Sunday, August9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mobile, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:41PM Sunday August 9, 2020 7:13 AM CDT (12:13 UTC) Moonrise 11:21PMMoonset 11:32AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 342 Am Cdt Sun Aug 9 2020
Today..Winds light becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 342 Am Cdt Sun Aug 9 2020
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate west to southwest flow will prevail through Thursday, except for a slight northwest flow near the coast late nights and early mornings, and then becoming more southerly near the coast during the afternoon hours as the seabreeze develops. Little change in seas is expected. Winds and seas will be locally higher near showers and Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mobile, AL
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location: 30.71, -88.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 090946 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 446 AM CDT Sun Aug 9 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Monday/. The overall weather pattern has not changed much over the past 24 hours as a weak upper level trough continues to extend from the Mid-Atlantic states through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys while upper level ridging continues to nose westward from the western Atlantic through the FL peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. As expected, a few showers and thunderstorms are re- developing over the Gulf waters and along the immediate coast early this morning, so an early morning shower or storm is possible in those areas.

This same persistent pattern will continue today as upper level troughing will continue to extend southward across the Tennessee Valley and adjacent northeastern AL and northern GA, while a deep layer ridge of high pressure continues to stretch westward across the FL peninsula and Gulf of Mexico. A moist low level environment will remain in place over the forecast area today, with precipitable water values mostly averaging between 1.6 and 1.8 inches. For today we expect a similar convective evolution as yesterday, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms initially near the coast this morning, gradually becoming more scattered in coverage over inland portions of the forecast area this afternoon. POPs between 20-30% were mainly kept south of a Mobile, AL to Crestview, FL line through mid morning, before increasing to 30-40% and spreading inland across much of the area (highest along the vicinity of the seabreeze) by this afternoon. Instability will likely become enhanced over central and southern portions of the CWA Sunday afternoon, with MLCAPE values potentially becoming enhanced between 2000-3000 J/KG along the seabreeze. Isolated storm cells may once again become intense enough to produce localized strong wind gusts over 40 mph in addition to frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall Sunday afternoon. A couple of showers/storms may linger over inland areas through 8-9 PM or so before convection dissipates. Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and dry conditions then generally continue tonight, before isolated showers/storms re-develop offshore again during the overnight hours.

Upper level ridging will build slightly eastward from Texas through the Lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent portions of the north central Gulf Coast region on Monday, while upper troughing extends from the Eastern Seaboard through portions of GA and northeast FL. Deeper moisture within northerly to northwesterly flow aloft along the eastern periphery of the ridge may advect southward across much of our forecast area on Monday, with precipitable water values rising to 1.8-2.0 inches. The increased moisture content, plentiful available instability, subtle impulses in the flow aloft and convergence along the seabreeze will be supportive of increased convective coverage Monday afternoon. We will continue to advertise high end scattered POPs (40-50%) around the area Monday afternoon.

High temperatures today and Monday will otherwise continue to range in the lower to mid 90s inland and in the upper 80s to lower 90s along the coast. Maximum heat indices Sunday mostly range between 100-105 degrees, and maybe a couple of degrees higher (102-107 degrees) by Monday. Overnight lows range from the low to mid 70s over most of the interior to the upper 70s (and maybe even a few low 80s on barrier islands) near and along the coast. /21/12

SHORT TERM /Monday night Through Tuesday night/. The mid-upper level ridge over the Desert Southwest and Southern Plains builds east toward the region through the short term while a weak shortwave trough over the Southeast slides into the Atlantic. A shortwave slides across the Plains along the northern periphery of the ridge and dives into the Mid Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. Operational guidance is hinting at less of a weakness between the ridge to our west and another ridge over the Atlantic, as the ridge to our west builds into the region further than in past model runs. Meanwhile, a surface ridge continues to stretch into the northern Gulf waters and the local area through early next week.

