Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 6:49PM Friday September 20, 2019 11:52 PM CDT (04:52 UTC) Moonrise 11:02PMMoonset 12:16PM Illumination 55% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 951 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 20 2019
Rest of tonight..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 2 feet.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 2 feet.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 2 feet.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Winds light becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 951 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 20 2019
Synopsis..A moderate to occasionally strong easterly flow will persist over the coastal waters through most of Saturday and potentially into Sunday as a strong high pressure ridge builds to the north of the marine area. Winds will become lighter and more southwest to westerly early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 210155
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
855 pm cdt Fri sep 20 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Made a few minor tweaks to the current forecast package
to capture current trends and dropped overnight lows a degree or
two at a few locations. Also, kept slight chance of pops over the
marine area. 08

Prev discussion issued 628 pm cdt Fri sep 20 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period.

Generally light easterly winds tonight become breezy and shift to
southeasterly during the day Saturday.

Prev discussion... Issued 401 pm cdt Fri sep 20 2019
near term now through Saturday ... The backdoor cold front that
moved west across the area yesterday is now off to the west and
becoming somewhat diffuse. It is hard to find the boundary in the
wind observations, but noticeable in a dewpoint gradient oriented
more or less along the mississippi river (60s to the east and 70s
to the west). Surface high pressure ridging in from the east will
be the dominant feature controlling the weather for our area in
the near term period. Very dry low levels accompany the ridging,
with slightly more mid layer moisture, as verified by mid and low
level water vapory imagery channels. With this pattern in place,
the near term looks to be primarily rain free, except for maybe a
coastal shower or two late tonight into early Saturday morning.

Much more comfortable conditions expected, with lows tonight
falling into the mid to upper 60s across all interior locations
(generally along and north of i-10) with lower 70s south of i-10
and a few mid to upper 70s possible along the immediate coast.

Even those warmer temps near the coast will feel nice though, as
dewpoints will be down in the 60s. For Saturday, a mostly sunny
and somewhat "mild" day compared to recent days, with highs near
the normal upper 80s across the entire area. Dewpoints
temperatures will be remaining in the 60s on Saturday as well, so
it will again feel rather nice on Saturday, much like today. 12 ds
short term Saturday night through Monday night ... An upper
level shortwave system moving east over the northern CONUS rotates
the upper ridge stretching north along the eastern seaboard
clockwise to over the open atlantic, whilst shifting the base of
the upper ridge (located over the southeast) a bit westward,
weakening it a bit in the process. A surface ridge stretching
southwest over the southeast continues to move drier air west
over the southeast. For high temperatures, the drier airmass will
help to counter-balance a decrease in subsidence from the upper
ridge and bring daytime high temperatures 5-8 degrees above
seasonal norms for Sunday and Monday. High temperatures in the
upper 80s to around expected Sunday for the forecast area, around
90 to low 90s for Monday. The dry airmass will help to aid
radiation cooling overnight, and bring overnight low temperatures
a few degrees above seasonal norms Saturday through Monday nights.

Low temperatures in the mid 60s well inland to low 70s along the
coast are expected through the period.

16
long term Tuesday through Friday ... Guidance is advertising a
second upper level shortwave system moving inland over the
pacific northwest Sunday into Sunday night, before moving the
system south-southeast to over the desert southwest, where it
meanders around through mid week. Additional upper level shortwave
systems move inland over the pacific northwest, and in combination
with the upper system over the desert southwest, digs an upper
trough over the western CONUS whilst an upper level ridge builds
north along the eastern seaboard. The surface ridge stretching
southwest over the southeast shifts south to over the northern
gulf coast, bringing a more direct southeast to south flow off
the gulf of mexico to the region, and with the increase in gulf
moisture, rain showers and thunderstorms will return to the
forecast area, though subsidence will help to limit coverage.

Subsidence from the upper ridge will bring high temperatures 5 to
10 degrees above seasonal normals through the long term. The
increased moisture levels counterbalancing overnight radiational
cooling will also work with the upper level subsidence to bring
overnight low temperatures around 5 degrees above seasonal
normals.

16
marine... A moderate to occasionally strong easterly flow is
expected to continue over the coastal waters through most of
Saturday and potentially into Sunday as a strong high pressure ridge
builds to the north of the marine area. A small craft advisory is in
effect for all gulf zones as well as southern mobile bay and the
mississippi sound through midday Saturday and may be extended later
into the weekend. Small craft should exercise caution over the
remainder of the marine area, primarily for wind gusts. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through Sunday evening for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through Sunday evening for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 1 pm cdt Saturday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi53 min E 1 G 2.9 81°F 84°F1021.1 hPa (+1.0)
PPTA1 21 mi53 min 83°F 1021 hPa (+1.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi33 min E 12 G 16 83°F 85°F1020.4 hPa71°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 35 mi83 min ENE 5.1 78°F 1021 hPa
WBYA1 36 mi53 min 86°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi68 min 72°F 1021 hPa70°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi53 min SE 13 G 15 82°F 1020.6 hPa (+0.9)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi53 min Calm 77°F 1021.7 hPa (+1.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi53 min ESE 12 G 13 83°F 1020.6 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi57 minNNE 310.00 miFair74°F70°F88%1020.8 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi60 minENE 310.00 miFair77°F72°F85%1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmN4CalmCalmNE5NE7E4E13
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2 days agoCalmNW3NW4NW3W3NW3CalmCalmNW4NW7NW7NW553SW12SW11SW12SW9SW6W43W5W54

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:30 AM CDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:35 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:14 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:11 PM CDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:43 PM CDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:50 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.61.71.81.81.81.81.71.51.31.10.90.70.60.40.30.30.30.40.50.60.811.1

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:22 AM CDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:15 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:50 PM CDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:43 PM CDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:51 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.61.61.61.61.51.31.210.80.60.50.40.30.30.30.40.50.60.80.91.11.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.