Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pretty Bayou, FL

NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

A ridge of high pressure will begin to flatten out tonight, transitioning us to into more zonal flow pattern as a weak shortwave passes to our north. This will bring a slight chance for some showers tomorrow afternoon over our northern most counties. The rest of us can still expect another hot sunny day with highs around the mid 90s.

Tonight, there is the chance for some patchy fog in areas where the winds drop off, with lows staying in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

Ongoing showers and thunderstorms Saturday evening will gradually diminish in coverage through the overnight hours and into Sunday morning with loss of daytime heating. A few showers could stick around overnight given the frontal boundary and weak support aloft into Sunday morning. With a flattening ridge, another approaching shortwave trough, and the residual frontal boundary, another round of isolated to scattered showers and storms is possible on Sunday afternoon. Given appreciable shear, any storms that can become strong do have a low-end chance to be severe. Main concerns would be a hail and damaging wind threat. The best rain chances will remained confined to the very northern portions of the forecast area across southeast Alabama and east- northeast towards Albany and points north.

As for temperatures, no relief is expected with afternoon highs still well into the low to mid 90s.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

Guidance is in good agreement on a hot and mostly dry pattern continuing through much of the upcoming week. The brief rain chances that occurred over the weekend quickly disappear out of the forecast as upper level ridging redevelops on Monday and Tuesday. This will allow high temperatures to easily hit the mid 90s most afternoons until Wednesday or Thursday when another frontal system moves in. This front should give most of the area a chance at scattered thunderstorms, but with the progressive nature of the pattern and no significant rainfall amounts, relief from the heat appears brief and short lived.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

VFR conditions continue a while longer this evening before MVFR to IFR ceilings return later tonight into Saturday morning. Ceilings begin to lift by mid-morning with VFR conditions taking over by late morning and continuing through the rest of the TAF period.
Light to moderate southwesterly to westerly winds are anticipated through the TAF period with a few gusts of 15 to 20 knots possible Saturday afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

High pressure over the western Atlantic nosing into the eastern Gulf will result in predominantly light southwesterly winds for the next several days. Seas will be around 2 to 3 feet each day with no significant marine impacts anticipated.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

High dispersions are expected across most inland areas over the next couple of days thanks to southwesterly transport winds around 10-20 mph and high mixing heights near 5,000 feet each afternoon.
Closer to the coast, dispersions will still be good each day. The main concern will be the heat with temperatures in the mid-90s during the afternoon with heat index values in the upper 90s to near 100. A few isolated storms are possible Saturday and Sunday afternoons, mainly north of a line from Dothan to Albany.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 243 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

No hydrological concerns will are expected through the next 7 to 10 days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 70 95 70 95 / 0 0 0 10 Panama City 73 85 72 86 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 71 92 70 92 / 0 20 10 10 Albany 70 94 70 94 / 0 20 10 30 Valdosta 69 96 70 96 / 0 0 0 10 Cross City 66 89 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 72 84 71 85 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ Saturday for FLZ108-112-114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM CDT Saturday for GMZ735.