Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 7:28PM Monday August 19, 2019 9:50 PM CDT (02:50 UTC) Moonrise 10:03PMMoonset 9:45AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 353 Pm Cdt Mon Aug 19 2019
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 353 Pm Cdt Mon Aug 19 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate wind flow, mainly from the southwest, will persist through the remainder of the week as a broad surface ridge of high pressure continues to stretch from the western atlantic to the north central gulf. Winds and seas will be higher near scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms through much of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 200131
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
831 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update With the loss of afternoon instability, precipitation is
beginning to wane. Kept only slight chc of tstms over the area
through a little after midnight as mainly lingering showers and
stratiform precipitation expected inland from the coast. Storms
will again increase in coverage over the gulf tonight so have kept
the chance for showers and thunderstorms in the forecast closer
to the coast during the overnight hours. 08

Prev discussion issued 628 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
will slowly dissipate during the early evening hours leaving
behind a mix of MVFR toVFR ceilings. Ceilings should lift toVFR
later tonight as winds become light and variable. Some light
patchy fog could be possible especially north of i-10 where more
rain has fallen. By mid-morning, showers and storms should begin
to redevelop along the seabreeze and push inland through the
afternoon. Bb 03
prev discussion... Issued 357 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019
near term now through Tuesday ... The upper level trough will
continue to reside over the southeastern states through the
period, while an upper area of high pressure to our west over the
southern plains stays in place. The light southerly surface wind
flow over the southern portion of the forecast will expand inland
on Tuesday as a ridge becomes better defined over the southeast
states, keeping surface dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. High
precipitable water values ranging from 1.8 to 2.1 inches area-wide
will also remain.

Current convection is expected to dissipate across the inland areas
west of i-65 this evening, but isolated to scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms will persist along and to the east of i-65. These
showers and thunderstorms will expand northward throughout the day
Tuesday, becoming more numerous across the inland areas by late
afternoon. High temperatures Tuesday will be near normal, ranging
from 89 to 93 degrees inland areas, but cooler along the coast in
the mid to upper 80s due to the earlier start of precipitation.

22
short term Tuesday night through Thursday night ... A weak upper
level shear axis is progged to remain draped over the southeast us
through the middle of the week. Embedded in the shear axis will be
a zone of deep moisture where pwat's range from 1.8" to as high
as around 2.1 inches. With daytime differential heating resulting
in a destabilizing environment Wednesday and Thursday, storm
coverage increases, becoming scattered to perhaps numerous at
times. A drop off in coverage is anticipated over the land zones
each night; a typical summer-time convective pattern. The
strongest storms will likely bring the most impacts by way of
brief strong wind gusts, frequent lightning and locally heavy
rainfall. In any slow moving storms, rainfall rates could be high
enough to result in localized flooding in some lower lying and
poor drainage areas.

Weak surface pressure ridge extending west into the gulf and
southeast us favors a light southerly wind component pattern
through much of the period. This equates to little change in daily
highs and night-time lows. Highs => upper 80s to lower 90s. Lows
in the 70s. 10
long term Friday through Monday ... Deep layer moisture lingers
across the north central gulf coast region with pwats around or
perhaps a little higher than 2" each day. Subtle shortwave
impulses continue in the flow aloft late this week, with another
upper trough potentially setting up from the appalachians to off
the northern gulf coast this weekend. These considerations
continue to lean to an unsettled weather pattern into the medium
range. Little daily change in temperatures is expected with highs
each day ranging in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and typical lows
in the 70s each night. 10
marine... A light to moderate wind flow, mainly from the southwest,
will persist through the remainder of the week as a broad surface
ridge of high pressure continues to stretch from the western
atlantic to the north central gulf. Winds and seas will be higher
near scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms through much of
the week. 22

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk until 6 am cdt Tuesday for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk until 6 am cdt Tuesday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi51 min S 8 G 12 81°F 88°F1016.5 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 21 mi51 min 81°F 1017.3 hPa (+0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi31 min W 18 G 19 78°F 86°F1016.9 hPa78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 35 mi81 min E 6 80°F 1016.6 hPa
WBYA1 36 mi51 min 87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi66 min 78°F 1016 hPa74°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi51 min S 9.9 G 15 80°F 1017.1 hPa (+1.3)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi51 min SSE 8.9 80°F 1015.6 hPa (-0.7)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi51 min S 8 G 8.9 80°F 1016.6 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi1.9 hrsN 08.00 miLight Rain78°F77°F97%1017.3 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi2 hrsSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F75°F85%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3CalmSW7W33CalmSW10
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N3SW3CalmCalmSW3CalmSE6SE18
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1 day agoE5SE6SE4CalmCalmNW4CalmCalmCalmNW3N4N636SW134SW5SW12SW11
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2 days agoSW3SW3SW4SW5SW4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmN4SE11CalmSE56S10SE7S7NW7S9SE10SE9CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:45 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:20 PM CDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:32 PM CDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.80.80.80.90.90.90.91111.11.21.21.21.21.21.11.110.90.90.9

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:18 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:45 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:12 PM CDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:03 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:11 PM CDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.70.80.80.80.80.80.90.9111.11.11.11.11.1110.90.80.80.80.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.