DeLisle, MS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for DeLisle, MS

June 17, 2024 10:08 PM CDT (03:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM
Moonrise 4:07 PM   Moonset 2:32 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 356 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

.small craft exercise caution in effect through Tuesday morning - .

.small craft advisory in effect from Tuesday morning through Thursday morning - .

Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves 4 to 5 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves 4 to 5 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - East winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 5 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 356 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
winds will strengthen to small craft advisory levels today over much of the waters in response to a broad area of low pressure developing in the bay of campeche. These stronger winds of 20 to 30 knots will then persist through the middle of the week. Frequent gusts to near gale-force will be possible, primarily west of the mouth of the mississippi river. Seas will also build in response to the strengthening winds with seas of up to 12 feet expected in the offshore waters by Tuesday and Wednesday. A gradual decrease in wind speeds and seas is expected on Thursday and Friday as the low in the bay of campeche moves into mexico and weakens.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near DeLisle, MS
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Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 172333 AAA AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service New Orleans LA 633 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

NEW AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

NHC has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) One in the Bay of Campeche. This system is not expected to have any direct impacts on the local area, but due to its large size and interaction with a strong high over the eastern US, some indirect impacts are likely.

PTC One is forecast to become gradually better organized through the short term. As this happens, the pressure gradient will tighten across the local area, resulting in a strengthening wind field across the local area. Currently the wind and gust forecasts are still just below wind advisory criteria, but the next shift or two will need to continue taking a closer look. IF a wind advisory becomes necessary, it is most likely for areas south of the tidal lakes in southeast Louisiana.

Strong east-southeasterly flow across the northern Gulf waters will cause tides to rise above normal by tomorrow morning and minor coastal flooding is likely during high tide. Water levels will be highest during high tide on Wednesday, and could result in a some low lying roads becoming impassable, mainly in the more vulnerable areas on the west/southwest side of Bay St. Louis.
Based on the forecast, water could also cover some low lying portions of Hwy 1 between Port Fourchon and Grand Isle. Looking at the probabilistic water level guidance, there is still some potential that a coastal flood warning may be needed Wednesday morning, mainly for areas from Shell Beach to Bay St. Louis.
Regarding water levels in the lake, will again hold off on any headlines around the lake shores for now as water levels in the lake are expected to lag those on the open coast by 1-2 days. The guidance at New Canal on the south shore does indicate an advisory may be needed by the high tide cycles late Wednesday and Thursday, though.

The plume of deep tropical moisture that has been with us since yesterday will shift a bit to the west tomorrow. While there will still be plenty of moisture to support scattered to numerous showers and storms across the area, but rainfall rates should come down just a bit and the duration of heavier rain in any location should also limit the flood threat. Thus WPC continues to carry only a marginal risk of excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding on Tuesday.

By Wednesday the bulk of the moisture shifts even further southwest with drier air moving into the local area. Generally scattered showers and storms are still in the forecast, with possibly higher coverage across coastal southeast Louisiana. With the precipitable water dropping back down closer to 1.75, which is above normal but not remarkably so, rainfall rates are not expected to be as dramatic as what we've seen today, and the flooding rain threat is fairly low.

Afternoon temperatures will generally be near to below normal through the short term due to cloud cover and the higher rain chances. Morning lows will be above normal owing to the higher than normal dewpoints preventing the temps from dropping much below the mid 70s most places.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday night)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Going into Thursday and the weekend the forecast is a little murky and kind of depends on where various moisture plumes end up.
Currently, the NBM/consensus approach keeps the deeper tropical moisture out of our local forecast area, though there is quite a bit of uncertainty regarding the evolution of various vorticity features rotating through the central American gyre.

With no confidence in any specific ensemble member solutions, see no reason to stray from the NBM at this point in the longer term forecast. This results in scattered to numerous POPs each day mainly across southern areas with lower POPs farther inland.

Temperatures should be near to above normal based on the current forecast.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Convection will become more isolated through the evening and overnight. Cannot rule out a rogue shower or two, but this should be the exception rather than the rule. Convection looks to again be possible on Tuesday with the best potential over the south/western terminals such as BTR and HUM. Could see brief MVFR CIG/VIS in the heaviest convection. Southeasterly winds will increase and become gusty with some of the southern terminals approaching gusts in excess of 30 kts. (Frye)

MARINE
Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

No significant change to the marine forecast with this package.
Generally still expecting advisory conditions across most of the coastal waters through midweek as winds respond to a tightening pressure gradient between low pressure in the Bay of Campeche and high pressure centered over the east coast. Latest forecast does have a period of potentially gale conditions, mainly in the form of gusts from Tuesday night through Wednesday, but confidence is low enough that we will hold off on any gale watch for the time being. Regardless of whether winds reach gale conditions, a long fetch combined with a swell train emanating from the low in the SW Gulf will likely push seas to at least 9 to 12 feet over the open waters by Tuesday night into Wednesday. Hazardous to dangerous conditions will persist through much of the work week, especially over the open waters, and are not likely to see any significant improvement until Thursday night or Friday.

As noted above, with the prolonged southeasterly winds, east and south facing shorelines will see increased water levels beginning overnight tonight, and a Coastal Flood Advisory will remain in effect and will likely eventually need extended into Thursday.
Coastal Flood Warnings may be necessary for more sensitive spots by Tuesday night or Wednesday. Will again hold off on tidal lakes for now, as it appears their main water concerns may hold off until Wednesday night or Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 72 85 71 90 / 30 40 0 30 BTR 76 88 76 92 / 40 60 10 50 ASD 75 87 76 90 / 60 60 10 50 MSY 79 88 81 90 / 50 70 10 60 GPT 77 87 76 90 / 30 50 20 40 PQL 75 91 75 92 / 30 40 20 30

LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for LAZ068.

Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ066>070-076-078.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ530-532-534.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ536-538-550- 552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 4 PM CDT Wednesday for MSZ086>088.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ532-534.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ538-550-552- 555-557-570-572-575-577.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 4 mi51 minENE 11G12 81°F 84°F29.95
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 37 mi51 min 86°F
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA 40 mi51 minE 9.9G12 83°F 78°F29.97
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi51 minESE 9.9G13 83°F 29.98
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 45 mi84 minE 11 84°F 30.0175°F


Wind History for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHSA STENNIS INTL,MS 10 sm78 minENE 0510 smMostly Cloudy75°F73°F94%29.97
KGPT GULFPORTBILOXI INTL,MS 11 sm15 minNE 0610 smClear77°F73°F89%29.98
KBIX KEESLER AFB,MS 19 sm71 minNE 0610 smMostly Cloudy79°F73°F84%29.95
KMJD PICAYUNE MUNI,MS 22 sm13 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds75°F75°F100%29.97
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Wind History graph: HSA
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Tide / Current for Bay St. Louis, Mississippi (2)
   
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Bay St. Louis
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Mon -- 02:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:25 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:38 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bay St. Louis, Mississippi (2), Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.8
4
am
0.9
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.3
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.5
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.7
4
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0.5
5
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0.4
6
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0.2
7
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0.1
8
pm
0
9
pm
0
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.2


Tide / Current for Gulfport, Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi
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Gulfport
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Mon -- 02:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:54 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:49 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:50 PM CDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:00 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gulfport, Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
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0.8
2
am
0.8
3
am
0.9
4
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1.1
5
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1.2
6
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1.3
7
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1.4
8
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1.5
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.4
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1.2
1
pm
1
2
pm
0.8
3
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0.6
4
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0.5
5
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0.4
6
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0.3
7
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0.3
8
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0.3
9
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0.4
10
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0.5
11
pm
0.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,




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