Saturday, August15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Holley, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 7:30PM Saturday August 15, 2020 3:24 AM CDT (08:24 UTC) Moonrise 2:30AMMoonset 5:03PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1009 Pm Cdt Fri Aug 14 2020
Rest of tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1009 Pm Cdt Fri Aug 14 2020
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate westerly flow is expected through Saturday night. Winds will then vary from northerly to westerly Sunday through Monday night as a cold front approaches the coast and moves over the northern gulf. Light southerly winds are then anticipated through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, FL
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location: 30.45, -86.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 150502 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1202 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2020

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions were present at the TAF sites at issuance. No showers or storms are currently on radar, but Hi-Res model guidance suggests a resurgence in activity late tonight into early Saturday morning near the coast and over the open Gulf waters. Included at least VCSH for all TAF sites, but there is a higher probability of showers/storms affecting MOB and BHM during this time. Thus, -SHRA with lower CIGs and VIS were included as temporary conditions to account for this through the dawn hours. Scattered showers and storms will then transition to over land through Saturday morning and persist through the afternoon, mainly along and southeast of I-65. Lower CIGs and VIS will again be possible in the heavier showers/storms. This activity will then dwindle through Saturday evening. Outside of any storms, light winds tonight will increase to be between 5-10 knots Saturday afternoon while also becoming more northwesterly. Winds will then decrease to become light once again Saturday evening. /26

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1117 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/ . An upper level trough currently located over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys and down over the northern Gulf coast will slowly make its way towards the east coast through the weekend. At the same time, an upper ridge over the southwestern CONUS will nudge east into the ARKLATEX region. At the surface, high pressure will largely dominate the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, a cold front will slowly progress over the Tennessee and lower Mississippi valleys through the day Saturday, eventually moving over the northern Gulf coast by late Saturday night and into early Sunday morning.

As for sensible weather, most of the earlier shower and storm activity has diminished; however, some light showers continue over the far offshore Gulf waters. Furthermore, earlier runs of Hi-Res model guidance hinted at a resurgence in showers and storms near the coast and over the open Gulf waters late tonight into early Saturday morning. This signal has trended downward in the last few runs, but some scattered activity remains possible. Scattered showers and storms will eventually transition to mainly be over the land areas through late Saturday morning and will persist through the afternoon (particularly along and southeast of I-65). However, coverage of these showers/storms is not anticipated to be as extensive as it was earlier today. Although model MLCAPE values are between 1000-1500 J/kg, winds will shift to be more northwesterly through the day Saturday. This will result in decreasing deep layer moisture and PWATs ranging from 1.5-1.8 inches. Through Saturday evening and overnight, showers and storms will then decrease over land. Chances of showers and a few storms will remain possible near the coast and over the Gulf waters into early Sunday morning.

Current temperatures across the area are in the lower to mid 70s. Although, some areas right along the coast of the western Florida Panhandle are in the upper 70s. Not expecting much more of a decline in temperatures overnight with present dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s. High temperatures Saturday afternoon are then expected to be in the lower 90s northwest of I-65 and in the upper 80s southwest of I-65 as well as right along the coast (due to higher PoPs during the day in these locations). Dew points in the lower to mid 70s over the inland areas and in the upper 70s near the coast will result in heat indices in the lower to mid 100s northwest of I-65 and indices generally in the upper 90s to lower 100s southwest of I-65. Lows Saturday night will then be in the lower 70s inland and in the mid to upper 70s along the coast.

Lastly, a LOW RISK of rip currents continues through the weekend. /26

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 706 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Saturday night/ . Mainly showers continue over portions of southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle, but a few storms are still ongoing over south-central Alabama as well as the open Gulf waters. With the loss of daytime heating, expecting most of the activity to wane through the remainder of this evening. However, Hi-Res model guidance suggests a resurgence of activity near the coast into late tonight. This will continue to be monitored. Other than making some adjustments based on current trends (particularly with PoPs), the forecast remains largely on track this evening. /26

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . MVFR conditions will persist over areas that continue to experience rain showers and/or thunderstorms. However, expecting most showers and storms to dwindle through this evening with some recovery to VFR possible overnight. A resurgence in shower and storm activity is then anticipated late tonight through Saturday morning, particularly near the coast and over the open Gulf waters. This will then transition to be over the land areas (especially along and south of I-65) through the afternoon. Lower CIGs and VIS are possible in the heavier showers/storms. Outside of any storms, west to southwest winds will decrease to be light and variable (around 5 knots) overnight before increasing to be between 5-10 knots by Saturday afternoon. Winds will also become more northwesterly through late morning. /26

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi54 min NNW 1.9 G 4.1 79°F 88°F1013.2 hPa
PPTA1 36 mi54 min 81°F 1013.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 43 mi34 min WSW 12 G 14 84°F 86°F1 ft1013.2 hPa76°F
WBYA1 48 mi54 min 87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 48 mi99 min 78°F 1014 hPa78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 49 mi84 min WSW 11 85°F 1013.9 hPa (-0.7)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 56 mi54 min SSW 8 80°F 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi28 minN 010.00 miOvercast77°F72°F86%1012.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi4.5 hrsWSW 310.00 miFair77°F72°F85%1012.2 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL18 mi28 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F73°F94%1011.6 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL20 mi28 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F73°F97%1011.5 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL21 mi28 minWNW 310.00 miOvercast78°F72°F85%1013.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi28 minVar 310.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1013.1 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi31 minNW 610.00 miFair80°F73°F79%1012.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4S10S8S10S9SW7S8SW9NW7NW3CalmN3NW5CalmW4CalmCalm
1 day agoN6N5CalmCalmNE4NE7N4SE6SE5S11S12
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2 days agoN4N5N5E3N5NE7NE75S9S12S11S12SW8SW6SW8W6W4CalmN3CalmCalmCalmN4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:15 AM CDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:02 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:28 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:53 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.70.91.11.31.51.71.922.12.121.81.61.41.10.80.50.30.20.100.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:29 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:56 AM CDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:02 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:03 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:28 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.31.51.61.71.71.71.61.41.210.70.40.30.10.100.10.10.20.40.60.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.