Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marshallberg, NC
January 22, 2025 5:43 PM AST (21:43 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 5:44 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM Moonset 12:25 PM |
AMZ065 Atlantic From 29n To 31n Between 70w And 74w- 343 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2025
Tonight - NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to ne swell.
Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to ne swell.
Thu night - Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in ne swell.
Fri - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in ne to E swell. Scattered showers.
Fri night - W to nw winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in ne to E swell.
Sat - N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in nw to N swell.
Sat night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in nw to N swell.
Sun - NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in ne swell.
Sun night - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon - W of 72w, E winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. E of 72w, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in E to se swell.
Mon night - W of 72w, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to sw 10 kt late. E of 72w, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
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Area Discussion for Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 221857 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 157 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2025
SYNOPSIS
An area of low pressure will move further off the coast this morning, taking snow and gusty winds with it. High pressure briefly builds over the area today with another weak low offshore potentially impacting the area Thursday. High pressure builds back into the area late week bringing dry conditions and a gradual warming trend over the weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 130 PM Wed...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Winter Weather Advisory now in effect for straggling snow band along the immediate coast.
Snow beginning to taper off along the coast with light snow continuing along the OBX from Avon to Cape Lookout, but expect that to end shortly so will allow the WSW to expire at 3 PM.
Skies continue to clear across far western sections of the FA but clouds will likely linger along the coast throughout the day. Temps still in the mid to upper 20s and highs today will likely remain below freezing for most areas.
Previous discussion...Snow is now confined to the immediate coast from Carteret County up the length of the entire Outer Banks. This band is considerably weaker than what we saw overnight, but it will still likely produce additional snow amounts of a half inch to an inch in a worst case scenario.
We will likely see sun along and west of Highway 17 today, but sprawling cloud cover with this system will linger across the Inner and Outer Banks. The fresh snowpack and associated high albedo keeps temps quite a few degrees lower than what would be normally supported, and kept highs largely below freezing. With the lack of snow melt (or very modest melting quickly refreezing), travel conditions remain treacherous today.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/
As of 410 AM Wed...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Coldest night of the year. Cold Weather Advisory will be needed as wind chills near 5 F.
High pressure will remain in place inland tonight with clear skies initially before a modest increase in high clouds from the west ahead of the next approaching front. We're used to talking about excellent radiational cooling conditions, but tonight is truly the case as we have a fresh high albedo snowpack to work with. Carried low temps near the coldest guidance, favoring lows in the upper 0s inland. Building cloud cover along the coast with a sharpening coastal trough and slowly rising temperatures here will keep lows in the relatively milder 20s. At a minimum, a new Cold Weather Advisory will be needed later today - temperatures this low can do damage to vulnerable infrastructure such as exposed or poorly insulated pipes.
See the CLIMATE section for tonight's record lows.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 600 AM Wednesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Very cold conditions again Thursday morning with wind chills in the single digits.
- 15-20% chance of light freezing rain Thursday morning
- Snow melt Thursday and Friday will refreeze Thursday night and Friday night, resulting in black ice concerns.
- Relatively warmer weekend in store
Thursday: A coastal trough will develop along the NC coast on Thursday while high pressure remains farther inland. With current guidance tracking the low well east of the coast, the forecast will continue to have only low chance PoPs east of Highway 17. With surface temps below freezing Thursday morning, a slight chance of light freezing rain can't be completely ruled out, especially across the north. Warming into the afternoon will transition all precipitation to rain with PoPs decreasing from west to east in the evening.
Friday-Monday: Warmer and drier weather is expected through the weekend as high pressure builds in. The next chance of precipitation will be on Monday as the next cold front approaches but moisture is limited and not all guidance is indicating precipitation with this system.
AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /Through Thursday/...
As of 130 PM Wed...VFR conditions expected to continue at the TAF sites through much of the evening, though MVFR cigs will persist along the coast. A weak mid-level system will move across the area late tonight with a weak low pressure area developing off the coast and lifting north Thursday. Increasing low level moisture could bring MVFR cigs at most terminals overnight into Thursday. Probabilities highest closer to the coast though model soundings show MVFR cigs possible at inland TAF sites as well. Northerly winds will gusts to around 20 kt inland and 30 kt along the coast through the afternoon, then light winds expected tonight and Thursday.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 335 AM Wednesday...A second coastal trough may bring another round of wintry precip, primarily FZRA, before turning all liquid during the daytime hours Thu morning. Details on this system still remain very murky and confidence in its evolution remains low. Otherwise expect mainly VFR conditions through the period.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Tonight/...
As of 130 PM Wednesday...Winds gradually diminishing and have allowed the Gale Warning to expire and replaced with Small Craft Advisories.
Previous discussion...Low pressure off of the coast was producing strong northerly winds across the NC waters early this morning. Winds are currently N 20-35 kt with gusts to 40 kt with seas of 6-10 ft, Winds will begin to slowly diminish this afternoon to 15-25 kt by evening and to 10-15 kt overnight. Seas are peaking this morning at 6-10 ft and will only gradually subside to 5-9 ft by evening. Seas will then decrease faster tonight to 4-6 ft by Thu morning.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 335 AM Wednesday...Elevated seas will persist into Thu evening when they will briefly subside below 6 ft. Moderate N flow 10-20 kt will continue on Thu with seas mostly 3-5 ft with 6 ft seas expected over the outer central waters. Winds will be N 10-15 kt Sat then W 10-15 kt Sunday. Seas will be 3-5 ft Sat and 2-4 ft Sunday.
