Tuesday, August20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holley, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 7:25PM Tuesday August 20, 2019 10:34 PM CDT (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 10:33PMMoonset 10:37AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1024 Pm Cdt Tue Aug 20 2019
Rest of tonight..Winds light becoming east 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1024 Pm Cdt Tue Aug 20 2019
Synopsis..A light and predominantly onshore flow continues over the marine area as a ridge of surface high pressure continues to stretch from the western atlantic into the central gulf. Seas will remain two feet or less outside of Thunderstorms. Conditions will also remain favorable for isolated waterspouts, especially during the morning and early afternoon hours.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, FL
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location: 30.45, -86.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 210148
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
848 pm cdt Tue aug 20 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Overall the afternoon forecast package remains on track.

Just included some patchy fog development tonight to the current
forecast. 08

Prev discussion issued 701 pm cdt Tue aug 20 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Widely scattered showers and storms linger through
early evening before slowly dissipating. Winds become light and
variable overnight. Patchy light fog is possible by 06z across
areas that received rain today with visibility dropping to ifr or
lifr for a short period at the TAF sites near sunrise. Showers
and storms redevelop by late morning. 07 mb
prev discussion... Issued 337 pm cdt Tue aug 20 2019
near term now through Wednesday ... 20.12z upper air analysis
shows a trof axis at multiple levels from the appalachians
stretching southwest over the central gulf coast. At the surface,
a weakly defined pressure trof has migrated slowly northward over
the i-65 corridor today where visible satellite imagery animations
and radar loops continue to show a cyclonic motion to
cloud precipitation elements around the trof axis. Meso-analysis
shows deepest gulf moisture (pwats 1.9 to 2.2 inches) along and
southeast of i-65. Scattered to numerous showers and storms have
used up instability with mixed layer CAPE values in areas where it
hasn't rained ranging 1000-1500 j kg over the land zones. Storm
cores have had a hard time maturing this afternoon, with over-all
core heights staying below -20c height at ~ 26.2 kft per rap bufr
soundings. Although storm growth has been lacking, deep layer shear
being non-existent and mid level lapse rates ~ 5.5c km, forecasters
still cannot rule out a few afternoon perhaps early evening storms
becoming briefly strong. Deep layer environmental moisture supports
some storms being efficient heavy rain producers. Going into the
evening, ensembles of the high resolution models show a rapid
decrease in coverage. Some patchy fog possible late in the night in
those areas that received heavier rains today. Overnight lows mostly
in the lower to mid 70s.

A weak shear axis aloft remains positioned over the southeast
us and central gulf coast on Wednesday. With deep layer moisture
holding and with onset of daytime instability, scattered to
perhaps numerous showers and storms are expected. Daytime highs
range from 88 to 93. 10
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... An unsettled
weather pattern will remain in place through the short term. A
very moist airmass with precipitable water values around 2 inches
combined with an upper level weakness will continue to generate
scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms each day.

Showers and thunderstorms will start near the coast in the
morning and spread inland through the late morning. Convective
coverage will be most numerous over the land areas during peak
daytime heating. The upside to the additional rain and associated
clouds will be temps that will be at or slightly below normal. 13
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Very little change in the
pattern through the extended range as plenty of deep layer
moisture will continue across the gulf coast with precipitable
water values over 2 inches. This will continue the pattern of
diurnally driven scattered to locally numerous showers and
thunderstorms each day. 13
marine... A light mostly onshore flow continues over the marine
area as a ridge of surface high pressure continues to stretch
from the western atlantic to the north central gulf. Winds, waves,
and seas will be locally higher near thunderstorms through the
forecast period. Conditions will also remain favorable for
isolated waterspouts, especially during the morning and early
afternoon hours. 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi46 min N 2.9 G 4.1 79°F 85°F1019.1 hPa
PPTA1 36 mi64 min 79°F 1019.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 43 mi34 min SSE 9.7 G 12 80°F 85°F1018.8 hPa (+1.1)72°F
WBYA1 48 mi46 min 86°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 48 mi109 min 75°F 1018 hPa74°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 49 mi94 min SSE 7 81°F 1017.6 hPa (+0.3)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 56 mi34 min ESE 4.1 77°F 1019 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi98 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1018.1 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi41 minN 010.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1019 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL18 mi98 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F73°F94%1017.3 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL20 mi98 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F73°F97%1017.3 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL21 mi38 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F75°F89%1019.6 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi38 minN 09.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1018.9 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi41 minVar 310.00 miA Few Clouds83°F75°F77%1018.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm----Calm--4CalmCalmSE8CalmCalmCalmS6Calm----Calm--SE5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW6NW3--Calm--Calm--NW3NW8CalmCalmCalmCalm----S6S10
G19
S11--S7SW9SW4CalmCalm
2 days agoSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3--N4N3N3Calm--N4N5NW3W8
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Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:37 AM CDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:37 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:09 AM CDT     1.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:44 PM CDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:43 PM CDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91111.11.11.11.11.11.11111.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM CDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:06 AM CDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:36 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:07 PM CDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:33 PM CDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.90.90.90.80.80.80.80.80.9111110.90.90.80.80.80.80.90.91

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.