Thursday, February25, 2021
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 5:45PM Thursday February 25, 2021 10:22 AM CST (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 5:09PMMoonset 6:24AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 820 Am Cst Thu Feb 25 2021
.dense fog advisory in effect until noon cst today...
Today..Winds light becoming south 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Patchy fog after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog.
Sunday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 820 Am Cst Thu Feb 25 2021
Synopsis..A light to moderate onshore flow will persist through Friday as a frontal boundary lingers to the north over the interior southeast states with high pressure ridging in from the east over the gulf. The light onshore flow will increase over the weekend. Patchy late night and morning marine fog will impact bays, sounds, and near shore gulf waters through at least early Sunday, and could be locally dense at times.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KMOB 251204 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 604 AM CST Thu Feb 25 2021

UPDATE. The Dense Fog Advisory has been expanded eastward to include coastal portions of Escambia, Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties in the western FL panhandle, as well as adjacent bays and coastal waters out 20 NM until 9 AM CST. At least patchy dense fog has been reported around Destin, Eglin AFB and Pensacola Naval Air Station. We will monitor trends over the next couple of hours for possible additions to the advisory, as some patches of dense fog may extend into interior parts of the western Florida panhandle and possibly into portions of Escambia/Covington counties in south central AL early this morning. High resolution guidance is generally in agreement that fog gradually lifts by 9 AM over land zones, but it is possible fog could persist after 9 AM over bays/sounds and adjacent waters. /21

AVIATION. 12Z issuance . LIFR or lower ceilings and visibility will impact southern portions of southeast MS and southwest AL as well as the western FL panhandle through around 25.14-15Z. Conditions should improve to VFR by 25.18Z. Low ceilings and areas of fog with associated LIFR or lower conditions will be possible again late tonight into early Friday morning (especially after 26.06Z). Light winds are otherwise expected through the period. /21

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 458 AM CST Thu Feb 25 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Friday/ . A zonal flow pattern aloft continues across the north central Gulf coast region early this morning, while a surface ridge of high pressure remains in place over the FL peninsula and adjacent eastern Gulf of Mexico. Weak low level warm/moist advection has allowed for surface dewpoints to rise into the upper 50s to lower 60s near coastal portions of our forecast area early this morning. A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for Baldwin/Mobile AL counties and George/Stone counties in southeast MS where HRRR/RAP and SREF probabilistic guidance show the highest potential for areas of dense fog through around 9 AM. At least patchy dense fog could also develop into portions of the western FL panhandle and possibly portions of Escambia/Covington AL counties over the next few hours and will monitor visibility trends closely for a possible eastward expansion of the advisory.

Zonal to southwesterly flow aloft will persist over the region through Friday. A weak shortwave rapidly progresses east-northeast over the Tennessee Valley on Friday. Deep layer moisture will remain rather limited across our forecast area today into tonight. However, precipitable water values increase slightly to around 1.25" over interior portions of southeast MS and southwest AL later today into tonight. This moisture in combination with weak ascent ahead of an approaching frontal boundary may aid in the development of a few showers over these interior areas today into tonight, but overall POPs will be kept low in the 20-30% range.

The weak surface boundary may remain draped over interior southeast MS/southwest AL through this evening before lifting northward as a warm front late tonight into Friday morning. Another shortwave trough embedded in the W-SW flow aloft will translate across MS/AL late tonight into Friday. The best moisture and lift associated with this feature will be focused to the north of our forecast area into Friday. However, moisture/ascent on the southern periphery of the passing shortwave will be sufficient to aid in the development of isolated to scattered rain showers across our region on Friday. An isolated thunderstorm or two can't be ruled out on Friday given modest instability over the area.

Another round of fog will be possible again late tonight into Friday morning, with the best coverage focused near the coast. Some fog may become locally dense. Warm and muggy conditions are otherwise expected today through Friday with highs in the 70s and lows tonight in the mid 50s to around 60 degrees. The rip current risk remains LOW through Friday. 25/21

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Saturday night/ . Zonal flow aloft transitions to southwesterly flow as an upper level ridge over the Southern Gulf begins to build to the northeast as a shortwave trough slides into the western half of the CONUS. Down in the lower levels, the local area remains on the western edge of a low-level ridge stretching from the western Atlantic into the eastern half of the Gulf. Down at the surface, an expansive surface high continues to slowly drift into the western Atlantic from the Northeast. Winds at the surface remain southerly through the short term, allowing low-level moisture to continue to pump into the area.

The increase in low-level moisture across the southern half of the area will lead to the development of patchy fog both nights. SREF probabilities for fog increase along the coast shortly after sunset on Friday night and slowly spread into the coastal counties and southern half of the area through the overnight hours. Another round of fog is possible late Saturday night into Sunday morning along the coast with the SREF probabilities also highlighting much of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama for fog during the pre-dawn hours. In addition to the fog, there is also a chance for showers and a few storms on Saturday afternoon into the early evening hours. That said, the bulk of the heavy rain during the short term timeframe will be well to our northwest.

