Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tiger Point, FL
November 28, 2023 3:11 AM CST (09:11 UTC)
Sunrise 6:24AM Sunset 4:49PM Moonrise 6:49PM Moonset 8:47AM
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 128 Am Cst Tue Nov 28 2023
Rest of tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..East winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Rest of tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..East winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 128 Am Cst Tue Nov 28 2023
Synopsis..A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow will generally be decreasing over the next several days as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as the high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west.
Synopsis..A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow will generally be decreasing over the next several days as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as the high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west.
Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KMOB 280454 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1054 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1054 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
VFR conditions are expected to continue over the area through Tuesday evening. Light northwesterly winds inland, and up to around 10 knots near the coast, become northerly around 10 knots on Tuesday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 533 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
VFR conditions continue over the area through Tuesday.
Northwesterly winds up to around 5 knots overnight become northerly 5 to 10 knots on Tuesday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM and SHORT TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A dry zonal flow pattern aloft will continue through the period, and even some slight ridging aloft on Wednesday as upper troughing develops over the western third of the CONUS. For tonight a mostly thin cirrus canopy will continue to spread eastward across the forecast area, but skies should be mostly clear to clear for the remainder of the forecast period (perhaps a slight increase in clouds by Wednesday night, however). At the surface, high pressure will be be drifting east across the through the period, with the ridge axis being centered most directly over our area Tuesday night. By Wednesday night the ridge axis will be just to the east of our area with a slight, moderating return flow will be setting up.
It will be a fairly cool week as the high pressure drifts across, with lows tonight through Wednesday night mainly in the 30s across the entire except along the immediate coast. Tuesday night be the coldest as the ridge axis will be directly overhead, with lows in the upper 29 to lower 30s over most of the interior, low 30s along the I-10 corridor and maybe even some upper 30s along the coast. No freeze products should be required at this time as most locations that will see freezing temps this go around have already experienced some freezing temps. The exception could be the central zones of Mobile and Baldwin counties which have not seen freezing conditions yet. It appears to be borderline for those zones at this time, so will hold off on a Freeze Watch for those two zones for now, but continue to monitor temp guidance trends. Daytime highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will mostly be in the 50s across the entire area (with perhaps some low 60s over southeast MS on Wednesday). By Thursday and into the short/extended periods, we expect a gradual moderation of temperatures. /12
LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A very active pattern is anticipated for the long term period as a strong upper-level southwesterly flow pattern sets up across the southeast US. Within this established flow, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will eject northeastward from Texas and across the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys. The initial lead shortwave will move across these areas late Thursday night into early Friday morning, bringing with it a surge of deep layer moisture, with PWAT values increasing to well above 1.5 inches across our local region (potentially close to 2 inches in some locations). At the surface, an area of low pressure looks to develop over the ArkLaTex region in response to the initial ejecting upper trough, along with a trailing cold front that will push into our area on Friday. The front will begin to slow down and eventually stall overhead Friday night as forcing from the shortwave trough quickly lifts northeastward. As we move into the weekend, additional embedded shortwave impulses will move within the continued southwesterly flow aloft. The stalled front is also expected to linger in our vicinity through the weekend. Finally, by Sunday night and into Monday, a final, more amplified upper trough will approach the region, helping to send a stronger cold front through the area.
Heavy rain will be the main story through the period given the overall synoptic setup discussed above. Our first shot at numerous to widespread coverage of showers and some thunderstorms will arrive Thursday night through Friday morning as the initial shortwave moves to our northwest and the front approaches and enters our area. Guidance continues to suggest that the best dynamics should remain well displaced to our north and west. In addition, instability looks rather meager due to increased cloud cover and generally poor lapse rates. These factors should help to keep severe potential fairly low across the region, however, cannot rule out an isolated, embedded strong to severe storm within the general shower activity. Rain chances will decrease from west to east throughout the day on Friday as the trough lifts further away from the area and some very weak upper ridging attempts to briefly nose into the region. High rain chances return late Friday night and last throughout the entirety of the weekend as the front lingers across the area and helps to provide a low- level focus. Once again, with limited instability due to a completely saturated profile, the overall severe potential remains low, although one or two stronger storms cannot be ruled out due to precipitation loading.
