Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cuthbert, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 5:34PM Friday December 6, 2019 8:08 PM EST (01:08 UTC) Moonrise 2:30PMMoonset 2:02AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cuthbert, GA
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location: 31.77, -84.79     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 070053 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 753 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

UPDATE.

Trimmed back PoPs in our AL counties as that rainfall has moved south into the FL panhandle. Short term models still indicate some light rainfall across the aforementioned areas so did not pull PoPs completely. Other grids looked reasonable so no other major changes needed. Updates sent.

PREV DISCUSSION [229 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Fast moving shortwave currently moving into central Alabama is expected to weaken through the evening hours as it pushes off the southeastern U.S. coast. Associated area of showers and thunderstorms is expected to weaken as well, as forcing diminishes and it moves into a much drier and more stable airmass. Best rain chances will be through early evening across southeast Alabama into the Florida Panhandle. Rain chances will diminish rapidly to the east with time. Expect low temperatures to range from the mid 50s along the panhandle coast to the mid 40s in the Suwannee Valley.

SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday Night].

A weak area of low pressure develops in the wake of the shortwave trough and lingers in the northern Gulf this weekend, producing widespread cloudiness and some showers. Given the location of this system combined with greater instability over our waters, some isolated marine thunderstorms are possible. Highest PoPs are in our offshore and coastal zones (generally 40-60%). Temperatures will continue to trend upward with highs in the mid-to-upper 60s and lows in the 50s.

LONG TERM [Monday Through Friday].

Moisture around the northeastern Gulf diminishes, along with rain chances through early Tues. Thereafter, a strong cold front arrives, bringing widespread showers through early Wed. High temperatures will be in the mid-to-upper 70s Mon-Tues (lows in the upper 50s). Once the front passes rain chances decrease some, and temperatures drop sharply with highs in the upper 50s/low 60s. The coldest nights will be Thurs and Fri with lows in the upper 30s. PoPs remain in the forecast (around 20%) through the end of the period as models are hinting at the development of a Gulf low late next Fri/early Sat from a shortwave trough emerging into the TX coast from the northwest. The exact track and strength of the system is uncertain at this time.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Sunday]

RA will affect ECP through about 0130Z then that area of rain will move into the Gulf. Low chances of rain may redevelop across SE AL and SW GA and have left out of the TAFs at this time. Overnight, DHN could fall to low MVFR while the other sites will remain predominately VFR with mid cloud decks 040-070.

MARINE.

Fair marine conditions are expected to increase to cautionary levels by Sat night and may briefly reach advisory levels on Sun thanks to a low-pressure system over the northern Gulf. Winds then relax some and veer to southwesterly ahead of a strong cold front. By Tues night, winds increase to cautionary levels again and veer the north and northeast. Small-craft advisories are likely to be issued for Wed.

FIRE WEATHER.

Red flag conditions are not expected at least for the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

The heaviest rain in the forecast will be offshore. Spotty showers are expected over land this period with a little more coverage as a cold front passes through. However, QPF estimates are generally less than 0.10". Therefore, flooding is not a concern.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 49 65 57 71 56 / 20 30 10 10 20 Panama City 56 67 56 70 63 / 40 20 10 30 30 Dothan 50 65 55 66 57 / 30 10 0 10 20 Albany 50 66 55 65 59 / 30 10 0 10 20 Valdosta 46 67 52 69 56 / 10 20 10 10 10 Cross City 47 69 56 74 58 / 10 30 10 10 10 Apalachicola 57 67 57 69 62 / 30 40 20 30 30

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . Scholl NEAR TERM . Camp SHORT TERM . IG LONG TERM . IG AVIATION . Camp/Prieto MARINE . IG FIRE WEATHER . Barry HYDROLOGY . IG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KEUF

Wind History from EUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S7S10S10S8
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1 day agoSW3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE4S5Calm4Calm
2 days ago------------------------------------------W7W4SW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Fort Rucker, AL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.