Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Trinidad, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 5:56PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 7:27 PM CST (01:27 UTC) Moonrise 9:49AMMoonset 9:29PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Trinidad, TX
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location: 32.2, -96.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 290041 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 641 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Tonight through Tomorrow/

A strong cold front is in the process of moving through the far eastern fringes of the forecast area at this hour with a thin line of showers and thunderstorms along the leading edge of the front. The cold front is attached to an elongating surface low currently centered near Thackerville, OK. The surface low is being stretched southeastward as the southern extent of the cold front races east, well ahead of the low, and starts to wrap the cold air around and into the low. These processes are working to form a weak occlusion across North East Texas this evening. The surface low and its associated fronts will gradually progress southeast through the night, settling into Louisiana around daybreak.

Behind the front . a brisk west to northwest wind has ushered in much colder temperatures to the region. Strong cold air advection combined with a tight pressure gradient is allowing the winds to gust to 30-35 mph primarily west of I-35, warranting the continuation of the Wind Advisory currently issued through noon tomorrow. This forecast still aligns with our current thinking, however, the winds might taper off closer to daybreak than mid afternoon. Any adjustments to the Wind Advisory timing will be left to the midnight crew ATTM.

The shallow cold front has brought a blanket of stratus to the region, which should continue through the night. Forced ascent associated with lingering PV anomalies aloft are tapping into the wrap around low level moisture, developing some light rain showers north of I-20. As the system shifts east through the night, these showers should slowly move east as well. All precip will eventually come to an end tomorrow morning as the enhanced lift also shifts east of the region, putting the area under large scale subsidence aloft. Continued northerly flow in the low levels will keep the shallow cold airmass in place through much of the day tomorrow, with lingering stratus continuing generally west of I-35.

Bonnette

LONG TERM. /Issued 139 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020/ /Thursday onward/

Another cool day expected on Thursday with high temperatures struggling to reach the low 50s across North Texas. Low chances for measurable precipitation on Thursday afternoon and night as a weak shortwave moves across South Texas, and any rain that does fall will be limited to only a few hundredths of an inch. A gradual warmup will occur Friday and through the weekend as a mid level ridge extends into the Southern Plains. This will allow temperatures to rise above normal into the mid to upper 60s Saturday, and low 70s Sunday and Monday driven by warm, dry southwesterly flow and a well mixed boundary layer.

The most uncertainty in the forecast falls on Monday due to the timing of the next strong cold front. EC and GFS deterministic guidance both have rain moving into the eastern portion of the forecast area in southwesterly flow ahead of the next cold front. However at this time, statistical ensemble guidance does not support these two deterministic scenarios, therefore no need to stray from the blended approach for temps or PoPs at this time.

Elsenheimer

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

A cold front has moved through all TAF sites, bringing in MVFR stratus and gusty west to northwest winds up to around 30 kts. The winds will gradually veer to become more northwesterly over the next few hours. The ceilings are generally between 1100-2000 ft AGL, however, areas of IFR ceilings are lingering along the Red River. There is a 30% chance of the IFR ceilings and very light rain showers moving into the northern fringes of D10 including the AFW/DFW/DAL terminals between 04-09Z tonight. The current TAF keeps ceilings over 1000 ft AGL, however this will have to be monitored over the next few hours.

The winds will gradually weaken in speed after daybreak tomorrow, lowering to less than 15 kts by the afternoon. MVFR ceilings are expected to remain in place, however, there is a 30-40% chance of becoming VFR for at least a few hours during peak heating.

Looking ahead . the low level winds aloft are forecast to become easterly tomorrow night, bringing IFR to LIFR conditions to the region. More details on this will come with subsequent updates.

Bonnette

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 41 49 42 51 40 / 20 5 0 10 20 Waco 42 53 41 52 40 / 10 5 0 20 20 Paris 44 49 40 49 39 / 80 20 0 5 20 Denton 40 49 40 49 39 / 30 5 0 10 10 McKinney 42 49 40 49 40 / 40 5 0 10 20 Dallas 42 51 42 51 41 / 20 5 0 10 20 Terrell 44 51 41 51 39 / 60 5 0 10 20 Corsicana 43 51 43 52 41 / 20 5 0 20 30 Temple 41 53 42 52 40 / 10 5 0 30 20 Mineral Wells 36 49 37 48 35 / 10 5 0 20 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Wind Advisory until noon CST Wednesday for TXZ091>093-100>104- 115>120-129>134-141>145-156>159.



06/91


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Corsicana, Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport, TX19 mi35 minW 1710.00 miFair50°F42°F74%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRS

Wind History from CRS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8S6S7SE9W6NE5E6E9SE9S10
G17
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SE13SE14--S16S14
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1 day agoNW3N5N4NE6E4CalmE4E5E5S5S4S5SE4SE5SE6SE5SE5E6E7----SE8--SE8
2 days agoS12S15S15S10S9E4E5S9S8S6S4S5S6SW4NW14NW9NW9NW9N9N11
G16
NW10N7N3N3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.