Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Country Club Estates, GA
November 30, 2023 12:58 PM EST (17:58 UTC)
Sunrise 7:04AM Sunset 5:24PM Moonrise 8:17PM Moonset 10:18AM
AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 853 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Rest of today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Monday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Rest of today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Monday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 853 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis..
high pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over area Tuesday.
Gulf stream..
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 25, 2023 at 1200 utc...
47 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 47 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 56 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 75 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Synopsis..
high pressure will be northeast of the region through Friday night, with weak troughing over the coastal waters. The high will move further away to the northeast Saturday, allowing a cold front to approach from the northwest. This front will move over the area and stall Saturday night through Sunday. The front will push to the southeast of the region Monday, with high pressure building over area Tuesday.
Gulf stream..
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 25, 2023 at 1200 utc...
47 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 47 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 56 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 75 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 301753 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 1253 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 835 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure centered to the north northeast this morning, will move more toward the northeast Today. This pattern will produce a flow more from the east. This will provide for moderating temperatures. With coastal water temperatures around 60 to the lower 60s, beach communities will be cooler than further inland this afternoon.
An inverted trough in the onshore flow pattern will keep stratus clouds around this afternoon, especially at the coast. Higher clouds will advect across area from the west due to an upper wave.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
Mean center of a low/mid level high presSURE will be centered across the FL straits then begins to shift off to the east, while a long wave trough slowly pushes eastward. Flow in the mid levels remains mostly southwesterly, and a few shortwave troughs aloft push through this period, with the primary shortwave trough progged to move in Friday night. The cool airmass over the area will be replaced as a warm front, likely to push through the area on Friday, though the models are not showing a well-defined front or a sharp delineation. Further west, a cold front will be slowly pushing eastward, starting off from a complex low pressure system over AR to southeast TX. By late Sat night, the cold front will move to eastern TN/west NC to southeast LA. Now with the shortwave troughs, a couple of pre-frontal troughs are anticipated over the southeast states, and potentially for our area. Moisture will be on the increase with PWATs of 1 to 1.5 inches on Friday and rising to from near 1.5 inches and close to 2 inches by late Sat night.
With the juicy airmass and lift from the shortwave troughs, cloudiness and POPs will increase from west to east, mainly over inland southeast GA Friday afternoon near 15-30 percent and then 20-60 percent Friday night, highest over the far northwest zones.
Sat and Sat night, higher rain chances anticipated, and up to 60-80 percent over southeast GA. Best potential for isolated to scattered thunderstorms looks to be Saturday and Saturday night as soundings show better thermodynamic profiles by this time, though still low chances owing to fairly weak lapse rates. A strong storm or two is possible Sat afternoon into Sat night, mainly west and northwest zones, where there is an overlap of decent instability and bulk high shear.
With warm front lifting up over the area early this period, temps will be higher than normal with highs in the 70s to near 80 Friday and Saturday, warmest over northeast FL. Lows mostly in the 60s both nights. In fact, we will be near record warm minimum temperatures Saturday night given the light south wind and cloudiness and precip.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement showing the cold front from NC to the western FL panhandle and into the GOMEX early Sunday morning. One or two waves of low pressure possible along the front. The GFS and ECMWF are then noted to diverge late Sunday with the GFS slowing the front, while the ECMWF takes the front through the area Sunday aftn and just southeast of the forecast area by 06z Monday. This may be due to the upper level support staying further west and stronger in the GFS solution. Our forecast leans a bit toward the faster solution of the ECMWF. Due to the model discrepancy, the timing of precip is a bit uncertain on Sunday but looks like high rain chances overall for the day, but could end earlier over inland southeast GA than advertised.
Rain chances should diminish by Sunday night as the deepest moisture lifts faster out to the northeast and sfc cold front moves into the region. A couple of showers possible Monday morning but most precip should have exited the region and high pressure and generally drier conditions expected. A blanket of some high clouds still expected over the region on Monday. Sfc high pressure builds in at the sfc from the west on Tuesday. However, by Wednesday, the high pressure system then shifts back to the west as dry trough/ frontal boundary may push down from the north as an upper level trough swings southeast across the eastern CONUS. After the main cold frontal passage, Monday to Wednesday temps will be near or below normal.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the 18Z TAF period as high pressure slowly retreats north and east of the area with light east to northeasterly winds generally 5-8 knots. Light winds at the coast around 5 knots will veer southeasterly late overnight after 06Z through sunrise with very light and variable to near calm winds inland under increasing high clouds. Not expecting fog as the air should remain too dry above the surface overnight. Friday, southeast winds on will again be light between 5 and 10 knots with increasing mid level clouds after 15Z into the afternoon hours as a weak coastal trough forms into a warm front lift over the area and lifts northward ahead of a low pressure system to the west, with any light showers holding off until after the period.
