Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Daphne, AL

FXUS64 KMOB 232325 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 625 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

New Aviation

DISCUSSION
Issued at 412 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Now Through Thursday Night...
A light southwesterly to westerly flow pattern aloft will persist through tonight as an upper- level ridge remains in place over the western Atlantic. Weak shortwave energy will also continue to move within this flow pattern aloft. The ridge finally begins to break down on Thursday as another ridge builds over Mexico/south central US. This will allow for flow aloft to turn more northwesterly by Thursday night. For the rest of today, forcing from the shortwaves aloft, along with strong destabilization, will allow for scattered to numerous pulse-type showers and thunderstorms to continue developing during the afternoon and evening hours. Highest chances are for interior areas west of I-65. Not anticipating any organized severe weather with these storms due to a lack of shear, although one or two stronger storms, capable of producing gusty winds/small hail cannot be ruled out. Heavy rainfall will also be a concern due to the slow motion of these storms, so I can't rule out one or two localized instances of flooding. Expecting convective coverage to decrease during the late evening and overnight hours due to the loss of daytime heating.
For Thursday, am only anticipating isolated to locally scattered showers and storms to develop during the afternoon hours. Coverage will once again diminish by the evening hours. Highs on Thursday will top out in the mid 80s, with even a few upper 80s possible inland. Lows tonight and Thursday night will only drop into the 60s. Patchy to areas of fog, some of which could be dense, may once again develop during the early morning hours prior to sunrise. Best probabilities for dense fog look to be over the western Florida Panhandle and over south central Alabama. We will monitor trends closely over the coming hours to see if a Dense Fog Advisory will become necessary for tonight. A Moderate Risk of rip currents today decreases to a low risk tonight and Thursday. /96

Friday through Wednesday... No major changes expected late this week, through the weekend, and into the early part of next week.
Isolated to scattered PoPs will be possible, mainly over northern portions of the forecast area, during the afternoon hours through the period with Friday and Saturday having the best chances. By Sunday and into the early part of next week, deep layer ridging becomes more entrenched across our area, with much lower rain chances but still some isolated showers and storms possible inland during the afternoon hours. It will be rather warm, with daytime highs Friday in the mid to upper 80s, and then in the upper 80s and lower 90s Saturday through Tuesday (hottest day still appears to be on Sunday, with most of the interior in the likely in the lower 90s). Daytime highs may cool very slightly, mainly in the 80s by midweek. Nighttime lows will range from low and mid 60s over most interior locations to upper 60s and perhaps even a few lower 70s closer to and along the coast through the period.
Rip Current Risk will be in the LOW to MODERATE range late this week and into the middle part of next week. DS/12
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