Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Frierson, LA

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1239 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

A disjointed cold front will be gradually pushing south and southwest through the Four State region overnight. A weak lower tropospheric low pressure center is currently producing some scattered clouds (and even extremely isolated sprinkles) over E TX counties, but this low is retrograding westward and weakening and should not result in any significant precipitation in those areas this afternoon and tonight. Meanwhile, a somewhat vigorous upper low will advance SE toward northern Mexico tonight and then gradually dampen and creep east through the weekend. Late tonight through at least Sunday, moisture pooling and interacting with the upper level feature should blossom precipitation, some heavy, over portions of South Texas. Our region should remain far enough E and NE of this setup to remain dry, although high to mid level cloud cover will increase, especially in western zones, starting later tonight. We cannot rule out some sprinkles in portions of E TX, mainly south of I-20, starting late tomorrow and through the remainder of the weekend, although most of the likely radar returns in our area will manifest as virga. Limited daytime insolation and a potential slight evaporational cooling component in the lower troposphere should limit temperature warmups through the weekend and blended model guidance for MaxTs was lowered a few degrees in these areas. Otherwise, expect thinner and more sporadic cloud cover later tonight and through the weekend to allow for a greater diurnal range of temperatures, with some upper 30s likely in portions of the Arklamiss for lows tomorrow night and Sunday night. Patchy frost is not likely in these areas through the weekend, but it also cannot be totally ruled out. To the west, where cloud cover will be thicker, expect lows mainly in the mid to upper 40s. Highs this weekend will mainly range from the upper 60s to lower 70s, which is a bit below normal for once.

Model consensus is generally increasing with regard to this upper low to our west continuing to dampen and move east as it gets absorbed into a general longwave trough building over the Eastern CONUS in the early to middle portions of next work week. Moisture in our area available to work with this source of synoptic lift will be relatively meager, although some insignificant showers are probable across the area in the Tuesday and Wednesday timeframe.
Any minor rainfall accumulations will not do anything to help the ongoing drought situation. Expect temperatures to moderate back to seasonal averages in this time window, which means lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s and highs mainly in the 70s.

Sometime in the Thursday or Friday range next week, the deepening trough aloft centered closer to the Eastern Seaboard will likely drive another, likely mostly dry, cold front through our area and nudge of temperatures perhaps back to at least a little below average. Any hope of meaningful rainfall getting back into area may have to wait until after next weekend, unfortunately. /50/

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

For the 07/06z TAF update...The only changes to the forecast was to prevail OVC around 5-6k feet for KTYR, KLFK, and KGGG. OVC skies will continue for these terminals throughout this TAF period. Despite the lower CIGs , VFR conditions will continue to prevail for all terminals throughout this period as well. Winds will remain light and generally under 10 kts throughout, becoming light and variable towards the end of the period. /33/

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. /15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 53 70 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 47 69 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 43 69 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 47 68 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 42 69 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 55 70 50 71 / 0 0 10 0 GGG 51 71 46 71 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 57 75 49 73 / 0 10 10 10

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.