CLIMATE
Record Low temps for 01/23 (Thursday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 13/1985 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 12/1970 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 10/1985 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 12/1970 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 8/1970 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 15/1970 (NCA ASOS)
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for NCZ195-196-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ131- 230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ135- 150.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Thursday for AMZ156-158.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 157 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2025
SYNOPSIS
An area of low pressure will move further off the coast this morning, taking snow and gusty winds with it. High pressure briefly builds over the area today with another weak low offshore potentially impacting the area Thursday. High pressure builds back into the area late week bringing dry conditions and a gradual warming trend over the weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 130 PM Wed...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Winter Weather Advisory now in effect for straggling snow band along the immediate coast.
Snow beginning to taper off along the coast with light snow continuing along the OBX from Avon to Cape Lookout, but expect that to end shortly so will allow the WSW to expire at 3 PM.
Skies continue to clear across far western sections of the FA but clouds will likely linger along the coast throughout the day. Temps still in the mid to upper 20s and highs today will likely remain below freezing for most areas.
Previous discussion...Snow is now confined to the immediate coast from Carteret County up the length of the entire Outer Banks. This band is considerably weaker than what we saw overnight, but it will still likely produce additional snow amounts of a half inch to an inch in a worst case scenario.
We will likely see sun along and west of Highway 17 today, but sprawling cloud cover with this system will linger across the Inner and Outer Banks. The fresh snowpack and associated high albedo keeps temps quite a few degrees lower than what would be normally supported, and kept highs largely below freezing. With the lack of snow melt (or very modest melting quickly refreezing), travel conditions remain treacherous today.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/
As of 410 AM Wed...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Coldest night of the year. Cold Weather Advisory will be needed as wind chills near 5 F.
High pressure will remain in place inland tonight with clear skies initially before a modest increase in high clouds from the west ahead of the next approaching front. We're used to talking about excellent radiational cooling conditions, but tonight is truly the case as we have a fresh high albedo snowpack to work with. Carried low temps near the coldest guidance, favoring lows in the upper 0s inland. Building cloud cover along the coast with a sharpening coastal trough and slowly rising temperatures here will keep lows in the relatively milder 20s. At a minimum, a new Cold Weather Advisory will be needed later today - temperatures this low can do damage to vulnerable infrastructure such as exposed or poorly insulated pipes.
See the CLIMATE section for tonight's record lows.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 600 AM Wednesday...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Very cold conditions again Thursday morning with wind chills in the single digits.
- 15-20% chance of light freezing rain Thursday morning
- Snow melt Thursday and Friday will refreeze Thursday night and Friday night, resulting in black ice concerns.
- Relatively warmer weekend in store
Thursday: A coastal trough will develop along the NC coast on Thursday while high pressure remains farther inland. With current guidance tracking the low well east of the coast, the forecast will continue to have only low chance PoPs east of Highway 17. With surface temps below freezing Thursday morning, a slight chance of light freezing rain can't be completely ruled out, especially across the north. Warming into the afternoon will transition all precipitation to rain with PoPs decreasing from west to east in the evening.
Friday-Monday: Warmer and drier weather is expected through the weekend as high pressure builds in. The next chance of precipitation will be on Monday as the next cold front approaches but moisture is limited and not all guidance is indicating precipitation with this system.
AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /Through Thursday/...
As of 130 PM Wed...VFR conditions expected to continue at the TAF sites through much of the evening, though MVFR cigs will persist along the coast. A weak mid-level system will move across the area late tonight with a weak low pressure area developing off the coast and lifting north Thursday. Increasing low level moisture could bring MVFR cigs at most terminals overnight into Thursday. Probabilities highest closer to the coast though model soundings show MVFR cigs possible at inland TAF sites as well. Northerly winds will gusts to around 20 kt inland and 30 kt along the coast through the afternoon, then light winds expected tonight and Thursday.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 335 AM Wednesday...A second coastal trough may bring another round of wintry precip, primarily FZRA, before turning all liquid during the daytime hours Thu morning. Details on this system still remain very murky and confidence in its evolution remains low. Otherwise expect mainly VFR conditions through the period.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Tonight/...
As of 130 PM Wednesday...Winds gradually diminishing and have allowed the Gale Warning to expire and replaced with Small Craft Advisories.
Previous discussion...Low pressure off of the coast was producing strong northerly winds across the NC waters early this morning. Winds are currently N 20-35 kt with gusts to 40 kt with seas of 6-10 ft, Winds will begin to slowly diminish this afternoon to 15-25 kt by evening and to 10-15 kt overnight. Seas are peaking this morning at 6-10 ft and will only gradually subside to 5-9 ft by evening. Seas will then decrease faster tonight to 4-6 ft by Thu morning.
LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 335 AM Wednesday...Elevated seas will persist into Thu evening when they will briefly subside below 6 ft. Moderate N flow 10-20 kt will continue on Thu with seas mostly 3-5 ft with 6 ft seas expected over the outer central waters. Winds will be N 10-15 kt Sat then W 10-15 kt Sunday. Seas will be 3-5 ft Sat and 2-4 ft Sunday.
CLIMATE
Record Low temps for 01/23 (Thursday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 13/1985 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 12/1970 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 10/1985 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 12/1970 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 8/1970 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 15/1970 (NCA ASOS)
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for NCZ195-196-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ131- 230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ135- 150.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Thursday for AMZ156-158.
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Morehead City, NC,
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