Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lynn Haven, FL

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(This Evening through next Friday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

Today through Monday, zonal flow aloft will have several shortwaves ride along it to bring us showers and thunderstorms. A warm front will slowly lift north through the day today and tomorrow. A few storms may be strong to severe. The SPC has highlighted the entire CWA in a Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe storms through Monday. Areas along and south of the front will have a better chance of getting a strong/severe storm or two, given the slightly more conducive environment. These areas will be the FL Panhandle and Big Bend, however a strong storm or two is possible SW Georgia this afternoon. The main impacts will be strong to damaging wind gusts and possibly small hail. Beneficial rainfall is also expected, with 1-3 inches and isolated higher amounts. In storms with higher rainfall rates, nuisance flooding may occur in areas with poor drainage.

A cold front will pass through the region on Monday night, pushing out the rain and allowing high pressure to settle in.
Behind the front, drier and cooler air will filter in.
Temperatures on Tuesday will be in the upper 70s in our AL and GA counties, and low to mid 80s for our FL counties. Overnight lows will range in the mid to upper 50s. We can then expect a gradual warm up through the rest of the week with highs approaching 90 degrees by the end of the forecast period.


AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

An area of rain continues to move east across the region. The best opportunity for thunderstorms the next few hours will be near KTLH and KVLD, where PROB30 groups were included to account for that potential.

Otherwise, ceilings will generally be MVFR to VFR the rest of the afternoon outside of some of the heavier rain that will briefly knock ceilings to IFR. The rain will move out later this afternoon into the evening with VFR to MVFR ceilings prevailing before they drop to IFR to LIFR overnight. Some fog is also possible overnight into Sunday morning. Ceilings are forecast to lift by mid-morning at all TAF sites. Additional showers are possible Sunday morning, but confidence was not high enough to include in the TAFs with this package.

MARINE
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

Southerly flow becomes established today as a warm front lifts north of the waters, become westerly on Monday in the wake of a cold frontal passage. Seas generally around 1 to 2 feet this weekend into Monday will build to 3 to 4 feet feet on Monday night as winds clock around to the north and increase to around 15 to 20 knots. Scattered showers and thunderstorms today through Monday with briefly higher winds and seas in the vicinity of any storms.
High pressure settles over the waters by the middle of next week with more tranquil boating conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected through Monday with gusty/erratic winds and frequent lightning.
South/southwesterly transport winds around 5-10 mph will prevail through the weekend, increasing to about 15 mph on Monday. Winds will shift north/northwesterly following a cold front Monday night. Until then, dispersions will be low to poor for the afternoons because of the constant cloud cover. Drier conditions will return following Monday's cold front by Tuesday through the rest of the forecast period.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 244 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

Beneficial rain is expected through the course of this weekend.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast to accumulate 1-3" with isolated higher amounts. The southeast Big Bend will likely miss out and only receive about 1 inch of rainfall. The rivers won't improve much because the soil will soak up all the rain leaving little for runoff. If there are heavy rainfall rates during these storms, then there may be the risk for nuisance flooding in low- lying and urban areas. The WPC has highlighted our counties across the central parts of our CWA in a Marginal (level 1 of 4) risk for Excessive Rainfall for today. A cold front approaches on Monday that will push all the rain out and leave us with dry conditions for Tuesday through the rest of the week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 67 84 68 83 / 60 70 30 90 Panama City 69 82 70 81 / 50 50 50 80 Dothan 64 82 65 80 / 60 60 40 80 Albany 64 82 64 81 / 70 50 40 70 Valdosta 66 84 66 83 / 60 60 30 80 Cross City 68 87 69 86 / 30 30 20 50 Apalachicola 71 81 71 80 / 50 50 50 80

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.