MARINE
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
A ridge of high pressure over the coastal waters will weaken today as high pressure will continue to move northeast of the area.
A cold front will stall over Central Georgia on Friday Night into Saturday, with chances for showers and perhaps a thunderstorm, especially over the Georgia waters. Sea height of 2-4 feet over the weekend as the front slowly moves across the area Sunday and into Monday morning, which will continue shower chances through at least Sunday Night. High pressure will build back into waters Monday.
Rip Currents: A lower-end moderate risk at the northeast FL beaches this afternoon as a southeasterly ocean swell arrives, low end by Friday along northeast Florida beaches. Low risk on Thursday and Friday for southeast Georgia beaches.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 48 76 62 74 / 0 30 50 80 SSI 57 74 62 73 / 10 10 30 60 JAX 54 78 62 78 / 10 10 30 40 SGJ 60 78 64 79 / 0 10 20 20 GNV 55 80 63 81 / 10 10 20 40 OCF 57 80 64 82 / 10 10 10 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 1253 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 835 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure centered to the north northeast this morning, will move more toward the northeast Today. This pattern will produce a flow more from the east. This will provide for moderating temperatures. With coastal water temperatures around 60 to the lower 60s, beach communities will be cooler than further inland this afternoon.
An inverted trough in the onshore flow pattern will keep stratus clouds around this afternoon, especially at the coast. Higher clouds will advect across area from the west due to an upper wave.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
Mean center of a low/mid level high presSURE will be centered across the FL straits then begins to shift off to the east, while a long wave trough slowly pushes eastward. Flow in the mid levels remains mostly southwesterly, and a few shortwave troughs aloft push through this period, with the primary shortwave trough progged to move in Friday night. The cool airmass over the area will be replaced as a warm front, likely to push through the area on Friday, though the models are not showing a well-defined front or a sharp delineation. Further west, a cold front will be slowly pushing eastward, starting off from a complex low pressure system over AR to southeast TX. By late Sat night, the cold front will move to eastern TN/west NC to southeast LA. Now with the shortwave troughs, a couple of pre-frontal troughs are anticipated over the southeast states, and potentially for our area. Moisture will be on the increase with PWATs of 1 to 1.5 inches on Friday and rising to from near 1.5 inches and close to 2 inches by late Sat night.
With the juicy airmass and lift from the shortwave troughs, cloudiness and POPs will increase from west to east, mainly over inland southeast GA Friday afternoon near 15-30 percent and then 20-60 percent Friday night, highest over the far northwest zones.
Sat and Sat night, higher rain chances anticipated, and up to 60-80 percent over southeast GA. Best potential for isolated to scattered thunderstorms looks to be Saturday and Saturday night as soundings show better thermodynamic profiles by this time, though still low chances owing to fairly weak lapse rates. A strong storm or two is possible Sat afternoon into Sat night, mainly west and northwest zones, where there is an overlap of decent instability and bulk high shear.
With warm front lifting up over the area early this period, temps will be higher than normal with highs in the 70s to near 80 Friday and Saturday, warmest over northeast FL. Lows mostly in the 60s both nights. In fact, we will be near record warm minimum temperatures Saturday night given the light south wind and cloudiness and precip.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement showing the cold front from NC to the western FL panhandle and into the GOMEX early Sunday morning. One or two waves of low pressure possible along the front. The GFS and ECMWF are then noted to diverge late Sunday with the GFS slowing the front, while the ECMWF takes the front through the area Sunday aftn and just southeast of the forecast area by 06z Monday. This may be due to the upper level support staying further west and stronger in the GFS solution. Our forecast leans a bit toward the faster solution of the ECMWF. Due to the model discrepancy, the timing of precip is a bit uncertain on Sunday but looks like high rain chances overall for the day, but could end earlier over inland southeast GA than advertised.
