Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Spanish Fort, AL

FXUS64 KMOB 131914 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 214 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025

New Discussion, Marine, Hydrology

DISCUSSION
Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025

Now Through Wednesday...

Upper low fills and opens up as it lifts northeast across the OH River Valley tonight. Trough axis moves across the southeast Wednesday with a short-wave ridge at high levels moving in over the Lower MS River Valley. There may be a small chance (10-20%) PoP of showers Wednesday from late AM into the afternoon along the US Highway 84 corridor as a mid-level spoke of energy caught up into the high level northwest flow moves across. Precipitation amounts if any, light. At the surface, high pressure is positioned to the east into the middle of the week. This favors a prevailing southwest flow which may be breezy Wednesday, gusts ranging 15 to 25 mph or so.
Overnight lows well above normal. Highs in the lower 80's Wednesday across the coast will be close to normal, but lifting into the upper 80's over the interior will be 3 to 6 degrees above normal.

Rip current risk holds at moderate tonight and Wednesday, but there are indications the risk increases to border-line HIGH by Wednesday night. Will let later shifts assess if these trends hold-up as new data becomes available. A Rip Current Statement may become required.
Stay tuned. /10

Thursday Through Monday...

The heat is on! Ridging aloft remains the predominant feature that will impact our weather through this timeframe, which will lead to some toasty temperatures through early next week. Rain chances will be non-existent on Thursday and Friday as the upper level ridge builds overhead with the western Atlantic surface high keeping a firm grip on the eastern half of the Gulf. A trough swinging across the Midwest causes the ridge aloft to flatten out somewhat over the weekend, which may allow a few subtle shortwaves to ride across the Deep South and Southeast. There will be just enough moisture to allow some showers and storms to develop in the afternoon hours, but these should only graze our interior counties in southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama as the closeness of the ridge should keep the southern part of the area and our beaches dry. The ridge builds back into the entire region early next week, allowing us to dry out and warm up again. Buckle up for the return of the heat with high temperatures topping out in the mid to low 90s each afternoon for most locations (mid to upper 80s at the beaches/coast).

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains HIGH on Thursday but should quickly return to a MODERATE risk Thursday night through Friday night. Our rip current MOS probabilities indicate that the risk should fall to LOW on Saturday and Sunday (and potentially Monday) for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. 07/mb
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