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Marine Weather and Tides Belle Fontaine, AL Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:15AM

Sunset 7:26PM

Thursday April 22, 2021 8:17 AM CDT (13:17 UTC)

Moonrise 2:43PM

Moonset 3:37AM

Illumination 80%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Fontaine, AL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 221231 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 731 AM CDT Thu Apr 22 2021

AVIATION. 12Z issuance . VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. Winds will generally be northeasterly today between 5-10kts, becoming more easterly and light going into Friday. JEH/88

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 458 AM CDT Thu Apr 22 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Friday/ . Dry, clear, and cool weather continues through the most of the near term. Flow aloft begins to transition to northwesterly on through the morning as ridging moves east into the area by late this afternoon. Through Friday flow aloft gradually becomes southwest as a neutrally tilted shortwave trough aloft tracks east and parks itself over central TX by the end of the period. At the surface, high pressure moves east across the southeast through tonight and into early Friday, eventually making its way out over the Atlantic just off the east coast by the end of the period. Northeasterly surface flow through today transitions to more easterly tonight as the high continues tracking east. By Friday, as the high drifts further east, moisture slowly increases over the region as southeasterly surface develops on the back side of the high pressure. Additionally, a low pressure over TX panhandle associated with the shortwave system aloft gradually shifts southeast. A warm frontal boundary extending from this low from the TX panhandle southeast into the Gulf will begin slowly lifting off to the northeast towards the region going into the short term. As a result, clouds begin increasing over the region from the west with a slight chance of some isolated rain showers over the far southwestern portion of the forecast area going by the end of the day on Friday. Otherwise, dry conditions continue through tonight and into early Friday.

As far as temps, highs on Thursday are expected to be in the upper 60s to low 70s across the region. Temps along the coast will feel a bit cooler given winds remain somewhat elevated by the coastal regions. Lows on Thursday night will be a bit warmer with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s across most of the area, but low to mid 50s near and along the coast. With return flow developing on Friday, high temps increase slightly with mid 70s over most of the region except for the far northwestern region of the forecast area and areas right along the immediate coast where low 70s is expected due to increasing cloud cover from the west, and onshore flow keeping temps along the immediate coast slightly modified. JEH/88

SHORT TERM /Friday night Through Saturday night/ . A potent mid/upper level trough moves east out of the southern Plains and into the Lower MS Valley Friday night, and then over our region on Saturday. An associated surface low pressure area over the southern Plains will lift northeastward in the Tennessee/Kentucky region. The best available thermodynamic instability and vertical wind shear supportive of strong mesocyclones would approximately be from about midnight through mid-morning Saturday. Some of the mesoscylones that form overnight Friday could be quite intense and will be capable of all THREE modes of severe weather impacts [i.e., large diameter hail, damaging straight line wind gusts and even tornadoes. A strong [EF2+ tornado (especially inland)]. I also do not want to exclude the coast, as the models may shift further south. The bulk of the severe deep convection moves off to the east during the remainder of the day as a dry slot moves over the region from the west, resulting in a capping inversion that 'should' suppress subsequent second generation severe deep convection. Any flash flooding that occurs will mainly be Friday night through noon Saturday, especially across the northern half of the forecast area where 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected. There will clearly be some lingering thermodynamic instability Saturday afternoon region-wide, however, we feel any additional showers and thunderstorms should be weaker, and relegated to the strongest of boundaries where differential heating occurs (more likely west than east where some clearing occurs, despite drying). Highs Saturday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Isolated to scattered showers and few lingering thunderstorms east of the Alabama River Saturday evening will move quickly off to the east by midnight as a cold front advances southeast through the area, followed by overnight lows in the 50s as winds turn northerly. /22

EXTENDED TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . Ridging aloft builds into the eastern half of the CONUS through early next week. The ridge amplifies as a shortwave pivots into the Pacific Northwest on Sunday. The deepening trough aloft quickly encompasses much of the western half of the CONUS by Tuesday and central portion of the CONUS by Wednesday. Ensemble guidance supports the general timing previously mentioned, although there remain some timing/placement differences in the deterministic guidance (especially by Wednesday).

