7
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0.7
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0.8
9
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0.8
10
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0.9
11
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0.9
12
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0.9
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0.9
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0.9
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0.9
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0.9
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0.9
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0.8
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0.8
8
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0.8
9
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0.7
10
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0.7
11
pm
0.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Northwest Florida,




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