Sunday, April11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Panama City Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 7:08PM Saturday April 10, 2021 11:58 PM CDT (04:58 UTC) Moonrise 5:53AMMoonset 6:02PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 832 Pm Edt Sat Apr 10 2021 /732 Pm Cdt Sat Apr 10 2021/
.small craft exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..East winds 10 knots becoming southwest 10 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming west 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Thursday..North winds 10 knots becoming northwest 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 832 Pm Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
Synopsis.. The small craft advisory was allowed to expire but those venturing out should still exercise caution. Winds and seas will remain elevated with a return to tranquil boating conditions by Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City Beach, FL
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location: 30.21, -85.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 110100 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 900 PM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

UPDATE. Current forecast is on track. The next round of showers/ thunderstorms is expected to develop over the gulf waters overnight and move into portions of FL south of I-10 as early as 3 AM, but more likely toward 7 AM further north away from the coast. This in response to the next short- wave moving thru the mid-level flow, providing a source of lift, with an increasingly moist and unstable air mass advecting north from the gulf in advance of this feature.

In terms of strong to severe thunderstorm potential, this will be greatest late tonight south of I-10, especially from Bay County east to Wakulla County and points south. But there is also some uncertainty as to the northward extent of the activity during the overnight hours, with the potential that much of it remains over the coastal waters.

Elevated instability and strong shear will be present, so there is large hail potential with activity that makes it into the Bay County to Wakulla County and points south area. For activity over land, there is also a question of whether Convection Inhibition reduces enough for storms to become surface based. In that case, damaging winds and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out late tonight across the aforementioned area as well.

MARINE.

The Small Craft Advisory was allowed to expire but those venturing out should still exercise caution. Winds and seas will remain elevated with a return to tranquil boating conditions by Tuesday.

PREV DISCUSSION [746 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Sunday].

Severe weather has moved out of the region. Gusty winds will persist this afternoon for coastal Panhandle Florida locations. Stratiform rain will continue this afternoon before moving out of the region this evening.

In the upper levels, a trough will be over the Southeast tonight and tomorrow. At the surface, a Gulf Low will develop tonight along a stalling frontal boundary near the Gulf Coast. Rain will move out of the region this evening as a frontal boundary moves eastward. Early tomorrow morning scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop near the Gulf Coast and spread inland throughout the day. Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible tomorrow with deep layer shear near 50 knots and dew points in the 60s. With mostly cloudy skies lows will be in the low to mid 60s. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 70s or near 80.

SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Monday Night].

As the cold front moves east beyond our region, we can expect drier and relatively cooler air to settle in behind it. With broad upper level ridging and subsidence in place we can expect it to be mostly cloud-free making Monday a pleasant Spring day. Expect overnight lows to be in the mid 50s, with daytime highs in the mid 80s.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday].

Through the long term the pattern becomes a bit unsettled as a secondary low develops on the leeward side of the Appalachian Mountains. This low will increase our rain chances by mid week, however, since we'll be positioned at the tail end of the front, we currently don't expect much severe potential. Otherwise, with broad ridging/zonal flow aloft activity should be rather limited through the long term. Expect overnight lows to generally be in the mid and upper 50s, with daytime highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Monday]

VFR conditions will gradually lower to IFR/LIFR in the 05-12z period for all terminals. Potential for TSRA will increase in the 09-12z time frame at ECP-TLH-VLD into Sunday, with only VCSH expected at ABY and DHN. Cigs will slowly improve Sunday. Southwest winds will be 5-10 kt, with higher gusts invof TSRA.

FIRE WEATHER.

Patchy fog is likely tomorrow morning. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be likely tomorrow. High dispersions above 75 are possible tomorrow in SW GA. A very dry air mass will move into the region on Monday. Red Flag conditions are not expected.

HYDROLOGY.

After todays' event, riverine flooding will take time to develop, given the rainfall distribution. The Choctawhatchee, Chipola, Apalachicola, and Lower Flint could all experience minor flooding in the days ahead. Further east, the Ochlockonee River could reach minor flooding should 4 inches of rain fall upstream of Leon County after tomorrow. Other remaining basins in the region could rise into the action category, but minor flooding is unlikely based on the latest forecasts.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 64 80 56 86 57 / 50 60 0 0 0 Panama City 66 77 58 81 61 / 50 50 0 0 10 Dothan 62 77 52 84 56 / 20 20 0 0 0 Albany 62 78 53 85 56 / 20 30 0 0 0 Valdosta 64 80 55 85 56 / 40 50 10 0 0 Cross City 65 79 59 85 56 / 60 70 10 0 0 Apalachicola 67 76 59 78 61 / 60 70 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for Coastal Bay- Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . LF NEAR TERM . McD SHORT TERM . Oliver LONG TERM . Oliver AVIATION . LF MARINE . LF FIRE WEATHER . McD HYDROLOGY . Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 0 mi65 min W 4.1 G 4.1 68°F 68°F1008.7 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 12 mi65 min W 5.1 G 5.1
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 58 mi65 min 65°F 67°F1009.2 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 61 mi74 min Calm 64°F 1010 hPa63°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL11 mi66 minENE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F61°F96%1009.2 hPa
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL18 mi63 minWNW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F61°F92%1008.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECP

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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NW15NW7SE6SE5SE11S7S5S6S3S4SW3W3CalmE3
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Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:10 AM CDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:20 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:01 AM CDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:25 PM CDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:56 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:08 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:32 PM CDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.60.50.50.50.60.70.80.80.80.80.80.70.60.40.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:41 AM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:20 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM CDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:43 AM CDT     0.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:08 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:12 PM CDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:32 PM CDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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