As far as rainfall, we will likely have several rounds of potentially very heavy rainfall (considering the very high PWAT values in place) spanning between the Thursday night through Sunday night timeframe. Although this rainfall will largely be beneficial in lessening the impact of our ongoing drought, we will likely have to keep a close eye on the potential for localized flooding, especially in our urban and low-lying areas. Global guidance suggests that the entire region could see upwards of 2-4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. In fact, the latest Euro ensemble guidance gives a roughly 30-50 percent probability that the southern half of our area could see QPF amounts greater than 4 inches. We will continue to monitor these trends over the coming days. The rain finally begins to clear out on Monday as the stronger cold front pushes through and a drier airmass begins to advect into the region. /96
MARINE...
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow will generally be decreasing over the next several days as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Brief increase in offshore flow for tonight, possibly flirting with SCA winds offshore by late tonight for a few hours, but due to the short duration and borderline nature of the event, after coordination with adjacent offices, we have decided to go with SCEC headlines for tonight until now. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as the high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west. /12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 36 58 33 60 41 65 59 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 70 Pensacola 41 57 38 59 44 65 61 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80 Destin 43 61 41 60 46 66 61 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80 Evergreen 31 59 28 60 32 63 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 70 Waynesboro 31 57 29 59 36 62 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 40 Camden 30 55 27 57 31 62 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 60 Crestview 33 58 29 59 32 62 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1054 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1054 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
VFR conditions are expected to continue over the area through Tuesday evening. Light northwesterly winds inland, and up to around 10 knots near the coast, become northerly around 10 knots on Tuesday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 533 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
VFR conditions continue over the area through Tuesday.
Northwesterly winds up to around 5 knots overnight become northerly 5 to 10 knots on Tuesday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM and SHORT TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A dry zonal flow pattern aloft will continue through the period, and even some slight ridging aloft on Wednesday as upper troughing develops over the western third of the CONUS. For tonight a mostly thin cirrus canopy will continue to spread eastward across the forecast area, but skies should be mostly clear to clear for the remainder of the forecast period (perhaps a slight increase in clouds by Wednesday night, however). At the surface, high pressure will be be drifting east across the through the period, with the ridge axis being centered most directly over our area Tuesday night. By Wednesday night the ridge axis will be just to the east of our area with a slight, moderating return flow will be setting up.
It will be a fairly cool week as the high pressure drifts across, with lows tonight through Wednesday night mainly in the 30s across the entire except along the immediate coast. Tuesday night be the coldest as the ridge axis will be directly overhead, with lows in the upper 29 to lower 30s over most of the interior, low 30s along the I-10 corridor and maybe even some upper 30s along the coast. No freeze products should be required at this time as most locations that will see freezing temps this go around have already experienced some freezing temps. The exception could be the central zones of Mobile and Baldwin counties which have not seen freezing conditions yet. It appears to be borderline for those zones at this time, so will hold off on a Freeze Watch for those two zones for now, but continue to monitor temp guidance trends. Daytime highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will mostly be in the 50s across the entire area (with perhaps some low 60s over southeast MS on Wednesday). By Thursday and into the short/extended periods, we expect a gradual moderation of temperatures. /12
LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A very active pattern is anticipated for the long term period as a strong upper-level southwesterly flow pattern sets up across the southeast US. Within this established flow, a series of southern stream shortwave troughs will eject northeastward from Texas and across the Tennessee and Ohio River Valleys. The initial lead shortwave will move across these areas late Thursday night into early Friday morning, bringing with it a surge of deep layer moisture, with PWAT values increasing to well above 1.5 inches across our local region (potentially close to 2 inches in some locations). At the surface, an area of low pressure looks to develop over the ArkLaTex region in response to the initial ejecting upper trough, along with a trailing cold front that will push into our area on Friday. The front will begin to slow down and eventually stall overhead Friday night as forcing from the shortwave trough quickly lifts northeastward. As we move into the weekend, additional embedded shortwave impulses will move within the continued southwesterly flow aloft. The stalled front is also expected to linger in our vicinity through the weekend. Finally, by Sunday night and into Monday, a final, more amplified upper trough will approach the region, helping to send a stronger cold front through the area.
