Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ponce de Leon, FL

UPDATE
Issued at 717 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

The previous forecast appears to be on track, and no major changes were made.

SHORT TERM
(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 247 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

A few isolated showers and storms are possible this afternoon across the far southeastern Big Bend as an area of low pressure departs the Georgia coast into the Atlantic. Another dry cold front will move through the area late tonight into early Thursday morning, but this will only act to scour out the clouds and bring in drier air. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 60s across the area with highs tomorrow in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 247 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

Ridging builds in across the eastern US, which will keep our area shielded from any storm systems. High pressure will dominate the weather pattern, and temperatures will be heating up. Friday will still feature highs in the low to mid 80s, but this weekend and beyond, highs will be near 90 each day. The lingering dry air will make for pleasant nights with lows in the 50s to low 60s for Thursday and Friday nights. However, moisture does begin to increase over the weekend into next week. This will lead to the eventual return of pop-up showers and storms during the afternoons, starting Sunday. Lows will also return to the mid to upper 60s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 717 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the period.

MARINE
Issued at 247 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

Gentle to moderate north to northwest breezes are expected through Thursday in the wake of a dry cold front. Winds will slacken and shift out of the east and south heading into the weekend as high pressure moves across the Southeast. Tranquil boating conditions overall are expected through the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 247 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

High dispersions are expected Thursday in the wake of a dry cold front. North to northwest transport winds will increase to 10-15 mph on Thursday with mixing heights around 5,000-7,000 feet. Winds slacken on Friday as high pressure moves overhead, leading to fair dispersions across the area. Transport winds increase again out of the south on Saturday up to 10-15 mph, leading to high dispersions also Saturday. RH values will drop to the upper 20s to low 30s Thursday and Friday, increasing to the upper 30s to low 40s Saturday. No rain is expected beyond today.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 247 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

Heavy rainfall from the past couple days have pushed Bruce Creek into action stage. The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville is currently forecast to reach action stage late tonight and crest Thursday afternoon. No additional rain is in the forecast, thus the main hydrologic concern remains the ongoing drought. For more information on local drought impacts, visit www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 62 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 66 84 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 59 79 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 60 79 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 60 82 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 63 87 56 87 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 67 83 62 79 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.