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Marine Weather and Tides Mobile, AL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:14AM

Sunset 7:41PM

Sunday August 9, 2020 7:13 AM CDT (12:13 UTC)

Moonrise 11:21PM

Moonset 11:32AM

Illumination 70%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mobile, AL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 090946 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 446 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Monday/. The overall weather pattern has not changed much over the past 24 hours as a weak upper level trough continues to extend from the Mid-Atlantic states through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys while upper level ridging continues to nose westward from the western Atlantic through the FL peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. As expected, a few showers and thunderstorms are re- developing over the Gulf waters and along the immediate coast early this morning, so an early morning shower or storm is possible in those areas.

This same persistent pattern will continue today as upper level troughing will continue to extend southward across the Tennessee Valley and adjacent northeastern AL and northern GA, while a deep layer ridge of high pressure continues to stretch westward across the FL peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. A moist low level environment will remain in place over the forecast area today, with precipitable water values mostly averaging between 1.6 and 1.8 inches. For today we expect a similar convective evolution as yesterday, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms initially near the coast this morning, gradually becoming more scattered in coverage over inland portions of the forecast area this afternoon. POPs between 20-30% were mainly kept south of a Mobile, AL to Crestview, FL line through mid morning, before increasing to 30-40% and spreading inland across much of the area (highest along the vicinity of the seabreeze) by this afternoon. Instability will likely become enhanced over central and southern portions of the CWA Sunday afternoon, with MLCAPE values potentially becoming enhanced between 2000-3000 J/KG along the seabreeze. Isolated storm cells may once again become intense enough to produce localized strong wind gusts over 40 mph in addition to frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall Sunday afternoon. A couple of showers/storms may linger over inland areas through 8-9 PM or so before convection dissipates. Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and dry conditions then generally continue tonight, before isolated showers/storms re-develop offshore again during the overnight hours.

Upper level ridging will build slightly eastward from Texas through the Lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent portions of the north central Gulf Coast region on Monday, while upper troughing extends from the Eastern Seaboard through portions of GA and northeast FL. Deeper moisture within northerly to northwesterly flow aloft along the eastern periphery of the ridge may advect southward across much of our forecast area on Monday, with precipitable water values rising to 1.8-2.0 inches. The increased moisture content, plentiful available instability, subtle impulses in the flow aloft and convergence along the seabreeze will be supportive of increased convective coverage Monday afternoon. We will continue to advertise high end scattered POPs (40-50%) around the area Monday afternoon.

High temperatures today and Monday will otherwise continue to range in the lower to mid 90s inland and in the upper 80s to lower 90s along the coast. Maximum heat indices Sunday mostly range between 100-105 degrees, and maybe a couple of degrees higher (102-107 degrees) by Monday. Overnight lows range from the low to mid 70s over most of the interior to the upper 70s (and maybe even a few low 80s on barrier islands) near and along the coast. /21/12

SHORT TERM /Monday night Through Tuesday night/. The mid-upper level ridge over the Desert Southwest and Southern Plains builds east toward the region through the short term while a weak shortwave trough over the Southeast slides into the Atlantic. A shortwave slides across the Plains along the northern periphery of the ridge and dives into the Mid Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. Operational guidance is hinting at less of a weakness between the ridge to our west and another ridge over the Atlantic, as the ridge to our west builds into the region further than in past model runs. Meanwhile, a surface ridge continues to stretch into the northern Gulf waters and the local area through early next week.

Convection could be somewhat suppressed across the northern and western portion of the area on Tuesday afternoon as the ridge builds closer to the local area. Thus, tapered back the POPs produced by the blends across the western and northern portion of the area to account for the aforementioned suppression and slightly drier air. If this drier trend continues in upcoming model runs, POPs may need to be tapered back even further. For now, maintaining likely POPs across the southern portion of the CWA with POPs around 50% or so generally north of the Highway 84 corridor in the afternoon. Across the southeastern portion of the area, moisture remains locked in place with moist forecast soundings showing PWATs of nearly 2.0 inches by Tuesday afternoon. Of note - forecast soundings continue to indicate lingering dry air in the mid levels across southeast Mississippi on Tuesday afternoon. Any stronger storms that develop in this environment would be capable of producing gusty winds and the threat for wet microbursts will need to be monitored.

High temperatures on Tuesday climb into the mid to low 90s inland with upper 80s to near 90° at the beaches. Heat index will rise into the 102-107° range area-wide on Tuesday. Another round of near normal low temperatures expected as temperatures fall into the 70s each night.

LOW risk of rip currents persists through Tuesday night. 07/mb

EXTENDED TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/. The upper level pattern through the extended will consist of a series of troughs progressing over the upper Mississippi and Ohio valleys. Meanwhile, upper level ridges will persist both over the desert southwest and the Atlantic. This then puts the northern Gulf coast in an area of upper level weakness through Saturday. At the surface, high pressure over the Appalachians will maintain its hold over the southeastern CONUS. This overall pattern will lead to generally light winds in addition to daily afternoon sea breeze development. Furthermore, model MLCAPE values range from 1000-1500 J/kg and PWATs between 1.8 inches to 2.2 inches over the local area through Saturday. Thus, daily chances of scattered showers and storms are expected; however, with no strong signal of an upper level feature or surface front, capped PoPs given by the blended solution at likely chances for Wednesday and Thursday. Overall, the shower and storm activity will decrease through the evening each day. Then, showers/storms will increase beginning over the open Gulf waters during the late night/early morning hours before transitioning to mainly be over land in the afternoon.

High temperatures through the period will generally be in the lower 90s over the inland areas and in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees at the beaches; although, a few spots could reach the mid 90s along and east of I-65. These temperatures, combined with dew points in the lower to mid 70s, will result in heat indices in the lower to mid 100s (below heat advisory criteria). Low temperatures will then be in the lower to mid 70s north of I-10 and in the mid to upper 70s south. /26

MARINE. Persistent weather pattern continues over the marine area as well. Little change expected as light winds and small seas continue. The only marine impacts expected will be locally higher winds, waves, and seas near isolated to scattered showers and storms. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL	0 mi	55 min			87°F
PTOA1	3 mi	55 min		80°F				76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL	4 mi	55 min	NNW 1.9 G 2.9		88°F		1020.5 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	6 mi	43 min	Calm	79°F			1020.3 hPa
MBPA1	13 mi	55 min		79°F				77°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL	19 mi	43 min	SW 12	81°F			1020.3 hPa
WBYA1	23 mi	55 min			87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	23 mi	88 min		76°F			1020 hPa	76°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL	28 mi	73 min	W 8	79°F			1020 hPa (+0.3)
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL	29 mi	103 min	SSW 4.1	84°F			1020 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS	32 mi	88 min	Calm	76°F			1022 hPa	74°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL	32 mi	133 min	NW 8 G 8.9	82°F			1019.7 hPa (+0.0)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL	33 mi	73 min	NNW 2.9				1020.7 hPa (+0.3)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL	33 mi	61 min	WNW 7 G 9.9	81°F			1020.2 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS	36 mi	61 min			87°F
PPTA1	39 mi	43 min		81°F			1020.7 hPa
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS	42 mi	55 min	NE 2.9 G 2.9	82°F			1020.3 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	49 mi	55 min	NW 4.1 G 8	78°F	89°F		1020.7 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL	5 mi	20 min	WNW 4	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	80°F	75°F	87%	1021.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL	11 mi	17 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	76°F	75°F	97%	1020.7 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL	19 mi	38 min	N 0	0.75 mi	Heavy Rain	73°F	73°F	100%	1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama

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Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL

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Gulf Stream Current

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