Heavy rain will be the main story through the period given the overall synoptic setup discussed above. Our first shot at numerous to widespread coverage of showers and some thunderstorms will arrive Thursday night through Friday morning as the initial shortwave moves to our northwest and the front approaches and enters our area. Guidance continues to suggest that the best dynamics should remain well displaced to our north and west. In addition, instability looks rather meager due to increased cloud cover and generally poor lapse rates. These factors should help to keep severe potential fairly low across the region, however, cannot rule out an isolated, embedded strong to severe storm within the general shower activity. Rain chances will decrease from west to east throughout the day on Friday as the trough lifts further away from the area and some very weak upper ridging attempts to briefly nose into the region. High rain chances return late Friday night and last throughout the entirety of the weekend as the front lingers across the area and helps to provide a low- level focus. Once again, with limited instability due to a completely saturated profile, the overall severe potential remains low, although one or two stronger storms cannot be ruled out due to precipitation loading.
As far as rainfall, we will likely have several rounds of potentially very heavy rainfall (considering the very high PWAT values in place) spanning between the Thursday night through Sunday night timeframe. Although this rainfall will largely be beneficial in lessening the impact of our ongoing drought, we will likely have to keep a close eye on the potential for localized flooding, especially in our urban and low-lying areas. Global guidance suggests that the entire region could see upwards of 2-4 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. In fact, the latest Euro ensemble guidance gives a roughly 30-50 percent probability that the southern half of our area could see QPF amounts greater than 4 inches. We will continue to monitor these trends over the coming days. The rain finally begins to clear out on Monday as the stronger cold front pushes through and a drier airmass begins to advect into the region. /96
MARINE...
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Nov 27 2023
A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow will generally be decreasing over the next several days as a high pressure ridge drifts east across the marine area. Brief increase in offshore flow for tonight, possibly flirting with SCA winds offshore by late tonight for a few hours, but due to the short duration and borderline nature of the event, after coordination with adjacent offices, we have decided to go with SCEC headlines for tonight until now. Southeasterly to southerly flow will return and gradually increase late this week as the high pressure shifts eastward and the next cold front approaches from the west. /12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 36 58 33 60 41 65 59 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 70 Pensacola 41 57 38 59 44 65 61 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80 Destin 43 61 41 60 46 66 61 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80 Evergreen 31 59 28 60 32 63 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 70 Waynesboro 31 57 29 59 36 62 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 40 Camden 30 55 27 57 31 62 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 60 Crestview 33 58 29 59 32 62 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 9 mi | 54 min | N 7G | 46°F | 70°F | 30.26 | ||
| 42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 34 mi | 42 min | N 21G | 52°F | 70°F | 30.27 | 40°F | |
| WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 41 mi | 87 min | N 1.9 | 45°F | 30.30 | 36°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL | 10 sm | 18 min | N 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 28°F | 53% | 30.26 | |
| KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL | 14 sm | 15 min | N 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 30°F | 57% | 30.27 | |
| KHRT HURLBURT FIELD,FL | 20 sm | 16 min | N 10 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 45°F | 36°F | 70% | 30.24 | |
| KNDZ WHITING FIELD NAS SOUTH,FL | 23 sm | 15 min | NNW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 43°F | 30°F | 61% | 30.27 | |
Wind History from PNS
(wind in knots)Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:24 AM CST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM CST Moonset
Tue -- 10:26 AM CST -0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM CST Sunset
Tue -- 05:49 PM CST Moonrise
Tue -- 11:40 PM CST 1.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:24 AM CST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM CST Moonset
Tue -- 10:26 AM CST -0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM CST Sunset
Tue -- 05:49 PM CST Moonrise
Tue -- 11:40 PM CST 1.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.7 |
| 2 am |
| 1.5 |
| 3 am |
| 1.2 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 0.5 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| -0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.5 |
| 10 am |
| -0.6 |
| 11 am |
| -0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
East Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:24 AM CST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM CST Moonset
Tue -- 10:52 AM CST -0.66 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:46 PM CST Sunset
Tue -- 05:47 PM CST Moonrise
Tue -- 11:43 PM CST 2.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:24 AM CST Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM CST Moonset
Tue -- 10:52 AM CST -0.66 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:46 PM CST Sunset
Tue -- 05:47 PM CST Moonrise
Tue -- 11:43 PM CST 2.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.1 |
| 1 am |
| 1.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.4 |
| 4 am |
| 1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.3 |
| 9 am |
| -0.5 |
| 10 am |
| -0.6 |
| 11 am |
| -0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Northwest Florida,
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