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Marine Weather and Tides Holley, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:13AM

Sunset 7:30PM

Saturday August 15, 2020 3:24 AM CDT (08:24 UTC)

Moonrise 2:30AM

Moonset 5:03PM

Illumination 13%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, FL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 150502 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1202 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2020

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions were present at the TAF sites at issuance. No showers or storms are currently on radar, but Hi-Res model guidance suggests a resurgence in activity late tonight into early Saturday morning near the coast and over the open Gulf waters. Included at least VCSH for all TAF sites, but there is a higher probability of showers/storms affecting MOB and BHM during this time. Thus, -SHRA with lower CIGs and VIS were included as temporary conditions to account for this through the dawn hours. Scattered showers and storms will then transition to over land through Saturday morning and persist through the afternoon, mainly along and southeast of I-65. Lower CIGs and VIS will again be possible in the heavier showers/storms. This activity will then dwindle through Saturday evening. Outside of any storms, light winds tonight will increase to be between 5-10 knots Saturday afternoon while also becoming more northwesterly. Winds will then decrease to become light once again Saturday evening. /26

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1117 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/ . An upper level trough currently located over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys and down over the northern Gulf coast will slowly make its way towards the east coast through the weekend. At the same time, an upper ridge over the southwestern CONUS will nudge east into the ARKLATEX region. At the surface, high pressure will largely dominate the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, a cold front will slowly progress over the Tennessee and lower Mississippi valleys through the day Saturday, eventually moving over the northern Gulf coast by late Saturday night and into early Sunday morning.

As for sensible weather, most of the earlier shower and storm activity has diminished; however, some light showers continue over the far offshore Gulf waters. Furthermore, earlier runs of Hi-Res model guidance hinted at a resurgence in showers and storms near the coast and over the open Gulf waters late tonight into early Saturday morning. This signal has trended downward in the last few runs, but some scattered activity remains possible. Scattered showers and storms will eventually transition to mainly be over the land areas through late Saturday morning and will persist through the afternoon (particularly along and southeast of I-65). However, coverage of these showers/storms is not anticipated to be as extensive as it was earlier today. Although model MLCAPE values are between 1000-1500 J/kg, winds will shift to be more northwesterly through the day Saturday. This will result in decreasing deep layer moisture and PWATs ranging from 1.5-1.8 inches. Through Saturday evening and overnight, showers and storms will then decrease over land. Chances of showers and a few storms will remain possible near the coast and over the Gulf waters into early Sunday morning.

Current temperatures across the area are in the lower to mid 70s. Although, some areas right along the coast of the western Florida Panhandle are in the upper 70s. Not expecting much more of a decline in temperatures overnight with present dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s. High temperatures Saturday afternoon are then expected to be in the lower 90s northwest of I-65 and in the upper 80s southwest of I-65 as well as right along the coast (due to higher PoPs during the day in these locations). Dew points in the lower to mid 70s over the inland areas and in the upper 70s near the coast will result in heat indices in the lower to mid 100s northwest of I-65 and indices generally in the upper 90s to lower 100s southwest of I-65. Lows Saturday night will then be in the lower 70s inland and in the mid to upper 70s along the coast.

Lastly, a LOW RISK of rip currents continues through the weekend. /26

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 706 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Saturday night/ . Mainly showers continue over portions of southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle, but a few storms are still ongoing over south-central Alabama as well as the open Gulf waters. With the loss of daytime heating, expecting most of the activity to wane through the remainder of this evening. However, Hi-Res model guidance suggests a resurgence of activity near the coast into late tonight. This will continue to be monitored. Other than making some adjustments based on current trends (particularly with PoPs), the forecast remains largely on track this evening. /26

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . MVFR conditions will persist over areas that continue to experience rain showers and/or thunderstorms. However, expecting most showers and storms to dwindle through this evening with some recovery to VFR possible overnight. A resurgence in shower and storm activity is then anticipated late tonight through Saturday morning, particularly near the coast and over the open Gulf waters. This will then transition to be over the land areas (especially along and south of I-65) through the afternoon. Lower CIGs and VIS are possible in the heavier showers/storms. Outside of any storms, west to southwest winds will decrease to be light and variable (around 5 knots) overnight before increasing to be between 5-10 knots by Saturday afternoon. Winds will also become more northwesterly through late morning. /26

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	16 mi	54 min	NNW 1.9 G 4.1	79°F	88°F		1013.2 hPa
PPTA1	36 mi	54 min		81°F			1013.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	43 mi	34 min	WSW 12 G 14	84°F	86°F	1 ft	1013.2 hPa	76°F
WBYA1	48 mi	54 min			87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	48 mi	99 min		78°F			1014 hPa	78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL	49 mi	84 min	WSW 11	85°F			1013.9 hPa (-0.7)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	56 mi	54 min	SSW 8	80°F			1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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NE2

S13 G18

NW3

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NW1

S3

S2

S5

NW7 G13

S1

S7

S4 G9

S6 G10

S8

SE3 G14

NW8 G16

NW1 G7

NW1 G4

S1 G4

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W1

W1 G4

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1 day ago

NW3 G6

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E1 G6

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NW2 G5

N5 G9

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N3 G6

NE2

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N4 G7

SE1 G4

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SE1 G4

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S7

S10

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S7 G10

S5 G8

NW1

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NW6

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Hurlburt Field, FL	13 mi	28 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	77°F	72°F	86%	1012.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL	15 mi	4.5 hrs	WSW 3	10.00 mi	Fair	77°F	72°F	85%	1012.2 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL	18 mi	28 min	N 0	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	75°F	73°F	94%	1011.6 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL	20 mi	28 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	74°F	73°F	97%	1011.5 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL	21 mi	28 min	WNW 3	10.00 mi	Overcast	78°F	72°F	85%	1013.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL	22 mi	28 min	Var 3	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	79°F	75°F	88%	1013.1 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL	24 mi	31 min	NW 6	10.00 mi	Fair	80°F	73°F	79%	1012.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)

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SW8 G17

Calm

Calm

Calm

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Calm

SE3

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S10

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SW7

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NW7

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1 day ago

N6

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NE4

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SE6

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S11

S12 G17

N8

Calm

NW3

SW3

Calm

N4

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Calm

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2 days ago

N4

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E3

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S9

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Calm

N3

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N4

Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida

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Gulf Stream Current

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