Rain chances should diminish by Sunday night as the deepest moisture lifts faster out to the northeast and sfc cold front moves into the region. A couple of showers possible Monday morning but most precip should have exited the region and high pressure and generally drier conditions expected. A blanket of some high clouds still expected over the region on Monday. Sfc high pressure builds in at the sfc from the west on Tuesday. However, by Wednesday, the high pressure system then shifts back to the west as dry trough/ frontal boundary may push down from the north as an upper level trough swings southeast across the eastern CONUS. After the main cold frontal passage, Monday to Wednesday temps will be near or below normal.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the 18Z TAF period as high pressure slowly retreats north and east of the area with light east to northeasterly winds generally 5-8 knots. Light winds at the coast around 5 knots will veer southeasterly late overnight after 06Z through sunrise with very light and variable to near calm winds inland under increasing high clouds. Not expecting fog as the air should remain too dry above the surface overnight. Friday, southeast winds on will again be light between 5 and 10 knots with increasing mid level clouds after 15Z into the afternoon hours as a weak coastal trough forms into a warm front lift over the area and lifts northward ahead of a low pressure system to the west, with any light showers holding off until after the period.
MARINE
Issued at 325 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
A ridge of high pressure over the coastal waters will weaken today as high pressure will continue to move northeast of the area.
A cold front will stall over Central Georgia on Friday Night into Saturday, with chances for showers and perhaps a thunderstorm, especially over the Georgia waters. Sea height of 2-4 feet over the weekend as the front slowly moves across the area Sunday and into Monday morning, which will continue shower chances through at least Sunday Night. High pressure will build back into waters Monday.
Rip Currents: A lower-end moderate risk at the northeast FL beaches this afternoon as a southeasterly ocean swell arrives, low end by Friday along northeast Florida beaches. Low risk on Thursday and Friday for southeast Georgia beaches.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 48 76 62 74 / 0 30 50 80 SSI 57 74 62 73 / 10 10 30 60 JAX 54 78 62 78 / 10 10 30 40 SGJ 60 78 64 79 / 0 10 20 20 GNV 55 80 63 81 / 10 10 20 40 OCF 57 80 64 82 / 10 10 10 20
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA | 14 mi | 58 min | NE 8 | 60°F | 30.24 | 45°F | ||
| 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA | 31 mi | 38 min | NE 7.8G | 62°F | 65°F | 2 ft | 30.22 | 51°F |
| KBMG1 | 32 mi | 58 min | 63°F | 30.22 | ||||
| 41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 36 mi | 58 min | 64°F | 64°F | 2 ft | |||
| FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 39 mi | 58 min | NNE 5.1G | 66°F | 62°F | 30.22 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBQK BRUNSWICK GOLDEN ISLES,GA | 4 sm | 23 min | NE 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 45°F | 52% | 30.22 | |
| KSSI ST SIMONS ISLAND,GA | 6 sm | 23 min | NE 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 64°F | 50°F | 60% | 30.20 |
Wind History from BQK
(wind in knots)Frederica River
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:35 AM EST 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:34 AM EST 8.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:15 PM EST 0.69 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:17 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:01 PM EST 6.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:35 AM EST 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:34 AM EST 8.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:15 PM EST 0.69 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:17 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:01 PM EST 6.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Frederica River, Georgia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5.9 |
| 1 am |
| 4.6 |
| 2 am |
| 3 |
| 3 am |
| 1.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 3.2 |
| 8 am |
| 5.3 |
| 9 am |
| 7.1 |
| 10 am |
| 8 |
| 11 am |
| 8.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 7.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 6.6 |
Jones Creek entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:52 AM EST 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:49 AM EST 8.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST 0.69 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:16 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 PM EST 6.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:52 AM EST 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:49 AM EST 8.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST 0.69 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 08:16 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 PM EST 6.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Jones Creek entrance, Hampton River, Georgia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5.9 |
| 1 am |
| 4.3 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 2.1 |
| 7 am |
| 3.8 |
| 8 am |
| 5.6 |
| 9 am |
| 7.1 |
| 10 am |
| 7.9 |
| 11 am |
| 8.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 7.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 6 |
| 2 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 6.6 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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