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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 423 Am Est Tue Dec 5 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Wednesday afternoon...
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest late. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 423 Am Est Tue Dec 5 2023
Synopsis..
north to northwest winds prevail through the day until the next front arrives late tonight. This front will bring advisory level conditions through at least midday Wednesday. No rain is expected with this frontal passage. Another system is likely this upcoming weekend which will bring additional potential for advisory level conditions and possibly a few severe storms.

FXUS62 KTAE 051338 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 838 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

New NEAR TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER

NEAR TERM
(Through tonight)
Issued at 837 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

A cold front pushed through early this morning and will help keep temperatures slightly below normal this afternoon. Highs are forecast to be in the lower to middle 60s. An H5 trough digging into the eastern half of the country later tonight pushes another dry cold front through the region. This will push temperatures down into the lower to middle 40s along with much drier air filter in behind the front. A northwesterly breeze will push wind chills down into the middle 30s Wednesday morning.

SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 431 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

Quiet weather through the short term as a cold front will have worked its way through and high pressure builds into the region.
Below normal temperatures by about 5-10 degrees are forecast.
Wednesday highs will be in the mid to upper 50s for areas north of I-10 and south of that they'll be in the upper 50s to near 60.
The coldest air is anticipated to be in GA and AL, especially along and in between the Chattahoochee and Flint rivers where lows may bottom out in the upper 20s. Thursday we see temperatures begins to improve slightly but it will still feel cool outside.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 431 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

High pressure should hold through Friday, with a pattern change occuring over the weekend. Temperatures continue to increase each day as flow eventually takes on a southerly component. The next frontal boundary is set to arrive over the weekend. This will likely bring showers and thunderstorms to the region; however, there's still some uncertainty when it comes to whether or not severe weather will occur. Once the front clears, high pressure builds behind it which should lead to dry weather for the start of the work week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 837 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

VFR conditions are generally expected to prevail at all TAF sites today. A light to moderate west to northwest wind is expected throughout the day before turning more northwest to north very early Wednesday morning in the wake of a cold front. There is the potential for some LLWS between 06Z and 12Z Wednesday, but confidence wasn't high enough to include it in the TAFs with this package.

MARINE
Issued at 431 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

North to northwest winds prevail through the day until the next front arrives late tonight. This front will bring Advisory level conditions through at least midday Wednesday. No rain is expected with this frontal passage. Another system is likely this upcoming weekend which will bring additional potential for advisory level conditions and possibly a few severe storms.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 837 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

High dispersions will be possible Wednesday afternoon in the wake of tonight's cold front. Lower dispersions are expected Thursday as high pressure builds over the region. However, no fire weather concerns are anticipated due to the saturated soils from recent rain.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 431 AM EST Tue Dec 5 2023

A few rivers remain above action stage, with minor flooding still occuring at Sopchoppy and Aucilla River at Lamont. The Sopchoppy is expected to recede to action stage later today, while the Aucilla at Lamont should recede sometime Wednesday.

No additional riverine concerns are anticipated but additional rainfall is expected this upcoming weekend. The progressive nature of the system should keep rainfall amounts less than 1.5 inches.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 44 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 65 45 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 62 40 56 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 63 41 56 32 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 64 43 58 34 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 68 42 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 65 46 58 41 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Wednesday for GMZ730- 755-765-775.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Wednesday for GMZ750-752-770-772.

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St. Marks
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:51 AM EST     Last Quarter
Tue -- 02:35 AM EST     1.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:37 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:19 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:04 PM EST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:27 PM EST     2.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Marks, St. Marks River, Florida, Tide feet

St. Marks River Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:51 AM EST     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:31 AM EST     1.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:01 AM EST     2.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:19 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:00 PM EST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:51 PM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Marks River Entrance, Florida, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

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