Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Goulding, FL

FXUS64 KMOB 171133 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 633 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

New Aviation

DISCUSSION
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

Now Through Sunday Night...

Overall still mostly dry across the area, expect along and north of highway 84 this afternoon. High pressure remains in place across the Gulf; however, a shortwave moving across the upper Great Lakes today may be just enough to give our far northern areas a shot at some rain. A line of storms currently across northern Mississippi and Northern Alabama will likely continue to slowly drift south and east throughout the morning reaching our area in a few hours. This line of storms is associated with a upper trough exiting the Great Lakes. With overall forcing so well removed from the area, the expectation is for these storms to slowly fall apart as they move into the area. While a stronger wind gust cannot be ruled out, these storms will likely have more bark than bite and most should stay weak or weaken on approach. By Midday, storms will likely be all but non-existent as the upper level high takes back control. Dry conditions will persist through Sunday with high temperatures continuing to hover in the 90s.

BB-8

Monday through Friday...

Dry weather is forecast across the entire forecast area Monday through Tuesday afternoon as an upper ridge builds over the eastern CONUS. An upper trough and associated surface low pressure area exiting the Great Plains Tuesday night will move toward the lower Great Lakes region through the middle of next week. This system looks to be strong enough to send an cold front south through our area Wednesday afternoon or evening. A return of isolated to low-end scattered showers and thunderstorms should occur Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. At this time it is still too early to determine if there could be any local impacts.

High temperatures should range from 90 to 95 degrees interior areas Monday and Tuesday, and from 85 to 90 degrees closer to the coast.
These temperatures average about 5 to 9 degrees above normal interior areas and from 2 to 4 degrees above normal closer to the coast. Apparent temperatures (heat indices) are expected to be in mid to upper 90s. Lows will average about 7 to 12 degrees above normal across the entire forecast area Monday night and Tuesday night, settling in the upper 60s to lower 70s. We should see mid 70s along the immediate coast both nights. High temperatures will cool into the 80s Wednesday and Thursday due to the cold frontal passage, and lows by Thursday night could dip into the mid 50s to lower 60s.
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