Springtime temperature trends are in full swing during the short term. Lows on Friday night only fall into the upper 50s to low 60s across the area. Daytime highs soar into the upper 70s to low 80s by Saturday afternoon with mid to low 70s at the beaches (thanks to the cooler Gulf waters). Overnight lows on Saturday night only fall into the mid to low 60s area-wide.

Rip current risk remains LOW on Friday night, but increases to a MODERATE over the weekend. 07/mb

EXTENDED TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . A large positively tilted upper trough extending from south central Canada to the Southern California splits while advancing eastward. The northern portion will move over southeast Canada and the northeast states through Monday, while the southern portion breaks down into a shortwave trough with an embedded closed low that weakens while advancing slowly eastward, finally reaching the southern plains by midnight Monday night. Light southerly surface winds will continue over the area through Sunday evening on the backside of the surface ridge off to our east, while a weak cold front approaches from the northwest. With the northern trough passing to our north, the surface front will continue to inch further southward. The 25/00z GFS is more bullish advancing the front through the forecast area late Sunday night into Monday, while the older 24/12z ECMWF is more reluctant, and stalls the front before reaching the coast. Regardless of the outcome, we are still expecting isolated to scattered showers, along with a few embedded thunderstorms, Sunday and Sunday night. The best chance of rain is still reserved for Monday with the close proximity of the front, aided by upper level impulses passing overhead in the mainly southwesterly deep-layer flow. Still to early to tell if any strong storms could occur on Monday as it all depends on if the front stalls over the area, or advances south over the northern Gulf. The forecast becomes even more difficult as we head into the remainder of the extended term as the models diverge a bit. The GFS advances the southern plains shortwave across the lower Mississippi River and southeast regions Tuesday into midweek, while the ECMWF weaken the wave and lifts it northeast over the central Mississippi River, thus keeping a weak upper ridge over the southeast states. For this period I am leaning heavily on the National Blend of Models (NBM), with a slight bias toward the newer and wetter GFS. Therefore, kept at a minimum a chance of rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the forecast on Tuesday. If the ECMWF trends closer to the GFS solution and confidence increases, I can definitely see us increasing pops to likely on Tuesday, and possibly into midweek.

Temperatures will be very warm on Sunday with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s, followed by a slight downward trend into the mid 60s to mid 70s through the remainder of the period due to the higher rain chances. /22

MARINE . Areas of dense marine fog will be possible through the weekend, mainly late at night and in the morning, especially across bays, sounds, and near shore Gulf waters. Dense Fog Advisories will be needed at times. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow otherwise continues through the weekend. /21

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for ALZ261>266.

FL . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MSZ078-079.

GM . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi53 min SSE 1.9 G 4.1 67°F 59°F1023.7 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi33 min 1.9 G 1.9 62°F 61°F1 ft1024 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 35 mi83 min W 2.9 60°F 1024 hPa (+3.1)
WBYA1 36 mi53 min 67°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi53 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 60°F 1023.7 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 46 mi83 min W 2.9 59°F 1023.4 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi83 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 60°F 1023.4 hPa (+2.4)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
E1
S3
S3
S5
S5
S4
G7
S6
SE1
S1
--
S1
S2
--
--
NW2
--
NW1
--
W1
--
NW1
NW4
G8
NW5
NW4
1 day
ago
NE3
G9
SE2
G5
S3
S7
S6
G9
S6
S4
S1
G4
S1
NW1
--
W1
NW1
NW2
NW2
NW2
E1
--
--
NE1
--
NE1
E2
G5
E2
2 days
ago
S2
NW4
G9
NW4
G10
NW7
G14
NW7
G10
NW5
G11
NW3
G8
S3
SE1
NW3
NW4
NW4
G8
N5
G8
N8
G11
N5
G9
N5
N4
G7
N6
N5
N6
G9
N6
N5
N3
G6
NE4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi27 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F63°F73%1023.3 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi30 minW 310.00 miFair64°F63°F96%1022.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last 24hrSE6SE9SE9S11SE8S9S5S3CalmS3S4CalmS3CalmSW3--CalmCalmCalmW3CalmNW7NW53
1 day ago5S10S7SW8SW8SW8SW5W3CalmCalmCalm----------------CalmCalmNE4E3S5
2 days agoW7NW10
G17
W9
G16
NW8NW8W8SW7SW6W5NW5NW6----------------N6N3N7N6N7

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:23 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:18 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:48 AM CST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:44 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:30 PM CST     1.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.210.70.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.100.20.40.60.811.11.21.31.3

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Warrington
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:24 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:19 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:27 AM CST     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:45 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM CST     1.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.80.60.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.20.40.60.70.911.11.21.21.1

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



Cookie Policy:
This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. Google supplies the ads on this site. Because I do not track who you are, I cannot customize how these ads are served. They may be personalized to improve the ad experience. If you do not want personalized ads, please adjust the settings on the Google site HERE. NOTE: The best I can determine, this site is not subject to CCPA but I am doing my best to comply anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.