Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bassfield, MS

DISCUSSION

Issued at 111 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

Through mid next week...

Southeast ridge will be the predominant feature that will influence our weather over the next week with continued southerly flow supporting above normal temperatures and moist conditions. This will precondition the thermal environment ahead of a trailing cold front progged to push through Saturday. Activity initiates along this boundary in the vicinity of central Arkansas and grows upscale as it pushes south into the moist unstable air over our area. Given the weak forcing, this is more similar to a warm season set up, rather than what is typical of early spring. So, the line should be primarily forced by the cold pool. Considering convective mode, and the cold air aloft supporting steep midlevel lapse rates, would expect a primarily wind/hail threat. However, if a shear vector lines up just right, as can sometimes happen in our area, wouldn't rule out a tornado either. For now, a marginal risk is being highlighted areawide to capture this event, however a categorical upgrade can't be ruled out in the coming days depending on confidence.

Not much airmass change is expected in the wake of the front as a cut off upper low over Baja reinforces ridging over our area once again early next week. Southerly flow, and therefore moisture, is maintained. The aforementioned upper low becomes the focus of our next weather maker around middle of next week. There are some inconsistencies still in time of arrival of this feature, but there is better agreement among the guidance regarding the evolution of the overall pattern than several days ago. This could potentially carry a risk of severe weather, however details are too uncertain at this time. We will continue to monitor closely.
/SAS/

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

VFR conditions prevail across the region late this afternoon.
Another round of MVFR low stratus ceilings is expected again overnight into Friday morning, with some areas potentially dipping to IFR. Patchy fog is also possible, primarily across south and east MS. VFR conditions are expected to return by midday in most areas. Southerly to southeasterly wind will be gusty at times mainly during the afternoon on Friday. /DL/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 64 83 66 83 / 0 30 10 80 Meridian 62 81 64 83 / 0 60 0 70 Vicksburg 63 86 66 82 / 0 20 20 90 Hattiesburg 65 83 67 84 / 0 70 10 60 Natchez 65 86 68 84 / 0 20 10 90 Greenville 63 83 66 75 / 0 20 30 100 Greenwood 64 85 66 79 / 0 30 20 90

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.