Monday, March1, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Trinidad, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:24PM Monday March 1, 2021 7:12 PM CST (01:12 UTC) Moonrise 9:12PMMoonset 8:34AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Trinidad, TX
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location: 32.2, -96.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 020021 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 621 PM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Tuesday Night/

Evening radar and satellite imagery already depicts increasing ascent impinging on the region associated with the approaching slow-moving upper low. This feature will drift across North Texas over the next ~18 hours, resulting in rain showers over a decent chunk of the forecast area. Cloud cover and precipitation will increase over the next few hours as isentropic ascent occurs over the cool post-frontal airmass in place. Due to little/no instability, instances of thunder should be rare or absent from activity this evening and overnight. For those that see rainfall, amounts should be light, generally no more than a couple tenths of an inch at most. The broad rain shield will taper from west to east overnight, exiting our CWA around or shortly after daybreak tomorrow morning.

Following the departure of precipitation, a few lingering clouds from wrap-around low-level moisture may persist through the morning, but skies should become mostly clear by the afternoon. Afternoon highs should be just a touch warmer than today, mainly in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Winds will slowly return to the east and southeast Tuesday evening, but dewpoints will mainly remain in the 30s. Thanks to clear skies and rather light winds, temperatures should also fall into the 30s accordingly.

-Stalley

LONG TERM. /Issued 311 PM CST Mon Mar 1 2021/ /Wednesday through Next Weekend/

The mid week will be a period of transition as a high pressure center shifts east and a leeside trough develops to our west. A closed low off the SoCal coast will finally kick east Wednesday as an open wave trough with ridging prevailing over the Southern Plains. This will leave North and Central Texas mild and rain free Wednesday and Thursday.

As the upper trough emerges out of the Rockies late Thursday into Friday, it should promote cyclogenesis over the Central Plains with a well organized thermal structure (i.e. clearly defined fronts). This will set the stage for a mild Friday morning with stratus developing in the early morning hours. The surface low is then progged to move southeast directly overtop of our forecast area during the day Friday, with a cold front emerging out of the south side of the low, warm front to the east, and occluded front to the northeast. There are decent rain chances associated with this system, however, most of the rain will fall to the northeast of the surface low with with little to no precip falling to the southwest of the low. The low and its attendant fronts should move out of our forecast area relatively quickly with all rain coming to an end in the early evening Friday. We have introduced mention of isolated thunderstorms with this forecast update due to cold advection in the mid/upper levels steepening the lapse rates aloft. Severe weather is not expected as deep-layer instability (EQ levels AOB 25 kft) is lacking.

The weather this weekend should be quiet and slightly cooler with highs in the 60s and partly cloudy skies. South flow will return to the area Sunday and put the area under a warm/moist advective regime late in the weekend and early next week. The ECMWF and NAEFS ensemble guidance has been consistent with developing a longwave trough over the Western CONUS next week. Keep any eye on the extended guidance, as our next weather system will likely come mid to late next week as this trough eventually moves east.

Bonnette

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00z TAFs/

VFR currently prevails at DFW Metroplex airports, while an MVFR stratus deck lingers near the 850mb front through Central Texas. This should result in persistent MVFR cigs at Waco this evening, although some brief periods of VFR with cigs closer to 3500 ft are possible. A deep upper low will move across North Texas this evening and tonight, which should result in the development of widespread mid-level clouds and precipitation. Rain will be light with this activity as it slowly traverses the area from west to east, tapering off in the neighborhood of 09z. Instability will be insufficient for any TS near the TAF sites.

Afterwards, skies should steadily clear through Tuesday morning, although some wrap-around moisture could contribute to FEW/SCT low clouds through midday. Won't include any cigs at this time, but will have to keep an eye on the 12-18z portion of the TAF for this potential. Mostly clear skies and a lighter NNE wind should prevail through the afternoon and evening.

-Stalley

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 41 59 37 68 43 / 40 5 0 0 0 Waco 42 59 35 66 42 / 40 5 0 0 0 Paris 41 54 33 62 37 / 50 20 0 0 0 Denton 37 59 33 68 40 / 30 5 0 0 0 McKinney 39 57 34 66 40 / 40 10 0 0 0 Dallas 43 60 38 68 45 / 40 5 0 0 0 Terrell 41 57 33 64 39 / 50 20 0 0 0 Corsicana 43 58 36 65 42 / 50 20 0 0 0 Temple 41 60 35 67 40 / 30 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 36 61 34 71 42 / 20 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Corsicana, Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport, TX19 mi19 minNNE 810.00 miOvercast50°F43°F77%1026.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRS

Wind History from CRS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N10N11
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1 day agoS12S12S11S14S12S11S12S12S10S11S7S8S5SE6S12S13
G21
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2 days agoCalmNW4CalmNE4E4SE5SE5SE5E4E5E5E7E6SE8SE7SE7SE8S9S12S16S17SE14S12S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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