Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Neptune Beach, FL

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1248 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Area of low pressure will slowly move west southwest across forecast area Tuesday morning, and into the northeastern Gulf in the afternoon. This area of low pressure will continue to track to the west Wednesday into Wednesday night, as high pressure builds to the east northeast. Precipitation chances will be greatest across NE FL this period, due to the location of the low track. A few strong afternoon and evening thunderstorms each afternoon, with localized flooding possible.

Temperatures will be near to a little above average this period.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1248 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

High pressure will be centered to the east of the region Thursday and Friday, which ridge stretching over forecast area. The east coast sea breeze will be active both days, so the best chance for convection will be inland.

The high will move away to the east over the weekend, as a trough develops across the southeastern US. A moist flow from the southwest will yield above normal precipitation chances.

Temperatures will be above average this period.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

VFR with leftover convective debris clouds at all TAF sites this morning, then northeast winds will increase to 10-15 knots at coastal TAF sites of SSI/SGJ/CRG and 5-10 knots at inland TAF sites of JAX/VQQ/GNV. Timing of showers and storms will be in the 16-20Z time frame at the coastal TAF sites of CRG/SSI/SGJ, but with only PROB30 groups expected, then shifting to 18-22Z time frame at JAX/VQQ and 19-23Z time frame at GNV, along with higher rainfall chances as the East coast sea breeze pushes inland, so will upgrade these sites to TEMPO groups for gusty winds, MVFR CIGS and possible IFR VSBYS with heavy rainfall chances. Rainfall chances fade after sunset (00Z) and will leave VFR conds with lingering clouds through the end of the TAF period.

MARINE
Issued at 1248 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Troughing developing over the Gulf Stream waters this morning will shift slowly westward this afternoon, crossing our local waters tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will then increase in coverage on Tuesday and Wednesday as troughing shifts westward across the Florida peninsula and into the eastern Gulf, with low pressure potentially organizing later in the week near the northern Gulf coast. Prevailing northeasterly winds today will shift to southerly by late Tuesday as troughing shifts west of our local waters, with south-southeasterly winds briefly strengthening to Caution levels near shore on Wednesday afternoon. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue through late in the week as southerly winds prevail.

Rip Currents: Low to Moderate risk of rips with surf/breakers of 1-2 ft today and Tuesday as flow slowly becomes more onshore and increases towards the middle of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 97 73 94 73 / 50 30 60 10 SSI 89 78 88 78 / 40 20 40 10 JAX 94 75 92 75 / 60 30 70 10 SGJ 91 75 87 75 / 50 30 70 20 GNV 95 72 92 72 / 90 40 80 20 OCF 95 72 90 73 / 90 50 90 30

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.