Convection could be somewhat suppressed across the northern and western portion of the area on Tuesday afternoon as the ridge builds closer to the local area. Thus, tapered back the POPs produced by the blends across the western and northern portion of the area to account for the aforementioned suppression and slightly drier air. If this drier trend continues in upcoming model runs, POPs may need to be tapered back even further. For now, maintaining likely POPs across the southern portion of the CWA with POPs around 50% or so generally north of the Highway 84 corridor in the afternoon. Across the southeastern portion of the area, moisture remains locked in place with moist forecast soundings showing PWATs of nearly 2.0 inches by Tuesday afternoon. Of note - forecast soundings continue to indicate lingering dry air in the mid levels across southeast Mississippi on Tuesday afternoon. Any stronger storms that develop in this environment would be capable of producing gusty winds and the threat for wet microbursts will need to be monitored.

High temperatures on Tuesday climb into the mid to low 90s inland with upper 80s to near 90° at the beaches. Heat index will rise into the 102-107° range area-wide on Tuesday. Another round of near normal low temperatures expected as temperatures fall into the 70s each night.

LOW risk of rip currents persists through Tuesday night. 07/mb

EXTENDED TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/. The upper level pattern through the extended will consist of a series of troughs progressing over the upper Mississippi and Ohio valleys. Meanwhile, upper level ridges will persist both over the desert southwest and the Atlantic. This then puts the northern Gulf coast in an area of upper level weakness through Saturday. At the surface, high pressure over the Appalachians will maintain its hold over the southeastern CONUS. This overall pattern will lead to generally light winds in addition to daily afternoon sea breeze development. Furthermore, model MLCAPE values range from 1000-1500 J/kg and PWATs between 1.8 inches to 2.2 inches over the local area through Saturday. Thus, daily chances of scattered showers and storms are expected; however, with no strong signal of an upper level feature or surface front, capped PoPs given by the blended solution at likely chances for Wednesday and Thursday. Overall, the shower and storm activity will decrease through the evening each day. Then, showers/storms will increase beginning over the open Gulf waters during the late night/early morning hours before transitioning to mainly be over land in the afternoon.

High temperatures through the period will generally be in the lower 90s over the inland areas and in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees at the beaches; although, a few spots could reach the mid 90s along and east of I-65. These temperatures, combined with dew points in the lower to mid 70s, will result in heat indices in the lower to mid 100s (below heat advisory criteria). Low temperatures will then be in the lower to mid 70s north of I-10 and in the mid to upper 70s south. /26

MARINE. Persistent weather pattern continues over the marine area as well. Little change expected as light winds and small seas continue. The only marine impacts expected will be locally higher winds, waves, and seas near isolated to scattered showers and storms. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 0 mi55 min 87°F
PTOA1 3 mi55 min 80°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 4 mi55 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 88°F1020.5 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 6 mi43 min Calm 79°F 1020.3 hPa
MBPA1 13 mi55 min 79°F 77°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 19 mi43 min SW 12 81°F 1020.3 hPa
WBYA1 23 mi55 min 87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 23 mi88 min 76°F 1020 hPa76°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 28 mi73 min W 8 79°F 1020 hPa (+0.3)
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 29 mi103 min SSW 4.1 84°F 1020 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 32 mi88 min Calm 76°F 1022 hPa74°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 32 mi133 min NW 8 G 8.9 82°F 1019.7 hPa (+0.0)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 33 mi73 min NNW 2.9 1020.7 hPa (+0.3)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 33 mi61 min WNW 7 G 9.9 81°F 1020.2 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 36 mi61 min 87°F
PPTA1 39 mi43 min 81°F 1020.7 hPa
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi55 min NE 2.9 G 2.9 82°F 1020.3 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 49 mi55 min NW 4.1 G 8 78°F 89°F1020.7 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi20 minWNW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F75°F87%1021.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi17 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F75°F97%1020.7 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL19 mi38 minN 00.75 miHeavy Rain73°F73°F100%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3NW4E5SE6SE5SE8SE7W7W7Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmW3W4
1 day agoCalmNE55NE34SE8SE7SE75S8S63W3SW3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmW3CalmCalmNW3Calm
2 days agoN3NE4E3CalmSE6SE6SE6SE8S8S5SE7S3S3CalmW3CalmCalmNW3W3NW3NW3NW3NW4NW3

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:09 AM CDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:05 PM CDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:13 PM CDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:19 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:41 PM CDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.90.911110.90.80.80.80.80.80.90.911110.90.90.9

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:14 AM CDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:37 AM CDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:10 PM CDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:29 PM CDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:19 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.80.90.80.80.80.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.80.80.80.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.