Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Holley, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 6:48PM Sunday September 19, 2021 9:46 AM CDT (14:46 UTC) Moonrise 6:29PMMoonset 5:06AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 937 Am Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021
Rest of today..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 937 Am Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis..A light to moderate southerly flow persists through Monday, and then westerly on Tuesday. Shower and Thunderstorm chances and seas 1 to 2 feet will remain possible through Tuesday night. A cold front is expected late Tuesday night, brining increasing offshore winds and building seas through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, FL
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location: 30.45, -86.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 191148 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 648 AM CDT Sun Sep 19 2021

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Monday/. A weak upper level low centered over the ARLATEX region will lift north-northeastward through Sunday evening, becoming centered over western Illinois by midnight. However, the base of the upper shortwave that housed the departing low will remain as far south as the northwest Gulf of Mexico. This shortwave will eventually become broader and weaker through the remainder of the near term as it moves very slowly eastward over the lower Mississippi River region, and a longwave trough digs southeast over the Northern Plains. PWATs will remain from 1.9 to 2.2" through Sunday evening, and then gradually lower from west to east to between 1.7 to 1.9" late Sunday night through Monday afternoon.

The high initial values will result in a 70-80% of showers and thunderstorms again today as we maintain a typical diurnal cycle, followed by isolated to scattered showers and storms Sunday night. The slightly lower atmospheric moisture on Monday will result in slightly lower precipitation chances, with a 40-50% of showers and thunderstorms across the southwest half of the forecast area, and a 60-70% of showers and thunderstorms across the northeast half. Despite the fact that the Flash Flood Watch was allowed to expire this evening, isolated instances of heavy rainfall and nuisance flooding will remain through the near term, especially with any slow moving showers and storms given the saturated soils. A couple storms may have some gusty winds thanks to water loading processes.

Low temperatures tonight remain on track to bottom out in the lower to middle 70's. The same is expected Sunday night. High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s are forecast both today and Monday. However, a few readings in the upper 80s could occur Monday afternoon across south central Alabama. /22 BB/03


AVIATION. 12Z issuance . A mixed bag of ceilings and visbys across the area with mostly MVFR and IFR cigs and visbys. Fully expect IFR cigs to slowly lift throughout the morning with MVFR prevailing throughout most of the day. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop again by mid-day near the coast then move inland throughout the afternoon. IFR visbys will be possible within the strongest of storms during the afternoon. Winds will remain light out of the southeast becoming light and variable overnight. Storms should subside during the early evening hours; however, there should be enough moisture around for another round of lower cigs during the overnight hours tonight. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 432 AM CDT Sun Sep 19 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Monday/ . A weak upper level low centered over the ARLATEX region will lift north-northeastward through Sunday evening, becoming centered over western Illinois by midnight. However, the base of the upper shortwave that housed the departing low will remain as far south as the northwest Gulf of Mexico. This shortwave will eventually become broader and weaker through the remainder of the near term as it moves very slowly eastward over the lower Mississippi River region, and a longwave trough digs southeast over the Northern Plains. PWATs will remain from 1.9 to 2.2" through Sunday evening, and then gradually lower from west to east to between 1.7 to 1.9" late Sunday night through Monday afternoon.

The high initial values will result in a 70-80% of showers and thunderstorms again today as we maintain a typical diurnal cycle, followed by isolated to scattered showers and storms Sunday night. The slightly lower atmospheric moisture on Monday will result in slightly lower precipitation chances, with a 40-50% of showers and thunderstorms across the southwest half of the forecast area, and a 60-70% of showers and thunderstorms across the northeast half. Despite the fact that the Flash Flood Watch was allowed to expire this evening, isolated instances of heavy rainfall and nuisance flooding will remain through the near term, especially with any slow moving showers and storms given the saturated soils. A couple storms may have some gusty winds thanks to water loading processes.

Low temperatures tonight remain on track to bottom out in the lower to middle 70's. The same is expected Sunday night. High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s are forecast both today and Monday. However, a few readings in the upper 80s could occur Monday afternoon across south central Alabama. /22 BB/03

SHORT TERM /Monday night Through Tuesday night/ . An upper trough will move from the northern plains into the Ohio Valley by Tuesday night. An associated sfc cold front will will advance into the southeast ahead of the upper trough Tuesday into Tuesday night. The airmass over the area will remain very moist with precipitable water values around 2 inches. The combination of deep layer moisture, daytime heating and the approaching front will bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to the area on Tuesday continuing into Tuesday night as the cold front begins to move across the area. Highs on Tuesday will be in the mid 80s with lows on Tuesday night dependent on where the front is located, with mid/upper 60s across far northwest areas to low to mid 70s along the coast. /13

EXTENDED TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/ . An upper level shortwave trough moving over the Mississippi River continues to move east, leaving a mean upper trough over the eastern Conus in its wake. Several shortwave systems move through the mean upper trough through the Extended, eventually shifting the northern end of the mean trough east, but leaving the southern end over the Southeast. A cold front moves south across the southeast Wednesday through Wednesday night in response to the first passing upper trough, with surface high pressure settling over the eastern Conus for the latter half of the week into the weekend. The ECMWF is advertising a deeper upper trough passing, leading to a stronger cold front and a bit cooler forecast through the Extended. Guidance does agree in any precipitation moving south of the coast late Wednesday/Wednesday evening. So, for the forecast, have showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for Wednesday, shifting south of the coast Wednesday night. Have blended the GFS/ECWMF numbers, with temperatures below seasonal norms expected Wednesday into Thursday, then moderating to around seasonal by Saturday. Low 50s to low 60s Wednesday and Thursday nights rise to the upper 50s to mid 60s by Saturday night. High temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s Wednesday and Thursday rise to the low to mid 80s by Saturday. /16

MARINE . A light easterly flow tonight into Sunday morning will shift to a light to moderate southerly flow through Monday, and then westerly on Tuesday. Shower and thunderstorm chances and seas 1 to 2 feet will remain possible through Tuesday night. A cold front is expected late Tuesday night, brining increasing offshore winds and building seas through midweek. Current guidance continues to suggest that the end of the work week may have to be watched for a potential small craft advisory. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi47 min Calm G 4.1 77°F 81°F1016.4 hPa (+1.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 43 mi27 min E 3.9 G 3.9 80°F 82°F
WBYA1 48 mi47 min 78°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 48 mi62 min 76°F 1017 hPa75°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi51 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F74°F93%1016.4 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi54 minNNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1016.3 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL18 mi1.8 hrsENE 33.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist75°F72°F90%1014.7 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL20 mi51 minVar 310.00 miOvercast75°F73°F94%1015.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL21 mi51 minE 510.00 miOvercast75°F73°F94%1016.8 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi51 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1016.2 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi54 minENE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmW6SW5Calm--CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmE7E7CalmE4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmE3E7
1 day agoE4E4S6E9--SE7E6SE4SE7SE4SE5E4CalmCalmCalmSE5SE7CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmE4

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:05 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:34 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:25 AM CDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:29 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:23 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.60.70.811.11.31.41.61.71.81.91.91.81.71.61.41.210.90.80.70.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:05 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:34 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:06 AM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:28 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:03 PM CDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:56 PM CDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.911.21.41.51.61.61.61.61.51.31.10.80.70.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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