Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Panama City Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:25PM Friday August 14, 2020 2:42 AM CDT (07:42 UTC) Moonrise 1:37AMMoonset 4:01PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202008141915;;422847 Fzus52 Ktae 140629 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 229 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-141915- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 229 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020 /129 Am Cdt Fri Aug 14 2020/
Today..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Sunday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 229 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
Synopsis.. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms will continue to linger through the weekend and early work week next week. Winds will generally remain out of the west/southwest at around 10 knots or less with chances for 10-15 knots possible today through Saturday. This will lead to seas between 1-2 feet for all nearshore and offshore waters. These winds and seas can be locally enhanced by shower and Thunderstorm activity.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City Beach, FL
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location: 30.21, -85.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 140547 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 147 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Saturday]

ECP will have the potential for periods of showers and possibly MVFR ceilings/visibilities this morning, otherwise VFR is expected through the TAF outside of storms. Showers and storms will be most likely at ECP this morning, then at VLD and DHN later this afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION [1010 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Friday].

The local area is in a col region of the deep layer flow today, with a trough to the north and ridges to the east and west. Flow below about 500mb is very light today. With plenty of deep layer moisture in place (PWAT ~2 inches), scattered thunderstorms will continue through the afternoon before diminishing early in the evening.

For Friday, the low-level flow is expected to increase a bit from the southwest. This is typically a more active flow regime, with an associated increase in convective coverage expected. Forecast PoPs will be higher tomorrow, with an early start along the coast and activity spreading inland during the day. Overall severe threat still appears low, however.

SHORT TERM [Friday Night Through Saturday Night].

An upper level trough just east of the CWA will slide to the east during the short term. With this forcing and the deep layer southeasterly winds bringing moisture from the Gulf, PoPs will be above climatology for Saturday afternoon with the a forecast of 60- 80% during the afternoon time period. PW values will be increasing Saturday afternoon and while instability is sufficient for a strong storm, believe the main focus will be on efficient rain producers resulting in localized, nuisance flooding. Highs will be around 90 with lows in the mid 70s.

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday].

There will be an upper level trough across the southeast that will be moving east over the region this weekend. This trough will bring higher chances of scattered to likely showers and thunderstorms Sunday into next week. A shortwave trough will move into the Mississippi valley mid next week which will increase precipitation chances well above normal summertime PoPs. While highs will initially be in the mid 90s, due to the wide coverage of rain by midweek, high temperatures will be limited to the lower 90s. The low temperatures next week will be in the low to mid 70s.

MARINE.

Likely to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected across the marine area through the weekend and while precipitation chances will decrease slightly for Monday, they will increase again for mid- week. Wave heights will be around 1-2 feet with mainly southeasterly winds of 10 knots or less.

FIRE WEATHER.

A wet pattern will continue for Friday and into the weekend and given the rainfall and higher minimum RH values, red flag conditions are not forecast. High dispersion values though will be possible on Saturday across the southeast Big Bend, mainly Dixie and Lafayette counties.

HYDROLOGY.

While overall rainfall amounts are generally two inches or less over the next week, which the area can handle, PW values are high through the weekend. This could lead to localized, minor flooding which could include ponding of water on roadways. This will need to be watched closely with the wet pattern expected for much of next week too.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 91 74 90 74 93 / 50 20 80 30 50 Panama City 89 78 88 77 91 / 60 40 80 40 30 Dothan 90 73 89 72 93 / 50 20 90 20 30 Albany 92 74 90 74 93 / 40 30 90 20 30 Valdosta 91 73 89 73 91 / 60 20 90 20 50 Cross City 92 75 90 75 91 / 60 30 70 50 60 Apalachicola 89 78 88 77 91 / 50 40 80 50 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . Camp SHORT TERM . Fieux LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . Harrigan MARINE . Fieux FIRE WEATHER . Fieux HYDROLOGY . Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 0 mi55 min N 5.1 G 6 79°F 87°F1014.9 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 12 mi55 min W 11 G 14
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 58 mi55 min WSW 4.1 G 6 82°F 88°F1015.2 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 60 mi118 min S 1.9 1017 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL11 mi50 minno data10.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity78°F78°F100%1015.3 hPa
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL18 mi47 minENE 610.00 miThunderstorm Light Drizzle80°F76°F89%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECP

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmNE4SE4SE7SE8SE5S8S7S7S9SW8S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--
1 day agoCalmN3CalmNE3NE3NE3CalmNE6NE5NW4NW3S11
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S7S11S10S6S7SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4W8SW9S7--W6S9NE23
G31
NE4N5NW5SW5CalmNW6CalmS4E3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:48 AM CDT     1.76 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 04:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:28 PM CDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.41.51.71.71.81.71.71.61.41.10.90.60.40.30.20.10.10.20.30.50.70.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:59 AM CDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:10 PM CDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.91.11.31.51.71.81.91.91.91.81.71.51.31.10.80.60.40.30.20.10.20.20.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.