Down in the lower levels, a surface high builds into the eastern half of the CONUS from the Midwest late in the weekend through early next week. As the high slides east on Monday, surface winds swing from northerly to southeasterly through the day. As the ridge aloft and surface high dominate the pattern during much of the extended, the chances for rain stay zero and temperatures soar into the mid and upper 80s through Tuesday. Meanwhile, a surface low develops near the OK/TX panhandles on Tuesday and lifts northeast through Wednesday as the trough slides into the central portion of the CONUS. This surface low and the associated cold front will bring our next chance for rain by late Wednesday. Showers begin streaming into the area by Wednesday morning and afternoon with the bulk of the showers and storms moving in late Wednesday into Thursday. Some of the guidance is hinting that we will have yet another chance for strong storms with this mid-week system, but it's too early to dive into the specifics at this time given the uncertainty. 07/mb

MARINE . A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf waters, MS Sound, and Northern/Southern Mobile Bay until 10AM this morning. Exercise caution condition exist over remaining area bays. Winds begin to decrease through today with only the far offshore waters likely remaining under Exercise Caution conditions. Northeasterly flow through today becomes light to moderate easterly by tonight. Moderate southeasterly flow is expected on Friday, before shifting southerly and increasing to moderate to strong overnight ahead of another cold front. This said, Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions will likely be needed on Friday into Friday night, with the potential of needing another Small Craft Advisory by late Friday night going into Saturday. Moderate northerly flow is then expected in the wake of the FROPA by early Sunday. JEH/88

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>632- 650-655-670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MBPA1	3 mi	48 min		53°F				38°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL	6 mi	48 min	NE 12 G 16	50°F	66°F		1022.6 hPa
PTOA1	8 mi	48 min		50°F				34°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL	10 mi	108 min	N 19	51°F			1021.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL	10 mi	48 min		52°F	67°F		1023.5 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	17 mi	93 min		47°F			1023 hPa	36°F
WBYA1	18 mi	48 min			64°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL	22 mi	78 min	NE 19 G 22	53°F			1022.5 hPa (+1.5)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL	24 mi	48 min	ENE 17 G 22	52°F			1022.6 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS	29 mi	48 min			64°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS	33 mi	48 min	NE 21 G 25	55°F			1022.8 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	45 mi	28 min	NE 19 G 23	56°F	68°F	4 ft	1023.8 hPa	42°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	48 mi	48 min	N 5.1 G 8.9	51°F	69°F		1023 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL

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9 AM

-12 PM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

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Last 24hr

N10 G15

N11 G15

N10 G16

NW7 G14

N9 G13

N11 G16

N10 G18

N8 G12

N10 G14

N9 G14

N9

N8 G11

NE8

NE6 G10

NE6 G10

NE6 G10

NE8 G11

NE8 G11

NE9

NE10 G14

NE13 G16

NE10 G13

NE10 G13

1 day ago

N4

E2

SE9

SE4

SE4

SE4 G7

SE6

S4

S4 G9

SW5 G10

SW5 G8

SW5 G9

W6

W5 G9

W4 G7

W5 G8

W5

W5 G8

W5 G8

W4

W3

N11 G16

N10 G18

N12 G19

2 days ago

N8 G12

N11 G14

N10 G13

N7 G10

NE7 G14

NE11

E8 G12

NE9 G15

N6

E6 G9

N6

N3

N3

W4

W3

W4 G7

W2

W2

NE2

N2

N4

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NW3

NE6

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL	5 mi	25 min	NNE 10	10.00 mi	Fair	52°F	35°F	53%	1023.8 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL	11 mi	22 min	NE 8	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	49°F	35°F	59%	1023.4 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL	14 mi	43 min	ENE 8	10.00 mi		46°F	32°F	57%	1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)

9 AM

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Last 24hr

NW15

NW13 G18

NW14

N11 G19

N12 G23

NW18 G24

NW11 G22

N12

N14 G21

N10

N10 G17

N7

N12

N10

N9 G15

N8

N10

N9

N7

NE11 G19

NE12

NE11

NE9

NE10

1 day ago

N4

N5

E5

E3

E5

SE7

SE6

S7

S6

SW5

SW6

SW5

W5

W4

W4

W4

W4

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W4

W4

W4

NW11

NW17 G23

N17 G26

2 days ago

N12

N9

N10 G16

N7

N8

NE10

NE8

E7

NE8

NE7

NE5

N5

W4

W4

W3

W3

W3

Calm

Calm

N4

NW3

Calm

NW5

N3

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama (2) (expired 1989-12-31)

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Ground Weather Radar Station

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Gulf Stream Current

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