Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panama City Beach, FL

SHORT AND LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

The cool and dry airmass continues into Saturday with high pressure over the southern Appalachians and east winds holding highs in the low 80s. Westerly winds take over Sunday and Monday as high pressure gets pinched into the Gulf ahead of an advancing cold front into the midwest. Temperatures warm up into the mid 80s Sunday and upper 80s Monday with a return of moisture from the Gulf. Moisture is fairly shallow and below 850mb with the column PWAT of 1.1 inches. As the front arrives early next week, there may be a few isolated showers squeezed out in south central Georgia, but for the most part, it will be a dry passage. What comes after the passage is cool Canadian high pressure featuring highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s from Tuesday through Thursday and lows Wednesday and Thursday morning in the mid 40s to around 50 degrees, though the trend has been slightly cooler in our wiregrass/Flint river valley area.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

Mostly clear skies will make for continued VFR conds thru the period. Light ENE winds of 5 kts or less increase to around 10 kts mid morning and aftn.

MARINE
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

Cautionary conditions will continue this morning then gradually improving into this afternoon. Light to moderate northeasterly winds are forecast to linger through the weekend into early next week; seas will decrease to 2 to 4 feet or less by the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

High pressure in place maintains a cool, dry airmass through the weekend under predominantly ENE winds with minimal cloud cover.
Today is forecast to be the driest of the period from a RH perspective where min values drop to mid/upper 20s around the Apalachicola River basin into parts of SE AL & SW GA. Numbers climb healthily above 30% Saturday-Sunday. While Friday's dispersions should be good to fair, low dispersions are possible along the I-75 corridor and along the immediate Forgotten Coast tomorrow afternoon. By early next week, winds turn more southwesterly ahead of an approaching front from the Appalachians.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

Little, if any, precipitation is expected over the next week.
Maybe a few isolated showers in south central Georgia with a frontal passage early next week but that is about it.

Most rivers are falling with the exception of the Suwanee and the Aucilla at Lamont which is forecast to remain in action stage into next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 80 51 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 80 56 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 79 49 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 78 47 78 53 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 78 50 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 80 56 82 60 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 80 60 78 63 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ this afternoon for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.